sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results (18-2024)

    Uploaded:
    05.05.24
    File Size:
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    China equities continue to score

    One of our recommendations from the 2024 annual outlook is scoring points with more and more investors: at +31 percentage points, the strategic bias for the CSI 300 has reached its highest level since April 2021. Fortunately, at +14 percentage points, sentiment does not indicate that the market is overheating. The other equity markets are also gaining further confidence among investors. While the bias is increasing in many equity markets, it is crumbling in bonds. The consolidation in precious metals and bitcoins is also constructive.

    Further results

    • Equities: Bias continues upward, sentiment supports
    • Silver: Silver lining on the horizon
    • sentix Economic Index: Monday, 06.05.2024, 10.30 am CEST

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    sentix Survey results (17-2024)

    Uploaded:
    28.04.24
    File Size:
    997 KB

    Sentiment still positive

    Following the buy signals from sentiment and the TD Index in the previous week, the stock markets recovered over the course of the week. This has improved sentiment, but there is further potential for price gains. It is also worth noting the improvement in basic strategic confidence, especially among professional market participants. In the bond sector, long-term bonds are coming under increasing pressure, with investors increasingly favouring short maturities.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Long-dated bonds unattractive
    • Gold: Surprisingly constructive sentiment
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (16-2024)

    Uploaded:
    21.04.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Sentiment deteriorate, willingness to buy increases

    The mood on the stock markets continues to deteriorate. The Middle East conflict and the weakness of technology stocks are having an impact. Sentiment on many stock markets has now reached contrary levels. At the same time, medium-term confidence is increasing. Overall, the general conditions for the equity market are improving. By contrast, things are not looking so good for bonds. The question therefore arises as to whether rising yields could potentially slow down a strong recovery in equities.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Unfavourable development
    • Gold: The signs are pointing to consolidation
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (15-2024)

    Uploaded:
    14.04.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Too little fear for a rapid end to consolidation

    Sentiment on the stock market continues to plummet. We are measuring the lowest sentiment value for many indices since January 5, 2024, reflecting fears of an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. However, it still seems too early to sound out a contrarian buy point from a sentiment analysis perspective. The existing fears are there, but compared to historical market turning points, they have not yet reached the quality that would suggest an anti-cyclical entry. The AAII Bull-Bear Index, for example, is still relatively high and therefore has a lot of "reaction space" to offer.

    Further results

    • Precious metals: First of all at the top
    • FX: Interest rate differentials and bias pro US dollar
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (14-2024)

    Uploaded:
    07.04.24
    File Size:
    950 KB

    Bull bump

    The geopolitical uncertainties and reduced prospects of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve have caused unrest on the stock markets and a slump in sentiment. However, the sentiment data points more towards consolidation and less towards the risk of a general trend reversal. Commodities in particular have benefited in the current environment. We are seeing bullish sentiment for gold and crude oil and thus a deterioration in the risk situation.

    Further results

    • EUR-USD: Bias continues to fall
    • Commodities: Short-term overshoots
    • sentix Economic Index: Monday, 08.04.2024, 10.30 am CEST

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    sentix Survey results (13-2024)

    Uploaded:
    31.03.24
    File Size:
    885 KB

    No cheers despite all-time highs

    We wish all sentix participants a happy Easter. Today you will receive the Easter edition of the sentix commentary.

    Further results

    • EUR-USD: Bias continues to fall
    • Commodities: Gold and oil still have potential
    • Easter Edition

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    sentix Survey results (12-2024)

    Uploaded:
    24.03.24
    File Size:
    888 KB

    Party with the handbrake on

    The stock markets remain in a bull trend for the time being. Nevertheless, the mood for dividend stocks is only cautiously positive. At the same time, the risk situation already indicated a month ago has intensified, particularly for Europe's stock markets. A correction is long overdue, especially as the investment behavior of private investors appears increasingly risky. The risks on the bond market are significantly lower. Precious metals are now also showing increased risks.

    Further results

    • EUR-CHF: Massive mood impulse
    • Crude oil: Confidence continues to rise
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (11-2024)

    Uploaded:
    17.03.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Negative sentiment divergence

    Imagine it is a bull market and investors are not infected by it. That is exactly the case. Prices are not sparking jubilation among investors. On the contrary. With the constant new highs, strategic scepticism is growing. But the proportion of bears is also growing in the short term. A clear negative divergence has emerged in sentiment, reminiscent of the end of 2021. Bull markets are not only ended by euphoria, but sometimes also by a rational rejection.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Sharp drop in sentiment
    • Crude oil: Basic confidence continues to rise
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (10-2024)

    Uploaded:
    10.03.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Bullish sentiment in the precious metals sector

    The consolidation signals for the equity market remain intact. Both the weak underlying confidence and the high values in the TD Index signal more risk than opportunity. Defensive asset classes, on the other hand, are much more appealing from an investor's point of view. Basic confidence in the bond market, for example, is rising steadily. The same applies to precious metals. However, a short-term overheating of sentiment is indicated here.

    Further results

    • Equities: The risks remain
    • Bonds: Basic confidence rises significantly
    • sentix sector sentiment

     

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    sentix Survey results (09-2024)

    Uploaded:
    03.03.24
    File Size:
    885 KB

    Buying Instis without a real conviction

    Now the Japanese stock market has also been hit: since this weekend, the Nikkei has also been affected by overconfidence risk (analogous to the USA and the Euro zone). This is causing increasing risk signals in sentix Risk Radar. Investors also regard the high prices in the indices as expensive and no longer see any potential for most stock markets in the medium term. It is therefore all the more astonishing that institutional investors are increasing their position risk without any real conviction. The situation looks better for bonds and gold.

    Further results

    • Equities: Now Japan too
    • Gold: Attacking all-time highs
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 04th March 2024 at 10:30 CET

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