sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Folder: sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Files:
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sentix Survey results (27-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 09.07.23
- File Size:
- 832 KB
Vola is back - fears too
The Vola is back! Via the high neutrality, we have recently received the hint that the price volatility will increase in the summer. This process has now begun: the neutral camp is starting to take sides. Very impulsively, the sentiment sags downwards. A tactical recovery is thus in the offing. However, the all-clear cannot be given yet. A new buying reflex is not indicated by the bias. The Super Neutrality Index also still offers considerable room to the downside.
Further results
- Bonds: Z-score in TD index at almost -3!
- Gold: Bias goes into advance
- sentix economic index: Monday, 10th July at 10:30 CEST
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sentix Survey results (26-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 02.07.23
- File Size:
- 957 KB
Basic confidence in precious metals returns
The negative sentiment in equities was followed by a clearly positive price reaction last week. The bears then moved back into the neutral camp. Strategically, the reservations remain. Not so with precious metals. In the case of gold and silver, the basic strategic confidence may improve. The sentix data also signal further support for bonds.
Further results
- Equities: Neutrality rises again
- Bonds: TD index remains positive
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sentix Survey results (25-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 25.06.23
- File Size:
- 962 KB
Sentiment slumps
That was quickly! After the institutional investors expressed massive strategic concerns about the previous week, the stock market is now sliding. This has the consequence that the stock sentiment collapses significantly. The sentix indicators are already reacting, the other indicators (e.g. AAII) still have some way to go. A new medium-term perspective does not arise from the price decline. On the other hand, investor irritation remains high, which is likely to cause vola to rise further in the coming weeks.
Further results
- Bonds: Bottoming out progresses
- Gold: Good reasons for an investment
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (24-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 18.06.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Institutionals have particularly strong concerns
The different interest rate policy of the Bank of Japan compared with the other major central banks is fueling speculation on the currency side via the interest rate differentials. The yen continues to lose value, and investors are positioning themselves for a trend continuation. However, the medium-term strategic bias is taking a different path. These days, it is the medium-term outlook that particularly concerns investors in equities, bonds and currencies. In most cases, the bias clearly decouples from market movements and points in the opposite direction. This has consequences.
Further results
- Bonds: Lowest TD index since 2007!
- FX: Yen in focus
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (23-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 11.06.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
High short-term irritation
The price development of shares is increasingly puzzling investors. The consequence: instead of a good mood, we measure an increasing irritation via the Neutrality Index. As a rule, this subsequently leads to increased market volatility.
Further results
- Bonds: TD-Index in the buy zone
- FX: Rare pound signals
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (22-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 04.06.23
- File Size:
- 847 KB
Japanese equities in focus
Japanese equities are currently stealing the show from other equity markets. Buoyed by a rise in underlying confidence, the Nikkei is reaching a new high for the year. But as with US technology stocks, the overconfidence index is signalling an elevated risk position. We measure further interesting data on gold and oil.
Further results
- Equities: Strategic fundamental confidence improved
- Commodities: Gold and oil with bias rise
- sentix economic index: 05.06.23 at 10.30 AM CEST
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sentix Survey results (21-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 28.05.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Better, but not yet good
The first half of the week caught investors cold and considerably dampened the mood on the stock market. At the same time, there has been an improvement in basic strategic confidence. However, a look at the TD Index, e.g. for the Nasdaq Index, shows that this does not yet give a buy signal.
Further results
- Bonds: US bonds with positive medium-term outlook
- FX: Discrepancy between positioning and bias
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (20-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 21.05.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
TD indices head back into the sell zone
The stock markets continued to surprise positively this week. The weak sentiment allowed for tactical recoveries. And indeed, we measure some short covering, which is also reflected in the increased bull ratio. But this was not a strategic liberation blow.
Further results
- Bonds: Strategically strengthened
- Gold: TD Index in the buy zone
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (19-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 14.05.23
- File Size:
- 848 KB
Investors remain stubborn
Investors are turning more and more to interest rate investments. The strategic bias for U.S. Treasuries climbs unwaveringly from week to week. We are currently measuring the highest value in the bias for U.S. longs since September 2006, and even a 20-year high for Bunds. This means that bonds are gradually stealing the show from equities and mutating into a serious competing investment. Precious metals also continue to score. Mining shares are also getting some of this shine.
Further results
- Bonds: Bonds, bonds, bonds - 20-year high in bias
- Goldmines equities: Benefit from the shine of gold
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (18-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 07.05.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Weak underlying confidence leads to nervousness
Nervousness about shares is on the rise. On the surface, the poor sentiment in equities gives hope. But the real tension is between the measurable serenity in the VIX Vola Index and the high neutrality of investors, which expresses their irritation about current market events. This tension should dissipate in the coming weeks. And as is almost always the case, this will happen through rising volatilities and a directional impulse.
Further results
- Bonds: Euroland bonds with rising fundamental confidence
- Gold: Still positive, but signs of fatigue
- sentix economic index: 08.05.23 at 10.30 AM CEST
