56% expect the break of the Eurozone

Print

This is the result of the first survey on the new sentix Euro break-up risk index. 56% of the survey participants expect therefore at least the outlet of at least one country from the euro zone within the next 12 months! The survey involved nearly 1,000 investors from home and abroad. The probability of leaving the euro zone estimated here by private and institutional participants are very similar.

Greece "top candidate"

On the question which country is most likely to leave the euro zone, the participants - not surprisingly - answer very clear:88.9% expect Greece as the top exit candidate. Other countries are playing in the eyes of investors as an outlet candidates currently only a minor role. The two exceptions: Germany and Spain!

With 1.25%, the exit probability for Spain is even slightly higher than that of Portugal (1%). Considerably higher is the estimated probability for an exit of Germany (5.25%). Here have mainly the private investors a clear preference.

The sentix Euro break-up Risk Index is now collected weekly. The latest results are published at http://ebr.sentix.co.uk 

We use cookies and third-party services that store information in the end device of a site visitor or retrieve it there. We then process the information further. This all helps us to provide you with our basic services (user account), to save the language selection, to optimally design our website and to continuously improve it. We need your consent for the storage, retrieval and processing. You can revoke your consent at any time by deleting the cookies from this website in your browser. Your consent is thereby revoked. You can find further information in our privacy policy. To find out more about the cookies we use and how to delete them, see our privacy policy.

I accept cookies from this site.

EU Cookie Directive Module Information