sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results (27-2024)

    Uploaded:
    07.07.24
    File Size:
    917 KB

    US equity market risks on the rise

    The US equity markets continue to move from high to high. This is having a clear impact on stock market sentiment. In conjunction with the overbought market situation, the sentix risk radar is signalling a noticeable increase in risks. Seasonally, we are approaching the usually more volatile summer period. It seems that investors need to prepare for an end to the one-way stock market.

    Further results

    • Equity volatility: The summer weeks bring movement
    • FX: Movement in the sentix indices
    • sentix economic indices: Monday, 08.07.24, 10.30 CEST

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    sentix Survey results (26-2024)

    Uploaded:
    30.06.24
    File Size:
    1012 KB

    Highest value in US bias since October 2021

    Investors are ending the past week with confidence in equities. US equities in particular, but also eurozone equities, are viewed more favourably in the medium term. Sentiment, on the other hand, is largely neutral. It is clear that the upcoming elections have so far caused investors little concern. The currency track paints a different picture. For China's stock market, the question marks are increasing, while precious metals are providing a solid setup.

    Further results

    • USD/JPY: Renewed overconfidence signal
    • Gold mining stocks: Solid setup
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (25-2024)

    Uploaded:
    23.06.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Professionals and private investors on different paths

    The current market trend is confusing investors. The situation in the eurozone is inspiring the professionals and giving them a clearly positive outlook for the future. For the US stock market, on the other hand, short-term irritation is increasing. Bonds and precious metals are showing a clear increase in confidence. The same applies to crude oil. Here, the discrepancy with investor positioning is considerable.

    Further results

    • Silver: Gaining confidence
    • Crude oil: positive risk
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (24-2024)

    Uploaded:
    16.06.24
    File Size:
    900 KB

    Fear of elections in France

    Sentiment fell significantly last week, particularly on the European stock markets. This is less the case for US equities. There, medium-term confidence in equities continues to rise. The political barometer shows that this is a Central European phenomenon. The strategic bias for French government bonds has reacted significantly. Precious metals, on the other hand, are stable and Bitcoin is also sending out an exclamation mark.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Reaction to the spreads
    • FX: Single currency under pressure
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (23-2024)

    Uploaded:
    09.06.24
    File Size:
    935 KB

    Crude oil: Positive indication in the TD Index

    We are measuring an improvement in sentiment and basic strategic confidence in equities. The latter is unusual against the backdrop of seasonality. Bonds, on the other hand, are not gaining in strategic bias. The data on crude oil is promising.

    Further results

    • Equities: Further improvement in sentiment
    • Bonds: No improvement in basic confidence
    • sentix economic indices: Monday, 10.06.24, 10.30 CEST

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    sentix Survey results (22-2024)

    Uploaded:
    02.06.24
    File Size:
    907 KB

    First positive sentiment signals

    Sentiment towards equities continues to cool. At the same time, we are measuring an increase in medium-term basic confidence. This is an unusual change in the data both in terms of seasonal timing and against the background of price trends. Statistically, this points to rising share prices. We are also seeing a noteworthy signal in the Japanese yen.

    Further results

    • Gold: Hardly any room for new buying
    • FX: Investors fear renewed selling in USD-JPY

     

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    sentix Survey results (21-2024)

    Uploaded:
    26.05.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Investors not concerned about weak market breadth

    Market breadth, measured by the proportion of shares in an index above the 50- or 250-day average, is eroding in the US equity market in a remarkable way. Surprisingly, however, this is not yet causing investors any strategic concern. As sentiment values are slightly negative at the same time, the bulls could make another attempt to attack. Things could also get exciting for oil. At the very least, the high neutrality indicates increasing volatility.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Short maturities favoured
    • Gold: Further profit-taking to be expected
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (20-2024)

    Uploaded:
    19.05.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Slight colling of sentiment

    Despite the gains in share prices, there is no euphoria in sentiment. On the contrary. Sentiment is cooling. The still positive seasonal window could therefore be used by equities for further price gains. There is an interesting signal for EUR-USD. Basic strategic confidence is rising significantly. The euro should continue to benefit from this.

    Further results

    • EUR-USD: Significant rise in bias
    • Oil: TD Index on typical path
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (19-2024)

    Uploaded:
    12.05.24
    File Size:
    1016 KB

    Leap of joy with bias decline for Instis

    The bull market on the stock market triggers a veritable leap of joy. Sentiment towards equities is rising significantly worldwide. The bias development is remarkable: private investors continue to rise, while professionals react completely differently. Their bias is falling drastically. As a result, they are increasingly thinking about taking profits. A spread comparison shows: If the professionals show this behavior, an upper turning point or an interim consolidation is likely.

    Further results

    • Commodities: Precious metals and crude oil promising
    • FX: USD/JPY remains depressed
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (18-2024)

    Uploaded:
    05.05.24
    File Size:
    771 KB

    China equities continue to score

    One of our recommendations from the 2024 annual outlook is scoring points with more and more investors: at +31 percentage points, the strategic bias for the CSI 300 has reached its highest level since April 2021. Fortunately, at +14 percentage points, sentiment does not indicate that the market is overheating. The other equity markets are also gaining further confidence among investors. While the bias is increasing in many equity markets, it is crumbling in bonds. The consolidation in precious metals and bitcoins is also constructive.

    Further results

    • Equities: Bias continues upward, sentiment supports
    • Silver: Silver lining on the horizon
    • sentix Economic Index: Monday, 06.05.2024, 10.30 am CEST

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