Market psychology

Market psychology

The power of emotions

The power of emotions affect prices and trends in the markets.

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Euro Break-up Index

Euro Break-up Index

Will the Euro break-up?

What's the risk that the Euro breaks up? Which country is the most exposed? Whats the routes of infection?

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sentix Community

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Join the sentix Global Investor Survey and improve your trading results!

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First mover advantage

First mover advantage

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Sentiment research

Sentiment research

Professionally and accurately!

Weekly analysis of current market sentiment in German and English - for active participants free of charge!

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Broad spectrum

Broad spectrum

Indicators on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities

Sentiment on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities - from institutional and private investors!

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sentix Investmentmeinung 34-2016

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There are no translations available.

Gewinnmitnahme-Bereitschaft bei Gold steigt

Gold hat in diesem Jahr viele Anleger positiv überrascht. Nach den desaströsen Jahren 2013 bis 2015 haben sich immer mehr Investmenthäuser aus diesem Asset zurückgezogen. Gold schien als sicherer Fluchthafen ausgedient zu haben. Als wir im sentix Jahresausblick 2016 unsere Goldprognose auf 1.500 US-Dollar setzen, sorgte dieser Schritt für vielseitiges Aufsehen. Immerhin bedeutete das damalige Kursziel (bei einem Stand von 1.050 USD pro Feinunze) ein Plus von über 40%.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: keine

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Euro Break-up Index: Superficial ease of tensions

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Tensions within the euro zone are easing in August. The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) has fallen -4.6 points to 15.7 points, hence, significantly below the “magic” 20 points threshold. Overall, investors believe that the risk of the euro zone falling apart has decreased as risk sensitiveness for the euro periphery had fallen simultaneously. Only the continuously weak condition of the Italian banking industry, as well as lacklustre economic dynamic in Europe, emit risks.

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sentix ASR Essentials 34-2016

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Investors remain constructive on equities

The latest sentix survey underlines that while respondents have become modestly pessimistic on the near-term outlook for equities, they remain positive on equities from a medium-term strategic perspective. This chimes with the monthly positioning data, which indicate that investors have moved to a modestly above average level of over-investment in European equities. On the emerging market equities front, investors also remain highly positive on China in terms of their medium-term strategic bias. It would appear that increased expectations of a US Fed rate-hike have done little to damage investors’ constructive view on equities medium-term outlook. See charts 3-4, p2).

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Emerging Markets Sentiment rises to three-year high

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The monthly sentix indicator measuring investors’ sentiment for emerging markets equities points towards rising stock indices. Investors continue to show an unbridled willingness to purchase emerging markets stocks as the sentix index marks the highest reading since three years ago. Developments of economic expectations and commodity prices fire investors’ imagination.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 33-2016

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There are no translations available.

Aktien-Setup weiter aussichtsreich

Für gewöhnlich zittern die Anleger in den Monaten August und September. Denn statistisch gehören diese in den letzten zwanzig Jahren zu den schwächsten Aktienmarktperioden bei DAX & Co. Dabei liegt dies weniger daran, dass es oft im Sommer zu Kursverlusten kommt, sondern daran, dass wenn es zu Kursverlusten kam, diese besonders groß ausfielen. Die aktuelle sentix-Ergebnisanalyse zeigt jedoch, dass die Wahrscheinlichkeit für solche großen Verluste derzeit eher gering ist.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: DAX, EuroSTOXX, Rohöl, EUR-JPY

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