sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results (08-2024)

    Uploaded:
    25.02.24
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    Rational in an irrational market?

    The stock markets continue to surprise with rising prices. The risk situation already indicated a month ago has at best slowed down the price upswing but has not yet led to a correction. As a result, the risk situation for equities has not eased, but rather increased across the board. There is increasing irritation at the strategic level. The picture is clearer for investors in precious metals.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Attractiveness declines
    • Silver: Basic confidence continues to rise
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (07-2024)

    Uploaded:
    18.02.24
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    986 KB

    Taking part is everything

    Sentiment neutral, neutrality near record highs, neutral in the portfolios. This is the result of an investment behavior that basically illustrates the perplexity, but also underlines the desire to participate in the development of the stock markets. There is a sense of unease (falling bias), but no desire to miss out (neutral positioning). If there is also a reward mechanism for taking risks through rising prices, the danger of overconfidence increases. The picture appears much more favorable for silver.

    Further results

    • Equities: You feel uneasy, but don't want to miss anything
    • Silver: Something's up!
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (06-2024)

    Uploaded:
    11.02.24
    File Size:
    939 KB

    The year of the dragon has begun

    The Chinese celebrate their New Year and welcome the "Year of the Dragon". In the last few trading days, shares there have performed a "reversal". This was very noticeable in the mid-caps (CSI 1000), following a broad-based sell-off in January 2024. Investors have recognized for some time that the price decline there represents an investment opportunity: The bias is emancipating itself and paints a completely different picture than for the other equity markets. On the sector side, the usual picture is emerging: investors are in love with pharmaceuticals and technology stocks.

    Further results

    • Equities: Overconfidence is also on the rise in the eurozone
    • Bonds: Improved starting position
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (05-2024)

    Uploaded:
    04.02.24
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    993 KB

    High-risk situation for US equities

    Surprisingly, the renewed all-time high in the S&P 500 is not fuelling investor sentiment. On the contrary, sentiment is actually falling. This represents a clear negative sentiment divergence. Added to this is the high risk situation, as indicated by the Overconfidence Index and the sentix Risk Radar. US equities are therefore a "hot potato".

    Further results

    • Gold: Gold miners out of fashion beyond measure
    • FX: Euro bias tilts
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 05.02.2024, 10.30 CET

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    sentix Survey results (04-2024)

    Uploaded:
    04.02.24
    File Size:
    967 KB

    All-time high in US equity overconfidence

    The technical condition of the stock markets is extremely robust. Nevertheless, the risks are increasing from the sentix analysis perspective. This applies above all to the US equity markets, where the overconfidence index has reached very high levels. Such a value indicates that the price development was so one-sided that investors are beginning to extrapolate trends. There are also interesting data changes to report for bonds and crude oil.

    Further results

    • Equities: Stall in the bias
    • Crude oil: Further rise in underlying confidence
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (03-2024)

    Uploaded:
    21.01.24
    File Size:
    958 KB

    Vola increase displayed

    The mix of high overconfidence, neutral sentiment and skeptical institutional investors is a warning sign for the US equity market. With new all-time highs, the S&P 500 is trying to draw investors into the markets. Investors are irritated and are flocking to the neutral camp, both in terms of sentiment and positioning behavior. A rise in vola is therefore indicated! There is also an unfavorable development in USD/JPY. (See also chart generator on our homepage www.sentix.co.uk )

    Further results

    • Equities: High overconfidence for US equities
    • Bonds: First downward wave nears its end
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (02-2024)

    Uploaded:
    14.01.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Shooting star Japan

    The stock markets showed a positive reaction to the negative sentiment of the previous week. However, the market consolidation is unlikely to be over yet. This is also true for the Japanese shooting star, as there is also a consolidation signal here. The underlying strategic confidence in crude oil continues to rise, underlining the seasonal price opportunities.

    Further results

    • Equities: US equities continue to consolidate
    • Crude oil: Medium-term expectations continue to rise
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (01-2024)

    Uploaded:
    07.01.24
    File Size:
    812 KB

    Superficially bullish data

    At the turn of the year, investment professionals took a record-breaking neutral stance. This has strategic implications.
    The price weakness on the stock markets at the start of the year also triggered initial reactions. Fears quickly arose and portfolio risks were adjusted in the portfolios as a first step. At the same time, the bias increases again. Old buying reflexes are being revived. Despite the stabilization tendencies indicated by sentiment, strategic reservations remain at the end of the day.

    Further results

    • Equities: Record neutral position at the start of the year
    • Bonds: Sharp drop in sentiment
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 08th January 2024 at 10:30 CET

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