sentix Weekly (German)

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In this folder you find our latest press releases and "indicator in focus" studies. If you have questions regarding sentix or our research please contact us per mail at info@sentix.de or use the contact form.

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    New start-up for bank shares - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    17.09.19
    File Size:
    199 KB

    New start-up for bank shares

    In the current sentix survey on sector assessments in the Euro zone, a change in favourites from defensive to cyclical sectors is emerging. We were particularly curious about the expectations for banks after the ECB took far-reaching decisions at its last meeting on 12 September.

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    The Bund yield curve should become steeper - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    10.09.19
    File Size:
    241 KB

    The Bund yield curve should become steeper

    In the run-up to the upcoming ECB meeting on 12 September, the sentix economic indices are sending an interesting signal for German government bonds. For this purpose, we consider the difference between expected values and situation indices for the economy in Germany and the Euro zone.

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    Gold correction ante portas - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    26.08.19
    File Size:
    354 KB

    Gold correction ante portas

    In the current weekly analysis, we have highlighted the sentix risk radar to gold. With a value of -2.1 standard deviations, gold has a high risk according to this indicator. The indicator evaluates the factors sentiment, positioning, overconfidence, deviation from the moving average and the RSI indicator. 

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    Classical US Pre-election Year - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    19.08.19
    File Size:
    209 KB

    Classical US Pre-election Year

    2019 is so far a relatively typical pre-election year in the US presidential cycle on the US stock exchange. If this remains the case, no major gains can be expected from US equities into November. However, the coming stabilisation phase of around 25 trading days also stands out in this analysis.

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    Insurances get into the interest focus - sentix indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    14.08.19
    File Size:
    475 KB

    Insurances get into the interest focus

    In the last three weeks, yields on long-term bonds in particular have come under massive pressure. Since 16 July 2019, the current interest rate for government bonds with a residual term of 30 years has fallen from +0.33% to cur-rently -0.14%. This development is also having an impact on shares in the insurance industry. However, investors have not yet focused on this.

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    "Waiting for death" - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    12.08.19
    File Size:
    365 KB

    “Waiting for death”

    In the German language, the word "Rente" not only stands for the pension benefits of pensioners but is also anoth-er term for fixed-income securities (bonds). These were or are securities that offer the owner an annual, usually fixed rate of interest - like a pension. This is no longer the case at present. The deep slide of certain segments of the bond market into negative interest rates, for example German federal bonds, has massive consequences, which will be pointed out and discussed here.

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    Mixture of rubber band, medicinal herbs & paralysis reminds of 2011 - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    05.08.19
    File Size:
    384 KB

    Mixture of rubber band, medicinal herbs & paralysis reminds of 2011

    Do you remember summer 2011? Back then, economic indicators and the stock market went their separate ways for many months. Within a few trading days, the whole thing turned into a summer crash. In 2019, too, such a gap opened up - more than ever.

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    High risks with gold - entry only after consolidation - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    29.07.19
    File Size:
    216 KB

    High risks with gold - entry only after consolidation

    With gold, we are currently measuring a clearly tense risk constellation. The overall risk index for gold amounts to -1.13 standard deviations.

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    Sample of the pre-election years does not bring any seasonal relief - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    22.07.19
    File Size:
    229 KB

    Sample of the pre-election years does not bring any seasonal relief

    The Lent period on the stock markets is about to begin. From now on the friendly period for shares ends. Volatile, low-yield stock market weeks lie ahead of us. The attached analysis shows what this means for investors.

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    Sector signal for automobiles and telecom stocks - Indicator in focus

    Uploaded:
    15.07.19
    File Size:
    198 KB

    Sector signal for automobiles and telecom stocks

    The car stocks are still very interesting in sentiment terms, as the sector sentiment is almost -2.3 standard deviations in absolute terms and thus one of the lowest values ever measured by sentix since 2001. A negative sentiment indicates an underinvestment by investors and, from a contrary point of view, price opportunities.

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