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In this folder you find our latest press releases and "indicator in focus" studies. If you have questions regarding sentix or our research please contact us per mail at info@sentix.de or use the contact form.

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    sentix Euro Break-up Index: Contagion risk for other countries increases

    Uploaded:
    01.08.16
    Modified:
    01.08.16
    File Size:
    203 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Contagion risk for other countries increases

    After the Brexit shock and the obvious increase end of June the sentix EBI (Euro Break-up Index) calms down by the end of the month July 2016. The decline of 6.8 points to 20.3 points should not hide the fact that the value is still higher than before the Brexit referendum. The obvious calm in the capital markets does not seem to mean, the risk for a break-up of the euro zone has sustainably given away. In the background the risk of contagion rather increases. Several countries like Finland or Italy reach new annual highs in the country-EBI-indices.

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    Indicator in focus: “Overconfidence Index” highlights threat to bond market

    Uploaded:
    01.08.16
    Modified:
    01.08.16
    File Size:
    164 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    “Overconfidence Index” highlights threat to bond market

    The sentix Global Investor Survey points towards mounting risk for German Bunds as the sentix Overconfidence Indicator’s +9 Points for the Bund-Future flashes warning signals. Comparable overconfidence levels have preceded market moves to the downside.

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    Indicator in focus: Investors prefer global equity markets

    Uploaded:
    18.07.16
    Modified:
    18.07.16
    File Size:
    250 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Investors prefer global equity markets

    The latest sentix Strategic Bias conveys a positive implication for global equities. Investors bet on further rising stock markets as confidence mounts. Albeit, the European equity markets are trailing since the Brexit referendum.

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    Indicator in focus: Opportunities arise in times of trouble

    Uploaded:
    11.07.16
    Modified:
    11.07.16
    File Size:
    179 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Opportunities arise in times of trouble

    The European banking crisis worsens in the wake of the Brexit referendum. The sentix Sector Sentiment marks a new all-time-low. However, investors’ impression has reached such an extreme negative value that it could represent a contrarian buy opportunity.

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    Special report on Brexit – an analysis in three acts

    Uploaded:
    27.06.16
    Modified:
    28.06.16
    File Size:
    748 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Brexit – An analysis in three acts

    • Act 1 (prelude): investors have long neglected the potential perils of a Brexit. As a logical consequence, fear mounted in the run-up to the referendum. The assassination of the British politician Joe Cox, however, ignited peoples status quo bias again. Until election eve, investors remained in denial. Therefore, the market was completely unprepared.
    • Act 2 (Brexit): the victory of the leave campaign caused investors to enter the behavioural stage of recognition abruptly. Over the next days, sentiment and uniform behavioural pattern dominate markets. Although, these behavioural traits will not leave a lasting impact.
    • Act 3 (outlook): while irrational exuberances should fade away over the coming days/weeks, the outcome of the Brexit referendum reveals structural interruptions for global markets. Such interruptions often built the basis for new, lasting market trends. It just depends on differentiation, in our opinion, the euro, US equities and German Bunds are to watch.

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    Euro Break-up Index: The Brexit becomes a Euro stress test

    Uploaded:
    27.06.16
    Modified:
    27.06.16
    File Size:
    254 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    The Brexit becomes a Euro stress test

    The unexpected vote of UK citizens wanting to leave the European Union, is also likely to hard shake the foundation of the euro again. Almost a third of investors responding in the sentix survey hold it again possible that the euro zone could break up within twelve months. In addition, new exit candidates appear on the horizon.

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    Indicator in focus: Fear feels different

    Uploaded:
    13.06.16
    Modified:
    20.06.16
    File Size:
    202 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Fear feels different

    “Brexit” polls heavily influence investors’ opinion on European equities. The latest surge in popularity of the “leave” camp accompanied by falling stock prices dampens the mood. Market participants should brace for further falling stock prices as the referendum approaches. Investors’ sentiment has yet to reach negative extreme value.

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    Indicator in focus: The calm before the trend

    Uploaded:
    20.06.16
    Modified:
    20.06.16
    File Size:
    180 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    The calm before the trend

    Investors’ uncertainty about the Chinese equity market rises to the highest level since November 2015. The sentix time series reveals that comparable neutrality levels are usually a leading indicator for new market trends.

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    Indicator in focus: Buy in May and stay?!

    Uploaded:
    24.05.16
    Modified:
    31.05.16
    File Size:
    218 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Buy in May and stay?!

    The latest sentix Global Investor Survey reveals an exceptionally positive signal for the German equity market. The prospects for a new bull market are increasing as especially the medium-term market expectation of institutional investors is on the rise.

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    Indicator in focus: Investors insure against insurance stocks

    Uploaded:
    24.05.16
    Modified:
    31.05.16
    File Size:
    176 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Investors insure against insurance stocks

    Negative stock price developments of European insurance companies cause frustration among the investment community. The sentix Sector Sentiment for European insurance stocks falls to a 12-month low in May. A potential buy opportunity could emerge.

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