sentix Survey Essentials (English)

Folder: 2020

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    sentix Survey results 52-2020

    Uploaded:
    27.12.20
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    Christmas Edition

    We wish you a Merry Christmas season and all the best for the coming year.
    At the same time, we would like to thank you for all active participation in the surveys during the past year. Even on the Christmas weekend, there were well over 1,000 investors!

    Further results:

    • Equities: The mood calms down
    • Bitcoins: High Overconfidence
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 51-2020

    Uploaded:
    20.12.20
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    976 KB

    The time has come: profit-taking is on the agenda

    Now it comes on the agenda, the profit taking! The strategic bias for equities buckles this week more clearly downward, which can be interpreted as a harbinger for upcoming sell-offs. Since at the same time the sentiment shoots up, the unfavorable starting position for stocks in the next trading weeks completes itself. The 2020 Christmas rally is thus likely to be over.

    Further results:

    • Silver: Bias delivers buy signal
    • Bitcoins: Exuberance
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 50-2020

    Uploaded:
    13.12.20
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    908 KB

    Significant cooling of the mood

    The sentix economic expectations are literally going through the roof in December. This economic euphoria has recently also led to a significant increase in the risk parameters in investment behavior. The stock bull market is therefore no longer a foregone conclusion and is more susceptible to corrections. Fortunately, the consolidation week that has just ended has helped to reduce the risks that have been highlighted.

    Further results:

    • FX: Euro with headwind
    • Bitcoins: Consolidation completed
    • sentix Sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results 49-2020

    Uploaded:
    13.12.20
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Short-term exhaustion

    Investors' propensity to speculate is currently particularly high. This is not only evident with regard to the US options markets. The sentix risk levels are also very high. The coming “calendar week 50” has already often disturbed year-end hopes. Without such a short-term adjustment, it will be difficult for shares to generate any noticeable price gains. Too many investors are currently betting on the apparently secure year-end profits.

    Further results:

    • FX: EUR-USD with tactical short signal
    • Gold mines: Bias incrase
    • sentix economic indices: Monday, 07.12.2020, 10.30am

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 48-2020

    Uploaded:
    13.12.20
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Investor strongly increase their equity holdings

    This week, the stock markets have further consolidated the sentiment impulse from the US election week. However, the high level of basic strategic confidence remains positive. As a result, TD values remain in negative territory and are thus well away from a sell indication. A further seasonal strength phase is now beginning, which will last until around December 6th. 2020 could therefore still end on a positive note for equities. Precious metals, on the other hand, will probably find it difficult to set any further positive accents in 2020.

    Further results:

    • FX: Yen strength not yet over
    • Crude oil: Basic confidence continues to rise
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 47-2020

    Uploaded:
    22.11.20
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    1 MB

    Stable basic confidence

    This week, the stock markets have further consolidated the sentiment impulse from the US election week. However, the high level of basic strategic confidence remains positive. As a result, TD values remain in negative territory and are thus well away from a sell indication. A further seasonal strength phase is now beginning, which will last until around December 6th. 2020 could therefore still end on a positive note for equities. Precious metals, on the other hand, will probably find it difficult to set any further positive accents in 2020.

    Further results:

    • Precious metals: Not much more to expect in 2020
    • Crude oil: Basic confidence increases
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 46-2020

    Uploaded:
    15.11.20
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    856 KB

    All-time high in equity bias for US stocks

    The strategic bias for US equities reaches a new all-time high of +41 percentage points! Neither the squabbles over the presidential succession nor the sharp rise in infection figures leave investors in any doubt that the stock market should be higher in 6 months' time-span. At the same time, the stock sentiment has cooled down somewhat. Consequently, the outlook for the global stock markets is improving.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Overconfidence - Missing
    • Gold: Bias cracks
    • sentix sector sentiment

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 45-2020

    Uploaded:
    08.11.20
    File Size:
    900 KB

    "shake-up experience” of a special kind

    The high level of pessimism in the stock market sentiment during the previous week turned out to be an ideal contrarian entry signal. The subsequent counterattack on the global stock markets impressed investors, flanked by the outcome of the US presidential election. This creates a "shake-up experience” of a special kind: investors realize the improvement on the global political stage and raise their sentiment by around 55 (!) percent. The jump in sentiment is to be understood as a sentiment impulse.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Fourth strongest sentiment impulse in history
    • Crude oil: Bias turns up
    • sentix economic index: New data on 09th Nov. 2020 / 10:30 CET

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    sentix Survey results 44-2020

    Uploaded:
    01.11.20
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Parallels to the first lockdown

    The second lockdown, whether light or not, imposed in many countries has contributed to considerable uncertainty among investors. Sentiment levels are falling sharply. But surprisingly, basic strategic confidence remains unaffected. This is a statistically promising starting position, but unfortunately also one that resembles that of the end of February 2020. So it will be exciting in the short term.

    Further results:

    • FX: Euro consolidation not completed
    • Oil: Bearish sentiment

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    sentix Survey results 43-2020

    Uploaded:
    25.10.20
    File Size:
    815 KB

    The Corona-Regret Aversion

    The number of new corona infections is increasing worldwide, the US presidential election is approaching. Does this increase the price risks from the perspective of Behavioral Finance analysis? The risk radar indicates moderate opportunities. By comparison, at the end of August we had a much higher risk setup. In addition, the stock bias signals growing confidence, and there is still a need for action in the portfolios, especially among institutional investors (see positioning data on p.5).

    Further results:

    • Equities: Price risk? Not really!
    • Gold: Still constructive
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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