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    November 2013 Eco Report (Engl.)

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    04.11.13
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    Germany hits a new high

    In November, the composite index for the euro zone rises by 3.2 to now 9.3 points. This is its highest value since May 2011, and, this month, the strongest increase among all regions. Investors have become especially upbeat concerning the economic situation. For Germany, the composite index also improves. Here, the 6-month expectations are more important for the overall improvement. They have now reached their highest reading since the beginning of the sentix survey for Germany in 2009. Of the other regions, the US and Japan make a more negative impression, the emerging-markets regions a more positive one. Overall, it is also noteworthy that institutional investors are more careful than private investors this month. Nevertheless, the composite index for the global aggregate rises for the fourth month in a row due to the good developments in the euro zone and the emerging-markets regions.

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    Oktober 2013 Eco Report (Engl.)

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    07.10.13
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    2 MB

    USA weak, euro zone robust

    In October, the composite index for the euro zone drops slightly. This move by -0.4 down to 6.1 points is to be seen as a stabilisation, given the enormous rise of the past month. Meanwhile, the composite index for the US takes a nose-dive. Here, both the current assessment of the economic situation as well as the 6-month expectations of the surveyed investors take strong hits from the budget crisis. But the US remain the only problem child this month. The composite indices for the emerging-markets regions rise strongly. For Japan, optimism also continues to go up. As a result, the composite index for the global aggregate is able to gain ground for the third consecutive month and increases to a reading last seen in February.

     

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    September 2013 Eco Report (Engl.)

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    09.09.13
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    Explosive coup for the euro zone

    The composite (overall) index for Euroland rises in September by 11.3 to now +6.5 points. This is the second-strongest rise of the indicator since its inception in 2003. The index also manages to reach positive territory for the first time since July 2011. Both the assessment of the current situation as well as the 6-month expectations improve strongly. For Germany, the composite index jumps upward, too. It now reaches its highest reading since April 2011 and signals a clearly strengthening economy. The other countries and regions prove stable in September. For the emerging markets regions there is a tendency for improvement, again. The index for the global aggregate rises to its highest value since March of this year.

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    August 2013 Eco Report (Engl.)

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    05.08.13
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    1 MB

    The economic motor gains momentum

    The total index for Euroland rises dynamically by 7.70 points to now -4.9 points. Driven by an improved current assessment, which rises by 8.25 points, as well as more positive 6-month expectations with a plus of 7.00 points, both parts are able to gain ground. The values mirror the second-highest value of 2013 (February 2013 at -3.9 points). Germany, Japan and the USA, which had also presented themselves positively over the past months, are also part of this concert of positive news. It is positive to see that all world regions are now able to profit from the rise. Especially the Emerging Markets stopped their negative trend of the past months. The index for the globalaggregate rises to a five-month high.

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    July 2013 Eco Report (Engl.)

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    08.07.13
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    2 MB

    Euro zone is marking time

    The composite index for the euro zone drops by one point to now -12.6 in July. The index is currently marking time. This is mainly caused by the assessment of the current situation which has made no headway for the past months. Investors' expectations remain above average, institutional investors are even becoming more optimistic. For Germany, the US and Japan, the composite indices rise significantly. Here, investors are extremely positively predisposed towards the economy. However, in the emerging markets regions, composite indices fall strongly, with the assessments of the current situation as a special burden. The index for the global aggregate therefore also declines in July.

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    June 2013 Eco Report (Engl.)

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    10.06.13
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    Euroland passes through dent

    The composite index for Euroland rises in June by 4 points and stands now at -11.6. The spring dent seems to have passed. The current turn is taking place earlier than in the past years, where similar patterns could be observed. This is pointing to a more robust economy. Should the current trend continue in the coming months, Euroland will finally move back into growth territory in the course of next quarter. Outside the Eurozone, the composite indices for the USA and for Japan reach their highest readings since Mai 2006 and August 2007, respectively. The indices for the Emerging Markets regions weaken once again. For the global aggregate. this leads to a stabilisation.

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    May 2013 Eco Report (Engl.)

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    06.05.13
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    2 MB

    Trend reversal averted!

    The composite index for the euro zone rises for the first time after two dampeners in a row. It improves from -17.3 to -15.6 points. With this, a trend reversal to the negative, which would have formally been indicated by the third drop in a row, was averted. While the economic assessments of investors for the euro zone are stabilizing, the values for Germany worsen, albeit at a much higher level. Here, we see a convergence of investor assessments. The drop in the German composite index is solely based on the decrease in the assessment of the economic situation. The strongest improvement in the composite indices in May can be found for the US. For Japan, the development points upwards, too. The emerging markets, on the other hand, are once again considered as slightly weaker by investors. For the global aggregate, we note a small rise after two drops.

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    April 2013 Eco Report (Engl.)

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    08.04.13
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    Second setback in a row for the euro zone

    The composite index for the euro zone drops in April from -10.6 points to -17.3 points and stands now slightly below last December's value. While the election in Italy led to the first setback for the index in March, the Cyprus issue is, amongst others, an additional strain in April: both sub-indices, the assessment of the economic situation and the 6-month expectations drop again. Expectations are now in the neutral zone. The composite index for Germany is no longer able to keep its distance from the negative development in the euro zone, expectations drop palpably – also taking into consideration weaker assessments for Germany's export regions, especially in Asia ex Japan. The global index drops the second month in a row.

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    March 2013 Eco Report (engl.)

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    04.03.13
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    1 MB

    Italian elections lead to setback for the euro zone

    After six consecutive rises the composite index for the euro zone falls in March from -3.9 to -10.6 points. This is its lowest reading this year, but still higher than in December. The results of the Italian elections leave negative traces in both the current assessment of the economic situation and the 6-month-expectations of investors.. From the other regions in the sentix survey there was no positive impact worth of note, either. Consequently, the index for the global aggregate recedes, too. Interestingly, once more the German composite index inches a little higher against the general trend of the month.

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    February 2013 Eco Report (engl.)

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    04.02.13
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    2 MB

    Euro area close to growth

    The composite index for Euroland rises for the sixth time in a row to -3.9 points in February. Once again, the six month expectations of the 984 surveyed investors gain more ground than the assessment of the economic situation. They reach the highest reading since June 2007, the last month before the beginning of the financial crisis. Overall, we can note: with a composite index close to the zero mark, the euro zone economy is poised to grow again. It is almost without doubt that the composite index for the euro area will reach positive territory soon – the general dynamics are currently just too strong.

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