sentix Euro Break-up Index News

On this page we provide information about the latest development of the sentix Euro break-up Index. This indicator shows over time, how likely individual and institutional investors rate the probabilty of a breakup of the euro area (leaving at least one country) within 12 months time. Also it reflects which countries are particularly affected.

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Sorrows surrounding the euro zone fade despite Italian woes

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) falls again in September. It is now down to 18.75% from 20.45%. This is its second-lowest reading since its introduction in June 2012. Only in January the index stood lower at 17.15%. Nevertheless, the sentix EBI indicates that it is still about one in five investors who expects at least one country to leave the euro zone within a year's time.

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German Euro Break-up Index slightly up before elections

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In August, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) drops from 23.75% to 20.45%. This means that last month’s irritation concerning the Portuguese political crisis which also had affected the sentix EBI has now almost faded. At the same time, the German national Break-up Index rises slightly four weeks ahead of the general elections in the euro zone’s largest economy.

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The third: Portugal now in the spotlight

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After three drops in a row, anxieties concerning the continuation of the Eurozone rise once more in July. The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) rises by around 4% points from 19.95% to 23.75%. A decisive factor regarding this rise is the governmental crisis in Portugal which had a clearly negative influence on the Portuguese national EBI.

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“Grexit” back on investors’ minds

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In June, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) drops from 21.85% to now 19.95%. With its third decrease in a row the indicator now almost reaches its February reading. The small decline can be explained with fading sorrows concerning Slovenia and Cyprus. For these two countries the national EBI display the most pronounced drops. But this month there is also a formerly well-known exit candidate coming back to investors' minds.

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Divided periphery

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The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) drops again in May, from 24.4% to now 21.9%. This is its second decrease in a row. In February and March, the index had risen against the background of the unclear outcome of the Italian elections and the irritating financial rescue of Cyprus. The current EBI is the third lowest in its one-year history. Only in January and February of this year its readings were lower.

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