sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results (48-2023)

    Uploaded:
    03.12.23
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    Jubilant aria

    Sentiment towards German equities is boiling over: At +32 percentage points, sentiment has reached the next euphoria level (2-year high). Just 6 weeks ago, sentiment for the ATX was at -38 percentage points. At that time, fear was high and the stock market was down. Now investors are rejoicing and significantly increasing their portfolio risks. In the short term (around St. Nicholas), the signs are pointing to a correction. After that, it could go up again. Nevertheless, one thing is certain: the risks are increasing significantly again.

    Further results

    • Gold: Hand in hand
    • Bonds: strong momentum
    • sentix economic indices: Monday 04th Dec. 2024 at 10:30 AM CET

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    sentix Survey results (47-2023)

    Uploaded:
    26.11.23
    File Size:
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    Sentiment remains favourable

    The mood on the stock markets remains positive. Investors are completely under the spell of positive seasonality, which usually promises a favourable end to the year. Accordingly, portfolios are now also more offensively orientated. But investors are also clearly continuing to favour a bullish trend in bonds.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Investors are highly invested
    • FX: Euro bias improves
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (46-2023)

    Uploaded:
    19.11.23
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Bears in short supply

    The share price gains have had a significant impact on investor sentiment. Bears in particular have become scarce in the short term. We are measuring the lowest level in the sub-index for US equities since the end of 2019. At the same time, we are hearing a decline in basic strategic confidence in equities. In turn, investors' investment horizon for bonds is lengthening again.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Investment horizon is lengthening
    • Gold: Stable basic confidence
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (45-2023)

    Uploaded:
    12.11.23
    File Size:
    989 KB

    Equity bias weakens - especially among institutional investors

    The slide in the price of crude oil has completely dampened the optimism that still existed in recent weeks. The price movement in the black gold price is also fueling hope for the inflation outlook, which in turn is also reflected in the strategic bias for bonds. Conversely, it is the equity outlook that is now losing ground. The US presidential cycle warns of a weak second half of November.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Buying intentions continue to rise
    • Bitcoins: No profit-taking indicated
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (44-2023)

    Uploaded:
    05.11.23
    File Size:
    897 KB

    Short-term euphoria

    There was a surprisingly positive price reaction for shares last week. This obviously made a big impression on investors and literally euphorised sentiment. This is likely to prove to be a short-term buzzkill, especially as there are now medium-term question marks for investors. These need to be "consolidated".

    Further results

    • Bonds: A leap for joy here too
    • Gold: Ongoing consolidation
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 06th Nov. 2023 at 10:30 CET

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (43-2023)

    Uploaded:
    29.10.23
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Surprisingly little fear

    The share price losses have had surprisingly little effect on investor sentiment. As anxious as they were in the summer, they are now very calm. In bonds, we measure an all-time high in the strategic bias of US bonds. This should put pressure on the "shorties".

    Further results

    • Bonds: Convinced professionals
    • Silver: Sharp drop in the TD Index
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (42-2023)

    Uploaded:
    22.10.23
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Fear looks different

    Sentiment on the stock markets has plummeted. Sentiment reflects a high level of pessimism, but fear looks different: Significantly lower sentiment values would have to be reached for this to happen. What is also missing is that fear normally triggers panic selling. This behavior is not observed in the positioning data so far. In the case of gold and silver, sentiment is shooting through the roof.

    Further results

    • Equities: Conflict between economic cycle and bias
    • Gold: Investors rejoice, risk increases
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (41-2023)

    Uploaded:
    15.10.23
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Equity bias continues tightly upwards

    The strategic bias for equities continues to point firmly upward. Investors recognize an opportunity in the price decline. However, they do not act on it, they adjust their investment behavior only slowly! The precious metals can profit from the war fear in Israel clearly. Gold sentiment jumps here dynamically, the momentum promises more. On the crypto track, vola also hints. Neutrality goes through the roof for Bitcoins.

    Further results

    • Bitcoins: All-time high in neutrality
    • Gold: Sentiment impulse
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (40-2023)

    Uploaded:
    08.10.23
    File Size:
    1008 KB

    Persistent pessimism, sustained confidence

    Investor sentiment shows neutral or mostly even negative values across all asset classes. Only USD/JPY shows optimism. Otherwise, equities are struggling with persistent pessimism, as are bonds and commodities.
    Paradox: In the medium term, investors may well warm to almost all assets. The investment behavior basically suggests that one should take more risk at the moment.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Instis are especially confident
    • FX: Special position USD/JPY
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 09th Oct. 2023 at 10:30 CEST

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (39-2023)

    Uploaded:
    01.10.23
    File Size:
    977 KB

    Fundamental confidence surprisingly improves

    From a stock bull's perspective, the past week has not felt good. Nevertheless, investors' underlying confidence has improved! This is bullish news for investors at the start of the usually promising fourth quarter of the year. We also measure significant changes in fundamental confidence on USD-JPY and crude oil.

    Further results

    • USD-JPY: Positioning and fundamental confidence separate
    • Crude oil: Strategic bias falls again

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