sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results (31-2022)

    Uploaded:
    07.08.22
    File Size:
    910 KB

    Enough neutrals for the next pulse

    The summer rally has led to an increasing number of investors "fleeing" into the neutral camp. As a result, the group of investors who will reorient themselves to one of the directional camps in the event of a new news situation has grown again. An essential basic condition for a new trend impulse has thus been met. Bonds are showing a tear in the bias. The starting position for precious metals, on the other hand, continues to improve.

    Fruther results

    • Bonds: Punch in the pit of the stomach
    • Gold & Silver: Improved again
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 08th August 2022 at 10:30 AM CET

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    sentix Survey results (30-2022)

    Uploaded:
    31.07.22
    File Size:
    930 KB

    Sentiment at annual high, TD level slowly disturbing

    The starting position for precious metals continues to improve. The bias is increasing, and investor positioning has been reduced as much as last in 2019, which gives hope for further price gains.
    For equities, the situation is developing unfavorably. A yearly high in sentiment is not underpinned by rising underlying confidence. Rather, professionals are signaling that they want to use the price recovery to reduce positions.

    Fruther results

    • USD/JPY: Risk now becomes striking
    • Gold & Silver: Starting position further improved
    • Bonds: Institutional bias turns

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    sentix Survey results (29-2022)

    Uploaded:
    24.07.22
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Hot summer, hot recovery

    With the ECB's interest rate decision, the EUR/USD exchange rate creates a mood impulse. This could also have positive consequences for the precious metals. For gold and silver, a position adjustment can be seen in the CoT data, while the investor bias turns upward again. Stocks also continue to rally in the bear market - even if the strength of the previously bearish sentiment is slowly fading. The equity bias accompanies the recovery path.

    Fruther results

    • FX: Sentiment impulse for EUR/USD
    • Gold & Silver: Positive positioning and bias development
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (28-2022)

    Uploaded:
    17.07.22
    File Size:
    1015 KB

    Equity TD indices head back towards buy zone

    Last week again brought significant uncertainty among investors. Sentiment scores for equities are falling significantly. On the strategic level, on the other hand, we measure an interesting divergence between institutional and private investors. Sentiment signals are also present in gold and silver.

    Fruther results

    • FX: USD-JPY bias falling
    • Precious metals: Positive signals for gold and silver
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (27-2022)

    Uploaded:
    10.07.22
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Sentiment improves, bias remains weak

    The price improvements in equities are lifting sentiment in equities. The number of short-term bulls increases. This is a basically "normal" process after a low. In contrast, the weakness in strategic fundamental confidence is atypical and calls for caution. In silver, there are two interesting positive indicator signals.

    Further results

    • FX: EUR-USD sentiment collapses
    • Silver: Two interesting indicators
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (26-2022)

    Uploaded:
    03.07.22
    File Size:
    771 KB

    Strategic bias awakens from slumber

    We have repeatedly pointed out the opportunities in the bond market. Medium-term confidence continues to build, with the strategic bias reaching its highest level since May 2020. An increased perception of value inevitably leads to a willingness to buy and pushes bond prices upwards. The easing of pressure to raise interest rates could also favour a price recovery in equities.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Courage is rewarded
    • CHF bias at all-time low
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 04th July 2022 at 10:30 CEST

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    sentix Survey results (25-2022)

    Uploaded:
    26.06.22
    File Size:
    944 KB

    Recovery underway - bear market remains intact

    The economy in Euroland is shaking badly. Even the interim stabilisation in June has hardly changed anything. The macro-indication still shows a burden for shares. Next week will be exciting when the July figures are presented. Another dip in the sentix economic barometer would not bode well for the summer. After all, the indicator enjoys a reputation as a "first mover" in the financial community.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Patience & courage were rewarded
    • Gold & Silver: Vola signal displayed
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (24-2022)

    Uploaded:
    19.06.22
    File Size:
    892 KB

    Professionals versus individuals - who will prevail?

    The sell-off in risk assets continues. For institutional investors, depressed equity market prices are already becoming attractive and their bias is slowly rising, while private investors have yet to develop a new value perception on a 6-month horizon. A divergence of bias in both investor groups often correlates with market turning points. Similar spread widening in the bias can also be observed in US bonds and in EUR/USD.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Here, too, ideas diverge
    • Bonds: Opportunities > Risk
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (23-2022)

    Uploaded:
    12.06.22
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Another slump in sentiment for equities

    The renewed slump in share prices is leading to a low in sentiment. US equity sentiment is at a similar low as in mid-May. In addition, the put-call ratio also jumps up. Investors are therefore increasingly looking to hedge. This will result in contrarian price opportunities until early / mid July, at the latest after the futures decline on Friday. Bonds, the big losers of the week, should also recover in price.

    Further results

    • Bonds: This has not happened since 2008!
    • Political barometer: Eurozone in focus again
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (22-2022)

    Uploaded:
    05.06.22
    File Size:
    862 KB

    Strategic confidence in equities remains weak

    The weak development of strategic fundamental confidence remains the Achilles' heel for share price development. With the exception of China, the stabilisation approaches of the last few weeks do not generate an improved value perception among investors. The summer period is likely to be difficult.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Positive TD index
    • Gold: Opportunity for the bulls
    • sentix economic index: Tuesday 7th June 2022 at 10:30 CEST

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