sentix ASR Essentials 36-2014

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High uncertainty on Equities even as sentiment revives

While sentix survey respondents remain highly pessimistic on the Euro, there are signs that optimism is returning in terms of the medium-term outlook for Eurozone bonds and equities (see Charts 6 & 9, pages 3 & 4). In the case of equities, the revival in medium-term sentiment readings on the likes of the DAX and EuroSTOXX indices has occurred despite heightened pessimism over the near-term outlook. It may be that investors have begun to see value in equities after their summer setbacks. However, the improved tone of sentiment has also been set against a reduced level of over-investment in equities, based on the monthly survey questions on investor positioning. Equity sentiment on the medium-term is improving, but uncertainties have not gone away, as indicated by positioning and elevated 'neutrality' levels (see Chart 7, page 3).

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