sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Folder: sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Files:
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sentix Survey results (12-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 26.03.23
- File Size:
- 894 KB
Astonishingly little emotion
In terms of news, there has been a lot going on in the markets in recent days. Wobbly banks, huge support measures, at the same time rising key interest rates. The indices on the stock and bond side are whizzing wildly back and forth. Surprisingly, this is causing little emotion among investors. It almost seems as if a natural behavior pattern is being suppressed. In precious metals, the pulse of investors is rising. This is where emotionality comes to the fore.
Further results
- Bonds: Bias constructive, offensive positioning puts the brakes on
- Silver: There could still be something
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (11-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 19.03.23
- File Size:
- 947 KB
Strategic bias jumps
The FED's clear commitment, also underpinned by corresponding monetary actions, to nip the banking crisis in the US in the bud as far as possible, is convincing investors above all from a strategic perspective. The basic strategic confidence in US technology stocks has jumped significantly. This has only happened 8 times before. On average, the Nasdaq was up 6% 8 weeks later.
Further results
- FX: Surprisingly little movement in EUR-USD
- Gold: Overheated sentiment
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (10-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 12.03.23
- File Size:
- 1016 KB
U.S. equities wobble violently
It often takes a trigger to shake the weak underlying structure of the market. With the bank runs in California, there is now movement. Investors do not recognize a buying opportunity in the price decline, but lower their thumbs: The strategic bias for the S&P 500 falls to a 26-week low! In parallel, bonds can profit. The buy signals from the sentiment came at the right time. A liberation blow could have succeeded.
Further results:
- Bonds: Contrary buy signals at the right time
- Silver: Striking bias reaction
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (09-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 05.03.23
- File Size:
- 759 KB
China convincing, the rest not
Things are looking good for the Chinese stock market: The strategic bias is rising significantly again and ending its breather. This can be observed even more strongly among investment professionals. This is in clear contrast to the bias development for the other equity markets, which all reflect weak underlying confidence - despite rising/stable equity prices. In the case of bonds, the contrarian signals are increasing. High pessimism is accompanied by high overconfidence.
Further results:
- Bonds: The buy signals are increasing
- EUR/USD: Vola announcement
- sentix economic index: Monday, 06th March 2023 at 10.30 AM CET
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sentix Survey results (08-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 26.02.23
- File Size:
- 949 KB
Rising Vola indicated
Medium-term confidence in equities continues to crumble, with investors taking refuge in the neutral camp. For the Japanese Nikkei 225, we measure the highest level in the Super Neutrality Index since January 2022, which suggests rising volatility on the equity markets.
Bonds could benefit from this. Their best wild card is the TD index. Silver also puts an exclamation mark despite the ongoing price weakness!Further results
- Bonds: TD index as a wild card
- Silver: Exclamation mark despite price weakness!
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (07-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 19.02.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Seasonal weakness ahead
Before the start of a seasonal weak phase, sentix sentiment data sends contradictory signals. Basic strategic confidence is falling, paving the way for profit-taking. Sentiment, on the other hand, is as bad as it usually is at the end of corrections. Investors are well advised not to take too much risk.
Further results
- Bonds: Negative sentiment
- FX: Euro and Yen signals
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (06-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 12.02.23
- File Size:
- 947 KB
Equity Sentiment wobbles around
The stock sentiment does not provide a clear trend at the moment and is hovering around the zero line. At the same time, the bias is eroding, which does not bode well for the upcoming expiration week. Clearly better develops the investor behavior on the commodity side. In addition to crude oil, silver in particular looks very good. The TD index gives a new buy signal.
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sentix Survey results (05-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 05.02.23
- File Size:
- 886 KB
Strategic irritation with bonds on the rise
The markets have coped surprisingly well with the interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve and the ECB, both to the expected extent. This is also due to the fact, as the sentix Theme Barometer shows, that the pressure from the central banks currently seems to be easing. But while some seem to confuse the end of interest rate hikes with interest rate cuts, the sentix Inflation Barometer shows that a real all-clear cannot yet be given for inflation.
Further results:
- Equities: Positive development in the US equity bias
- FX: Euro bias dips
- sentix Economic Index: Monday, 06.02.2023, 10.30 a.m.
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sentix Survey results (04-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 29.01.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Basic strategic confidence remains weak
The dampener on sentiment was offset in the course of the week. The robustness of the stock market dispels investors' anxious emotions. Their strategic confidence, on the other hand, is not strengthened. On the contrary: the professionals are becoming more sceptical again in the medium term. Not good conditions for a new, stable upward trend.
Further results:
- Bitcoins: Good sentiment as in autumn
- Gold: Further price gains possible
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (03-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 22.01.23
- File Size:
- 995 KB
Sentiment takes a hit
We are measuring a surprisingly sharp drop in sentiment on the stock markets. Sentiment values are already falling back into the vicinity of the buying zones. This suggests further price gains on a more than 2-week horizon. Basic strategic confidence, on the other hand, still leaves much to be desired.
Further results:
- Bonds: Sentiment gets a damper
- Crude oil: Strategic fundamental confidence rises significantly
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
