sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 15-2021

    Uploaded:
    11.04.21
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    Sentiment cooling & new cycle low in bias

    Equity sentiment has cooled considerably within a week. However, the further decline in the strategic bias is problematic. Particularly in the Chinese equity markets, there is no inclination to buy back. Stronger sentiment adjustments are also occurring on the sector side. The trend in precious metals is positive, as the bias continues to rise. This is in line with adjusted positioning. Rising gold prices should be possible.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Still overconfidence in the eurozone
    • Gold: Precious metals score
    • sentix Sector sentiment

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 14-2021

    Uploaded:
    04.04.21
    File Size:
    931 KB

    Best equity sentiment since the end of 2019

    There are increasing signs that the current equity rally will soon come to an end. This is clear from several indicators. Sentiment has risen to its most optimistic level since the end of 2019, while basic strategic confidence is crumbling. At the same time, portfolios are offensively oriented. And last but not least, we measure a falling share of stocks that are yet to reach new 52-week highs. Such a divergence should also be classified as a critical harbinger.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Stabilization phase underway
    • Gold: Basic strategic confidence returns
    • sentix Economic Index: Tuesday, 06.04.2021 at 10:30h CEST

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    sentix Survey results 13-2021

    Uploaded:
    28.03.21
    File Size:
    817 KB

    Unusual unexcitedness

    An unusual "lack of excitement" can be observed on the stock markets. Even a potential supply shortage caused by the accident of a container ship in the Suez Canal seems to have little effect on the stock markets. Investors reflect via the crude oil bias that they do not assume a serious supply shortage in the economy. Plenty of emotionality can be measured on the currency side, however. The US dollar is strongly en vogue.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Stabilization phase underway
    • FX: Sentiment extremes in the US dollar
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 12-2021

    Uploaded:
    21.03.21
    File Size:
    990 KB

    The previous stock market stars lose their appeal

    Most recently, we measured the highest sentiment values for equities in over a year. In addition, an increasing willingness to take profits can be seen, which is weighing on the previous stars of the stock market in particular. The weakening fundamental conviction can also be observed in a bias erosion in crude oil. As a rule, positioning follows the bias with a certain time lag. This could provide relief for the extremely present inflation concerns and also for bond prices.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Obviousness
    • FX: The dollar bulls continue to dance
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 11-2021

    Uploaded:
    14.03.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Bullish sentiment urges caution

    A successful stock market week lies behind us. The DAX and the Euro STOXX in particular were able to report significant price jumps. Investors have noticeably increased their portfolio risks, as our data show. This has clearly improved sentiment. This gives rise to risks. The same applies to the US equity markets. In the smaller stocks, we measure a share of almost 25% of stocks that are now technically overbought. This is also a sign that the air is now getting thinner.

    Further results:

    • Silver: Basic strategic confidence rises again
    • FX: US dollar still in demand
    • sentix Sector sentiment

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 10-2021

    Uploaded:
    07.03.21
    File Size:
    732 KB

    US Bonds with Countercyclical Buy Signal

    Recently, rising yields have put US technology stocks in particular under pressure. Due to the high weight in the main indices, this also had consequences for the broad market. All the more remarkable is the recent turn in the strategic bias for U.S. Treasuries. This has risen by more than 11 percentage points in the last three weeks. Such a rate of change promises purely statistical recovery potential for U.S. bonds. The equity markets should benefit from this.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Stable underlying confidence, sentiment supports
    • FX: US dollar still in demand
    • sentix economic index: Monday 08th March 2021 at 10:30 CET

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    sentix Survey results 09-2021

    Uploaded:
    28.02.21
    File Size:
    1007 KB

    Renewed TD signals

    The market environment for equities is not good at the moment. A look at the proportion of shares above the 50-day line, for example, shows a divergence for the S&P 500 Index. Such a divergence has been a harbinger of corrections in the past. It is therefore surprising that the sentix sentiment indicators show price opportunities. After all, the sentiment values are already clearly gloomy. What will prevail?

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Positioning becomes support
    • Gold: The worst seems to be over
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 08-2021

    Uploaded:
    21.02.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    The next tactical buy signal

    Very quickly, worries on the stock market arise again. This is astonishing, since the relatively calm price development in the stock indices does not actually provide any reason for fears. In the medium-term bias, these worries are not visible; calmness and persistence stand out there. Even the emerging interest rate fears cannot shake investors' fundamental conviction in equities. Consequently, the next tactical buy signal is in place.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Low bias vola
    • Bonds: Interest rate fears are present
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 07-2021

    Uploaded:
    14.02.21
    File Size:
    935 KB

    Fixed income on the shooting list

    While there is little movement in investor behavior on the equity side, investors are increasingly flying the flag on the bond side. Beneficiaries are the precious metals, first and foremost silver, where the bias again strives upward. With gold, however, the neutrality rises massively, which can be interpreted as a harbinger of a new trend impulse. The overconfidence quickly for the Asian stock markets, as well as for crude oil upwards.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Sentiment calming
    • Equities: Overconfidence for Asian equity markets and crude oil
    • sentix sector sentiment

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 06-2021

    Uploaded:
    07.02.21
    File Size:
    835 KB

    Further consolidation likely

    The more favourable conditions announced by the Time Differential Index for the course of the week have been reflected in stronger than expected price gains. The result is a strong increase in bullish market participants. This also makes it likely that the second part of our previous week's statement could become reality, namely another correction trend of around 2 weeks.

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