sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results (20-2022)

    Uploaded:
    22.05.22
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    Tactical recovery opportunities exist

    Sentiment for US equities remains depressed. However, even though equities have once again hit the lows of the previous week and even fallen slightly below them, sentiment can decouple itself positively from this. A positive divergence in sentiment is thus emerging. A tactical recovery movement is likely.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Bias for US bonds continues to climb
    • FX: US dollar profit-taking likely to set in
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (19-2022)

    Uploaded:
    15.05.22
    File Size:
    905 KB

    An important piece of the puzzle is missing

    At -44 percentage points, sentiment for U.S. equities reached a very high level of pessimism compared with the previous week. That the contrarian investor should nevertheless be cautious is shown by another dimension in investor behavior: The medium-term strategic bias is also weak, indicating no repurchase propensity despite declining stock prices. Consequently, the balance of sentiment and bias (see chart) is not that deep in negative territory. Good buying opportunities are characterized by the time differential index reaching a level of at least -35 percentage points (or lower).

    Further results

    • Bonds: Bias for US bonds climbs further
    • Gold: Constructive
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (18-2022)

    Uploaded:
    08.05.22
    File Size:
    833 KB

    Sentiment for Euroland equities falls to all-time low

    At -49 percentage points, sentiment for Euroland equities marks a level never before measured in history! This makes the contrarian investor prick up his ears. Usually, such extremes in sentiment occur near market lows. However, very strong declines in sentiment can also trigger one last big avalanche, accompanied by short-covering actions. This was the case in August 2008, for example. With the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, the high level of pessimism was discharged into sharply falling share prices.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Low neutrality
    • USD/JPY: Opportunities for the yen indicated
    • sentix economic index: Monday 09th May 2022 at 10:30 CEST

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    sentix Survey results (17-2022)

    Uploaded:
    01.05.22
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    Bearish sentiment, weak underlying confidence

    The stock markets remain under pressure. This leads to a slump in sentiment. In addition to the sentix index, the AAII index is also as low as it was last in 2005. Contrary opportunities arise from such a bearish sentiment situation. However, the market lacks value perception. The basic strategic conviction is missing. In the special analysis we highlighted the Ukraine conflict. For investors, a recession in 2022 is almost certain.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Bias continues to rise
    • EUR-USD: Postive signals from TD-Index
    • sentix special survey on Ukraine crisis

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (16-2022)

    Uploaded:
    24.04.22
    File Size:
    926 KB

    Tough vote from the pros

    Investors are passing harsh judgment on equities. The withdrawal of confidence is particularly severe in the run-up to the presidential run-off election in France: the strategic bias for French equities is eroding at a record pace. The U.S. technology stock market is also suffering in investor favor, with medium-term confidence sinking to its lowest level since April 2005! The top formation of the Nasdaq was indicated early by the bias.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Rising value perception
    • USD/JPY: Contrarians signals pile up
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (15-2022)

    Uploaded:
    17.04.22
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Basic confidence in equities remains week

    We wish all sentix survey participants a happy and blessed Easter. This week there is therefore a slightly shortened holiday edition.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Positive signals
    • Gold: Basic confidence rises
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (14-2022)

    Uploaded:
    10.04.22
    File Size:
    864 KB

    All-time lows in the bias of some stock markets

    The Strategic Bias falls to a new all-time low for most stock markets! It is remarkable how dynamically the confidence barometer has lost value again since the March low (after the start of war in Ukraine) - although prices have recovered in the meantime. This smells of new selling pressure! What is lost at shares at confidence, is rebuilt at the U.S. bond market. Value perception is increasingly emerging here!

    Further results

    • US-Bonds: 52-week high in bias
    • Gold mining shares: Constructive baseline situation
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results 13-2022

    Uploaded:
    03.04.22
    File Size:
    734 KB

    Weak, weaker, equity bias

    Weak, weaker, equity bias - and that globally. Despite stabilization tendencies on the stock market, there is no confidence in dividend stocks, even though the seasonally positive dividend season is now upon us. Things look better for US bonds, with the corresponding bias continuing to rise. Moreover, the risk radar gives a green light for bonds. In precious metals, silver stands out positively. There is a silver lining on the horizon.

    Further results

    • US-Bonds: Price opportunities prevail
    • Commodities: A silver lining on the horizon
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 04th April 2022 at 10:30 CEST

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    sentix Survey results (12-2022)

    Uploaded:
    27.03.22
    File Size:
    833 KB

    Weak bias is a problem

    The strategic bias for equities in the eurozone has fallen to its lowest level since July 2020, with investors interpreting the price recovery in the indices as an opportunity to reduce their positions. As pessimism in sentiment has given way at the same time, price risks are emerging on the stock market. The situation is reversed on the U.S. bond market, where countercyclical buy signals are increasingly appearing. Crude oil prices could fall and thus provide relief for inflation fears.

    Further results

    • US-Bonds: Buying opportunity displayed
    • Commodities: Crude oil ticked off
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (11-2022)

    Uploaded:
    20.03.22
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Investor irritation increases

    Early start or false start? That is the question currently being asked of Euroland equities, because the strength of stocks before the March futures expiry on Friday is unusual. Usually, stocks rise after the expiry into the "strong" April month. It is unlikely to be that easy in 2022. For just as unusual as the seasonal pattern is the sentix data situation at present. The signs point to continued unrest.

    Further results

    • FX: Euro recovery likely to be weak
    • Precious metals: Consolidation continues
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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