sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 28-2021

    Uploaded:
    11.07.21
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    1 MB

    TD buy signals

    The moderate correction over the course of the week has an astonishingly large impact on sentiment in equities. With underlying confidence stable at the same time, buy signals are emerging in the TD Index. Statistically, these are very interesting, but two reasons are likely to limit the bulls' dreams: on the one hand, the approaching end of seasonal support and, on the other, the further clouding of the strategic situation in China.

    Further results:

    • Precious metals: Positive bias development
    • Crude oil: Strategic bias tips off
    • sentix Sector Sentiment

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 27-2021

    Uploaded:
    04.07.21
    File Size:
    1023 KB

    Something does not fit together

    Bond prices seem stable. In the background, however, basic strategic confidence has plummeted and positioning, conversely, is far too high. These developments do not fit together, especially as the latest economic figures are adding fuel to the fire. The latest July data from the "first mover" point the way. Speaking of oil, the risk factors for black gold are rising again. The situation is much more relaxed for precious metals.

    Further results:

    • Equities: China as a disruptive factor
    • Crude oil: Risk radar with negative signal
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 05th July 2021 at 10:30 AM CET

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    sentix Survey results 26-2021

    Uploaded:
    27.06.21
    File Size:
    909 KB

    Bears lose patience

    Offensively oriented equity portfolios meet extremely high neutrality. This is likely to lead to greater volatility in the coming weeks! In addition, the bears are slowly losing patience, the correction in equities just won't come. So something is brewing! Risks are also increasing in crude oil: The Overconfidence Index is the first warning signal.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Super-Neutrality with new all-time high
    • Crude oil: High overconfidence
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 25-2021

    Uploaded:
    20.06.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Weak post-future expiry week likely

    The June futures expiry is usually very important in the stock markets. Investors take stock of the first half of the year and are called upon to position themselves for the second half of the year and - even more important - for the often volatile summer months. The week after expiry is usually accompanied by price weakness before a final phase of strength until the end of July. Sentiment data does not necessarily contradict this course, with volatility casting its shadow ahead.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Professionals lose basic confidence
    • Gold: First stabilisation, then upswing again
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 24-2021

    Uploaded:
    13.06.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    No summer rally in sight

    The markets remain emotionless and careless. The measured overconfidence levels for European equities call for caution, and investors are successively closing their vola-short positions in the United States. The positioning behaviour on the US bond market is striking: bias and positioning go separate ways. No all-clear can be given for bitcoins either. On the other hand, precious metals remain solidly supported.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Positioning and US bias go separate ways
    • Gold: Still solid
    • sentix Sector Sentiment: Holiday feelings

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 23-2021

    Uploaded:
    06.06.21
    File Size:
    814 KB

    Emotionless and careless

    The current situation on the stock market is accompanied by low levels of emotion. At the same time, there is still a lack of medium-term fundamental conviction. This is causing a lot of irritation among investors, which can be seen in the neutrality indices: For the TecDAX we even measure a new all-time high in its twenty-year history! This phenomenon can also be observed on other stock markets. More volatile weeks should therefore lie ahead.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Lack of trust
    • Gold: Sustained high basic conviction
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 07th June 2021 at 10:30h CEST

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 22-2021

    Uploaded:
    30.05.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Rising volatility to be expected

    There has been little news in the sentix data set over the course of the week. Increasing volatility is expected on the US stock market. Investors in Europe are also positioned rather offensively, which is often rather unfavourable in the run-up to the summer months. Steadiness in the price rise is likely to have contributed to this optimistic portfolio action. However, the sentix Overconfidence Index is thus reaching a critical level for German equities.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Overconfidence on the German stock market
    • Gold: Basic confidence remains high
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results 21-2021

    Uploaded:
    23.05.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Few bulls, irritation rises

    The price development of shares causes the bulls to retreat. But this does not create new bears. Irritation currently dominates. This indicates an increase in volatility on the stock market. In gold and silver, on the other hand, the data rather suggest a relatively stable continuation of the upward movement.

    Further results:

    • Gold: Basic confidence still high
    • Oil: Top in sight
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 20-2021

    Uploaded:
    16.05.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Not really a new situation

    Sentiment for US equities remains moderately bearish, acknowledging the recent weakness in the US equity market. Volatilities have risen, the P/C ratio has touched the last reversal levels. The strategic bias does not yet show any bargain hunters. This speaks for a continuing corrective movement. The European stock market is benefiting from "less technology". Nevertheless, the bond market could become a killjoy here as well.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: New 52-week low in bias
    • Bitcoins: Negative sentiment impulse
    • sentix Sector Sentiment

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 19-2021

    Uploaded:
    09.05.21
    File Size:
    968 KB

    Paradox sentiment situation

    The S&P 500 is rushing from one all-time high to the next. Surprisingly, this process is relatively "unemotional". Sentiment for equities in the USA is just about neutral. At the same time, fewer and fewer investors are following the upward trend at the strategic level. Medium-term reservations are growing and in the end are also reflected in sentiment. The situation is different in the precious metals sector. There, investors are rejoicing over the successful liberation blow.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Strong bias discount
    • Gold: Sustainably good starting position
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 10th May 2021 at 10:30h CEST

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