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    May 2016 results

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    09.05.16
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    Japan and the US contra the emerging markets

    Economic expectations for the Eurozone remain resilient as investors perception about the future development of Japan continues to deteriorate. Moreover, in May investors get wary about the situation of the US economy. Emerging markets proceed their recovery. The headline index for the Eurozone marginally raises by +0.5 points to +6.2 points. Overall investors draw a rather non-dynamic picture about the economic condition of the Eurozone as expectations remain unchanged and the perception of the current situation with a change of +1 point displays weak momentum.

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    April 2016 results

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    03.04.16
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    sentix Economic Index: US-Comeback

    The process of economic stabilization of investors expectations has continued at the beginning of April. The sentix index of general business confidence for the Eurozone increases marginally to +5,7 points. Thus, lagging behind the consensus of economists questioned by Bloomberg, which expected an increase to +7 points. In con-trast, the US economy stands out positive in April. Investors believe that economy is back in upswing territory. For Japan, primarily the current situation values deteriorate.

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    March 2016 results

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    07.03.16
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    Eurozone cooling, global stabilisation

    The sentix Economic Index for the Eurozone continues to fall in March 2016. The overall index looses 0.5 points to +5.5 points. The overall Eurozone decline is caused by a deteriorating current situation (the value is down by 2.2 points) whereas the expectation value advances by 1.3 points. A look abroad gives more reasons to cheer this time: values for Asia ex. Japan could recover the second month in a row. Moreover, the US economy exhibits resilience in March as the current situation value rises to 21.75 points (up by 4.75 points). In total, the overall US index rises to 5.8 points. Moreover, the global index finally gains ground on the back of a recovery in Asia ex. Japan, Eastern Europe as well as in Latin-America.

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    February 2016 results

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    07.02.16
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    Global economy on the brink

    Who thought the collapse of sentix-economic indices in January were a one-time event will be disappointed with the February data. Although the values for Asia ex Japan recover something, this month results do not shape a fundamentally new image. In particular, the loss of momentum in Germany and the United States weighs heavily and stresses that the global economy is now in a very fragile state.

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    January 2016 Results

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    10.01.16
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    After New Year’s Eve yet another china cracker

    That’s not what many investors have expected: right at the start of 2016, investors have to farewell certainties of 2015. Dark clouds arise in the east and could carry more than just light showers. it seems undoubtedly reasonable that the Chinese business cycle face a period of significant slow down, rather it seems like a hard landing. Such a scenario would not pass the Eurozone without damage.

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    December 2015 Results

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    06.12.15
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    No ECB money, no funny

    Economic expectations for the Eurozone continue to rise contrary to the global trend. Amid slightly lower growth in global economic momentum, the Eurozone stands out. Explanations should be found in the latest ECB statement. The December round of ECB stimulus felt short of expectations, however, the embracement of ECB’s “whatever it takes massage” has worked yet again. Without more ECB stimulus the Eurozone would most likely be in accordance to the global outlook.

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    November 2015 Results

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    08.11.15
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    Recovery is back on track

    Sentix captures a significant sentiment swing regarding global economic expectations in November. Neither signs of a seasonal depression of investors’ mood nor a November bias can be traced in the latest sentix data. With the exception of Austria, investors’ economic expectations rise for all major world regions. Of particular significance is the change of economic trend in Asia ex. Japan. Apparently, Chinese administration has been successful in restoring confidence in the potential of the Chinese economy.

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    October 2015 Results

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    05.10.15
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    The west follows the emerging markets

    The sentix Economic Indices on the Eurozone are lower again for October. Both, economic expectations as well as current situation values have dropped. Economic expectations for Germany are lower – the current situation values approach the zero-line alarmingly fast (1.8 points). The Eurozone headline index sinks to 11.7 points from previously 13.6 points, the lowest reading since January. The values for the USA are in decline. All index components edge down as economic expectations decline to +2.3 points. The only glimmers of hope are the emerging markets as values stabilise at low levels.

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    September 2015 Results

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    06.09.15
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    Economic expectations collapse globally

    In September, the sentix Economic Indices drop significantly driven by strongly falling indicators for Japan and for Asia ex Japan. Against the background of the turbulences in China investors cut back strongly their assessments and expectations regarding these regions' economies. Furhermore, the rest of the world enters the maelstrom. While for Latin America and Eastern Europe ever darker clouds gather now also the economic expectations for the hitherto stability anchors, the US and the euro area, fall markedly.

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    August 2015 Results

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    10.08.15
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    Asia a burden on global economic momentum

    Uncertainties regarding further development on the Chinese stock markets are now also heavily impacting economic expectations for the Asia (ex Japan) region, which have fallen considerably and are now at the September 2012 level. This weakness is expanding increasingly to other regions, causing expectations for all other observed countries and regions (except Austria and Switzerland) to decline as well.

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