sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Folder: sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Files:
-
sentix Survey results (17-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 30.04.23
- File Size:
- 828 KB
Vola ante portas
Sentiment for equities is neutral, as is positioning. Superficially, this does not result in any particular signal situation. Increasingly, investors are assuming a sideways trend, and short-term neutrality is rising massively. As a rule, this state does not last long. As soon as investors have more certainty, they jump on the next signal. Consequently, these high neutrality levels herald a vola surge.
Further results
- Bonds: High confidence = excellent opportunities for U.S. bonds
- Gold: Constructive breather
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
-
sentix Survey results (16-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 23.04.23
- File Size:
- 971 KB
Historical weakness in underlying equity confidence
In the past week, the remarkable behaviour in the Strategic Bias continues. While the prices of stocks radiate supposed stability, the basic confidence of professionals in particular in tech stocks plummets in a remarkable way. In 4 weeks, the index loses 26 percentage points. This has happened only twice before: in May 2001 and at the end of 2002. The statistical omens for equities are thus unfavourable.
Further results
- Bonds: Confidence still on the rise
- Precious metals: Safe haven
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
-
sentix Survey results (15-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 16.04.23
- File Size:
- 1014 KB
Accumulated Vola Signals
Interest rate futures were again under pressure last week. But investors are not very impressed by this. The bias for the Bund is rising to the next cycle high - after all, the highest level since November 2008. Conversely, it is the stock markets whose bias is weak and weakening. Gold is not likely to continue positively until the summer, while the crypto markets could unleash their potential earlier.
Further results
- Bonds: Willingness to buy continues to increase
- Gold: Set for glossy period in the summer
- sentix sector sentiment
-
sentix Survey results (14-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 09.04.23
- File Size:
- 845 KB
Easter Edition
We wish all sentix participants a happy and blessed Easter. Due to the holiday there will be a short commentary this week.
Further results
- Equities: A rotten egg
- Bonds: Colorful eggs
- Gold mining stocks: Shiny eggs
- sentix economic index: Tuesday, 11th April 2023 at 10.30 AM CEST
-
sentix Survey results (13-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 02.04.23
- File Size:
- 914 KB
Sentiment takes a beating
Whereas the previous week we noted an astonishing lack of emotion among investors, this week we have to report a real drumbeat in sentiment. The sentiment data are jumping sharply upwards, the bulls have fully awakened and are celebrating the markets. Short term. In the medium term, however, basic confidence is falling. A dangerous development. The data are more unfavourable for equities than they have been for a long time. Portfolios, on the other hand, have more risk than at any time in months.
Further results
- Equities: But basic confidence is falling
- Bonds: Positive data!
- Gold: Stable
-
sentix Survey results (12-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 26.03.23
- File Size:
- 894 KB
Astonishingly little emotion
In terms of news, there has been a lot going on in the markets in recent days. Wobbly banks, huge support measures, at the same time rising key interest rates. The indices on the stock and bond side are whizzing wildly back and forth. Surprisingly, this is causing little emotion among investors. It almost seems as if a natural behavior pattern is being suppressed. In precious metals, the pulse of investors is rising. This is where emotionality comes to the fore.
Further results
- Bonds: Bias constructive, offensive positioning puts the brakes on
- Silver: There could still be something
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
-
sentix Survey results (11-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 19.03.23
- File Size:
- 947 KB
Strategic bias jumps
The FED's clear commitment, also underpinned by corresponding monetary actions, to nip the banking crisis in the US in the bud as far as possible, is convincing investors above all from a strategic perspective. The basic strategic confidence in US technology stocks has jumped significantly. This has only happened 8 times before. On average, the Nasdaq was up 6% 8 weeks later.
Further results
- FX: Surprisingly little movement in EUR-USD
- Gold: Overheated sentiment
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
-
sentix Survey results (10-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 12.03.23
- File Size:
- 1016 KB
U.S. equities wobble violently
It often takes a trigger to shake the weak underlying structure of the market. With the bank runs in California, there is now movement. Investors do not recognize a buying opportunity in the price decline, but lower their thumbs: The strategic bias for the S&P 500 falls to a 26-week low! In parallel, bonds can profit. The buy signals from the sentiment came at the right time. A liberation blow could have succeeded.
Further results:
- Bonds: Contrary buy signals at the right time
- Silver: Striking bias reaction
- sentix sector sentiment
-
sentix Survey results (09-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 05.03.23
- File Size:
- 759 KB
China convincing, the rest not
Things are looking good for the Chinese stock market: The strategic bias is rising significantly again and ending its breather. This can be observed even more strongly among investment professionals. This is in clear contrast to the bias development for the other equity markets, which all reflect weak underlying confidence - despite rising/stable equity prices. In the case of bonds, the contrarian signals are increasing. High pessimism is accompanied by high overconfidence.
Further results:
- Bonds: The buy signals are increasing
- EUR/USD: Vola announcement
- sentix economic index: Monday, 06th March 2023 at 10.30 AM CET
-
sentix Survey results (08-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 26.02.23
- File Size:
- 949 KB
Rising Vola indicated
Medium-term confidence in equities continues to crumble, with investors taking refuge in the neutral camp. For the Japanese Nikkei 225, we measure the highest level in the Super Neutrality Index since January 2022, which suggests rising volatility on the equity markets.
Bonds could benefit from this. Their best wild card is the TD index. Silver also puts an exclamation mark despite the ongoing price weakness!Further results
- Bonds: TD index as a wild card
- Silver: Exclamation mark despite price weakness!
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
