Seasonally July is more exciting than May

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Saisonal ist der Juli spannender als der Mai

Die DAX-Saisonalität entspricht in diesem Jahr relativ gut der typischen Saisonalität. Während in den Medien meist der Mai als Verkaufsmonat diskutiert wird, ist der Juli der viel spannendere Monat.

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sentix Survey results (25-2019)

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Bullish US equity sentiment

With the achievement of new all-time highs in the S&P 500 Index, the mood has also changed fundamentally. Whereas at the beginning of June we were still able to measure high pessimism and diagnose a buying opportunity, sentiment is now as high as it was in September 2018, for example. sentix sentiment signals are to be captured much more clearly than, for example, a mood derived from the put call ratio. We will show below how we assess US equities.

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Nothing speaks for banks at the moment...

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Nothing speaks for banks at the moment...

...and there's a chance in that. The sentix sentiment sector for banks reached a value of -2.4 standard deviations in June, one of the lowest values measured by sentix since 2001. From the point of view of the contrary sentiment analysis, such a finding makes us sit up and take notice and in principle expect rising prices.

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sentix Survey results (24-2019)

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Bella Italia? Not for bonds.

The discussion about Italy's debt sustainability and the possible introduction of mini bots have led to a new all-time low in the strategic bias on Italian bonds. A new negative record has also been set relative to German bonds. Will this provide new food for the euro crisis? Already in 2017, a negative relative development in bias was a harbinger of a price weakness of BTPs in the summer.

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Investors rely on the central banks

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Investors rely on the central banks

Even if the bond markets appear technically exhausted in the short term, they are still strongly supported thematically.

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