sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Folder: sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Files:
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sentix Survey results (49-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 08.12.24
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- 901 KB
TD indices in the sell zone
The sentiment for equities and in the crypto market boils over briefly. Euphoria and carelessness are spreading. At the same time, strategic confidence is falling. The AD line and market breadth also call for caution. The data situation has rarely been so critical for the bulls. Only seasonality argues against a sharp correction. But is it wise to ignore risk signals just because of the prospect of a year-end rally?
Further results
- Bitcoins: Euphoria
- FX: Yen could strengthen again
- sentix economic index: Monday, 9th Nov. 2024 at 10:30 AM CET
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sentix Survey results (48-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 01.12.24
- File Size:
- 999 KB
Is the equity year largely over?
There are increasing signs that the bull market in equities will have run its course in 2024. Although short-term sentiment remains positive, this, in conjunction with a decline in basic confidence, is an unfavourable constellation. At the end of the year, the euro will come under renewed pressure. At the same time, precious metals are sending improved signals, which suggests that the new year will get off to a good start.
Further results
- FX: Basic confidence in the euro continues to decline
- Precious metals: Improvement
- UK equities: strategic bias falls significantly
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sentix Survey results (47-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 24.11.24
- File Size:
- 948 KB
Investors love the greenback
The different economic paths in the eurozone and the USA are increasingly leading to differentiated expectations in the reaction patterns of central banks. The interest rate spreads are also having an impact on the currency market. As a result, the preference in favour of the US dollar is bringing sentiment for EUR/USD to its knees. The strong polarisation in opinion is leading to contradictory signals. These are only likely to unfold at the turn of the year. There are no significant new signals for equities. All the more noteworthy are the extremes of sentiment on the crypto market.
Further results
- Gold: Model boy
- Bitcoins: Mood at boiling point
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (46-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 17.11.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
The "Trump trade" is faltering
The ‘Trump trade’ is faltering. At least the bulls are already pulling back again. The proportion of bulls in the sentiment index fell by around 20 percentage points. However, the sentiment is still at an elevated level, after we reported an all-time high in the previous week. In Europe, strategic confidence remains weak. There is a bright spot in the sentiment for gold.
Further results
- Gold: A ray of hope
- Crude oil: Strategic bias collapses
- sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (45-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 10.11.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
All-time high in US equity sentiment
Donald Trump's election victory triggers a veritable frenzy of joy. Sentiment for US equities reaches a phenomenal level of +53 percentage points, marking a new all-time high (data history since 2001)! The optimism is focussed very strongly on the US markets. Other stock markets are sending worrying signals. The bond markets are also feeling the effects. The consolidation in precious metals is constructive.
- Further resultsEquities: Bad data for German equities
- Bonds: Bias implosion
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (44-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 03.11.24
- File Size:
- 885 KB
Pessimism returns quickly
Within two weeks, investors' euphoria on the stock market has faded and even turned into slight pessimism. It still seems too early for an anti-cyclical entry. The bond market in particular is proving to be a spoilsport. The declining bond prices are being acknowledged by a falling bias. This is likely to be a stress test for offensive bond portfolios. The expected consolidation in precious metals is also taking shape.
Further results
- Equities: Overconfidence for US technology stocks
- Bonds: Stress test
- sentix economic index: Monday, 04th Nov. 2024 at 10:30 AM CET
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sentix Survey results (43-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 27.10.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Very weak basic trust in US bonds
The stock markets are going through a mood damper. The bulls are getting cold feet and pulling back. The sentiment development is still compatible with an intermediate correction in the intact uptrend. However, the strategic fundamental trust should not erode further. This is already the case for bonds. And also for gold, at least the fundamental trust relative to positioning is too weak.
Further results
- Equities: Sentiment on the decline
- Gold: Missing bias support
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (42-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 20.10.24
- File Size:
- 1022 KB
From overconfidence to euphoria
The sentiment indicators on the stock markets are showing euphoria. As a result, the risk parameters are deteriorating - especially for the DAX. In addition to high overconfidence, the position risk is also increasing significantly! There are also signs of exuberance on the crypto market. According to Bitcoin sentiment, the desire to speculate is extremely high. Investors are also rejoicing in silver. However, this reflects the characteristics of a sentiment impulse that holds out the prospect of further price gains.
Further results:
- Silver: Cheers and mood impulse
- Bitcoin: Like four weeks ago
- sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (41-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 13.10.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Make Americas S&P 500 greater again
Sentiment for US equities is great, but medium-term confidence is even higher: at +31 percentage points, the strategic bias is at its highest level since December 2020. Investors can't seem to get enough of the S&P 500's record highs. The trend is fuelled by US technology stocks. The temporary aversion from the summer months is no longer much in evidence here. There is also an all-clear signal for gold.
Further results:
- Further resultsGold: Basic confidence catches on at a high level
- Crude oil: Rise could continue
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (40-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 06.10.24
- File Size:
- 926 KB
The Strategic bias in equities is rising significantly
During the Chinese holiday week, investors' fundamental confidence in equities improved globally. Institutional investors in particular are reacting very positively in their strategic bias, which statistically indicates rising equity prices. At the same time, sentiment is cooling off in the short term, causing the TD indices to fall as well. We are also measuring bias signals in bonds and the currency market, while the oil sentiment is very bullish.
Further results
- EUR-USD: Reversal in the strategic bias
- Crude oil: Bullish sentiment
- sentix Economic Index: Monday, 7th oct. 2024, 10:30am CET
