sentix Euro Break-up Index News

On this page we provide information about the latest development of the sentix Euro break-up Index. This indicator shows over time, how likely individual and institutional investors rate the probabilty of a breakup of the euro area (leaving at least one country) within 12 months time. Also it reflects which countries are particularly affected.

Access to all charts for regsitered sentix voters

Italian worry lines are growing again

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In recent weeks, investors' concerns about the stability of the euro zone have grown somewhat greater. The Italian government's attitude to the refugee crisis has contributed to this, as have increased concerns about an unregulated Brexit and Greece's "release" from the aid programme.

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The shake is easing

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After the Euro Break up Index indicated a new danger for the Euro-Zone in May, the situation calms down for the second month in a row. The overall index for the Euro zone fell significantly by 3.9 percentage points from 12.3% to 8.4%. Concerns about Italy are also declining.

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No escalation

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Despite the unrest in the European Union triggered by the new government in Italy and the issues in EU migration policy, there has been no further increase in the sentix Euro Break-up Index. On the contrary: the overall index even fell slightly from 13.0% to 12.3%. Private investors are much more nervous than institutional investors.

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Italy back in the spotlight

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The difficulties in forming a government in Italy and the prospect of a Eurocritical alliance between Lega Nord and the 5-star party have alarmed investors. Italy's likelihood of leaving the country rises sharply in May from 3.6% to 11.3%. For the eurozone as a whole, the sentix EBI Index rises to 13%, the highest level since April 2017. And there is another surprise!

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Europe remains calm

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Investors' worries about a collapse of the euro zone will be reduced again in April. The sentix EBI Index again reached an all-time low of 6.3 points. Although the political situation in Italy remains unclear and the economic mo-mentum in Europe has recently dampened, this has no effect on the assessment of the stability of the euro zone.

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