sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 38-2021

    Uploaded:
    19.09.21
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    Price opportunities indicated

    The sentiment values on the stock markets remain depressed. The AAII barometer also shows a clear decline in sentiment, confirming the sentix indication. What is special about the last few months is the change in sentiment since March, when we were able to measure optimism, to the current scepticism, but without a corresponding price development. This underlines the enormous overhang of liquidity, which nips correction approaches in the bud.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Basic confidence further improved
    • Precious metals: Disappointment leads to a dip in sentiment
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 37-2021

    Uploaded:
    12.09.21
    File Size:
    1022 KB

    DAX in focus twice

    The strategic bias of Chinese equities as well as for Japanese equities is picking up! Institutional investors in particular recognise a special opportunity in this region. Confidence is also spreading for European equities. Germany is doubly in focus. For bonds, the contrarian environment is still too vague. Things look better for bitcoins and precious metals. But the latter must now deliver!

    Further results:

    • Equities: Bias all-time high for Swiss equities
    • Precious metals: Obligation to deliver
    • sentix Sector Sentiment

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 36-2021

    Uploaded:
    05.09.21
    File Size:
    1020 KB

    Basic confidence improves

    While it is still unclear whether the typical summer weakness in equities will make itself felt in the short term, the outlook for Q4 continues to improve. Investors' underlying confidence in equities is rising. This is particularly exciting in the US for small cap stocks, where investors are comparatively defensively positioned.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Basic confidence continues to plummet
    • EUR-USD: Basic confidence turns around
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 06th September 21, 10:30h CEST

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 35-2021

    Uploaded:
    30.08.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    More opportunities than risks

    We continue to measure an unusual sentiment picture on the stock markets. The sentiment corresponds to that of a market after a correction; instead, US equities, for example, are trading at an all-time high. With a simultaneous moderate increase in fundamental confidence, we believe the opportunities outweigh the risks.

    Further results:

    • FX: EUR-USD should stabilise
    • Precious metals: Gold and gold miners must now deliver
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 34-2021

    Uploaded:
    23.08.21
    File Size:
    870 KB

    High pessimism is not always a given

    In the past week, sentiment for US equities has plummeted significantly: The sentiment barometer reacted very violently and lost 38 (!) percentage points within a week. We are recording a new 52-week low. From a contrarian analytical point of view, it is worth buying. However, such a strong sentiment break carries a second message: another price strain is indicated for the next 2-3 stock market weeks. Only then can we be happy again.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Not a good constellation
    • Precious metals: Gold remains supported, HUI wobbles
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 33-2021

    Uploaded:
    15.08.21
    File Size:
    919 KB

    Summer lethargy on the stock market continues

    The summer lethargy on the stock market gives reason to wonder: Investors are hardly developing any emotions. If at all, only private investors are showing occasional happiness. Institutional investors are chronically more hesitant. The positioning behaviour of the two investor groups has also been along these lines for months. Normally, such a high difference in sentiment occurs only briefly and usually correlates with upper market turning points.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Bias and prices go their separate ways
    • Precious metals: Considerable investor reaction
    • sentix Sector Sentiment

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 32-2021

    Uploaded:
    08.08.21
    File Size:
    808 KB

    Surprisingly little cheering, surprisingly few fears

    The Chinese stock market remains battered, but the other major stock markets do not seem to be affected so far. Now there is the next potential disruptive fire in the form of interest rates. Institutionals are picking up more of the scent of the problem, much more so than retail investors. The insti-bias on long-term euro bonds is falling to a new low. At the same time, precious metals come under heavy pressure. The investor reaction is characterised by astonishing coolness.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Surprisingly little cheering
    • Bonds: Surprisingly few fears
    • Precious metal: Surprisingly few fears
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 09th August 2021 on 10:30h CEST

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 31-2021

    Uploaded:
    01.08.21
    File Size:
    810 KB

    China in focus

    The focus is on the Chinese stock market, whose technology stocks have come under massive pressure. The weakness of the market had been announced in recent weeks via a poor strategic bias. But the situation still seems too early for a contrarian buy. Our risk radar does not give the all-clear. Rather, the question is how long the remaining risk assets can ignore this imbalance.

    Further results:

    • Global Equities: Scepticism goes, overconfidence remains
    • Risk radar: Tense situation with bonds
    • FX: Rising carelessness in EUR/CHF

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 30-2021

    Uploaded:
    25.07.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Moderate improvement in sentiment

    In recent weeks, strategic confidence in oil has plummeted. This usually leads to position reductions. However, positioning is by no means very bullish at the moment, so there is less risk to the oil price than would otherwise be the case. In equities, sentiment is neutralising and the neutral position is filling up again. A volatile summer phase is thus not yet off the table.

    Further results:

    • Gold: Bias remains stable
    • Crude oil: Weak bias but positive seasonal pattern
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 29-2021

    Uploaded:
    18.07.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Unusually stable sentiment

    We continue to measure unusual sentiment developments on the stock market. Although the technical condition of the stock markets has deteriorated over the course of the week, impressively demonstrated for example by the decline of stocks above the 250-day line in the Russell 2000 Index and the resulting negative divergence in the indicator, there has been virtually no change in sentiment and bias. In our opinion, this is not a positive sign.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Private investors develop strategic confidence
    • Crude oil: Strategic bias falls again
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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