sentix Survey results (38-2022)

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Equities at the crossroads

In the course of the week, the high level of fear turned into a touch of panic. At times, share prices fell significantly. Sentiment remains very weak. The market has now reached an interesting crossroads: do we continue to follow the 2008 path, which so far has also coincided relatively well with 2001? Or is the market changing lanes and following the 2001 path? The difference between 2001 and 2008 could hardly be greater as of now.

Further results

  • Bonds: Normalisation in strategic bias
  • FX: Euro sentiment collapses
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (37-2022)

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Equity sentiment at another all-time low

September lives up to its reputation. Even weak equity sentiment does not save them from price weakness. In fact, this is rather untypical in the USA at this time of the year. It is the three weeks after the futures decline that are well remembered by the bears there.

Further results

  • Bonds: TD Index at lowest level since 2010
  • Gold: Strategic bulls give up
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (36-2022)

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Basic confidence in equities remains the core problem

The very high level of fear that we measured on equities in the previous week gave way somewhat in the course of the week. Nevertheless, equities should still benefit somewhat from the poor sentiment. However, we continue to doubt that we are at a classic contrarian buying point. Fundamental confidence simply remains too weak. Moreover, in our view, the action patterns do not reflect the seriousness of the situation. The parallels to 2001 and 2008 still exist.

Further results

  • Crude oil: Risks increase
  • Silver: OCI and bias with positive signals
  • sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (35-2022)

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ANGST

This is what ANGST looks like! The mood at the stock markets reaches in rows new historical extreme values! Fear shoots the investors in the limbs, it could go with the energy supply violently something wrong. At the same time, the price of crude oil is wobbling and fears of recession are becoming real. If things turn out as they did in the crisis years of 2008 and 2001, the fall will bring a sharp drop in crude oil prices. This would then give the central banks arguments and room for maneuver.

Fruther results

  • Crude oil: Price collapse as in 2001/2008?
  • FX: High overconfidence among US dollar bulls
  • sentix economic index: 05th September 2022 at 10:30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (34-2022)

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Private investors react hesitantly

There is no end to the bad news. Sentiment collapses, investors smooth out their positions. The professionals have already prepared for a stronger setback. Private investors are reacting hesitantly. But how should positioning behavior be assessed? A comparison with 2008 shows that there is still enough room for maneuver on the downside.

Fruther results

  • FX: Bias in the Swiss Franc reaches record level
  • Precious metals: Constructive
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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