sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Folder: sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Files:
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sentix Survey results (24-2022)
- Uploaded:
- 19.06.22
- File Size:
- 892 KB
Professionals versus individuals - who will prevail?
The sell-off in risk assets continues. For institutional investors, depressed equity market prices are already becoming attractive and their bias is slowly rising, while private investors have yet to develop a new value perception on a 6-month horizon. A divergence of bias in both investor groups often correlates with market turning points. Similar spread widening in the bias can also be observed in US bonds and in EUR/USD.
Further results
- Bonds: Here, too, ideas diverge
- Bonds: Opportunities > Risk
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (23-2022)
- Uploaded:
- 12.06.22
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Another slump in sentiment for equities
The renewed slump in share prices is leading to a low in sentiment. US equity sentiment is at a similar low as in mid-May. In addition, the put-call ratio also jumps up. Investors are therefore increasingly looking to hedge. This will result in contrarian price opportunities until early / mid July, at the latest after the futures decline on Friday. Bonds, the big losers of the week, should also recover in price.
Further results
- Bonds: This has not happened since 2008!
- Political barometer: Eurozone in focus again
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (22-2022)
- Uploaded:
- 05.06.22
- File Size:
- 862 KB
Strategic confidence in equities remains weak
The weak development of strategic fundamental confidence remains the Achilles' heel for share price development. With the exception of China, the stabilisation approaches of the last few weeks do not generate an improved value perception among investors. The summer period is likely to be difficult.
Further results
- Bonds: Positive TD index
- Gold: Opportunity for the bulls
- sentix economic index: Tuesday 7th June 2022 at 10:30 CEST
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sentix Survey results (21-2022)
- Uploaded:
- 29.05.22
- File Size:
- 958 KB
Equity sentiment jumps sharply
The sigh of relief for equity investors can be felt in the data: sentiment scores for equities improve considerably, by up to 35% points, in the wake of the friendly share price trend. Is this a liberating blow? Hardly. Because the strategic bias does not follow suit, the TD values rise. Sustainability looks different.
Further results
- Equities: TD indices unfavourable
- FX: USD-JPY bias falls further
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (20-2022)
- Uploaded:
- 22.05.22
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Tactical recovery opportunities exist
Sentiment for US equities remains depressed. However, even though equities have once again hit the lows of the previous week and even fallen slightly below them, sentiment can decouple itself positively from this. A positive divergence in sentiment is thus emerging. A tactical recovery movement is likely.
Further results
- Bonds: Bias for US bonds continues to climb
- FX: US dollar profit-taking likely to set in
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (19-2022)
- Uploaded:
- 15.05.22
- File Size:
- 905 KB
An important piece of the puzzle is missing
At -44 percentage points, sentiment for U.S. equities reached a very high level of pessimism compared with the previous week. That the contrarian investor should nevertheless be cautious is shown by another dimension in investor behavior: The medium-term strategic bias is also weak, indicating no repurchase propensity despite declining stock prices. Consequently, the balance of sentiment and bias (see chart) is not that deep in negative territory. Good buying opportunities are characterized by the time differential index reaching a level of at least -35 percentage points (or lower).
Further results
- Bonds: Bias for US bonds climbs further
- Gold: Constructive
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (18-2022)
- Uploaded:
- 08.05.22
- File Size:
- 833 KB
Sentiment for Euroland equities falls to all-time low
At -49 percentage points, sentiment for Euroland equities marks a level never before measured in history! This makes the contrarian investor prick up his ears. Usually, such extremes in sentiment occur near market lows. However, very strong declines in sentiment can also trigger one last big avalanche, accompanied by short-covering actions. This was the case in August 2008, for example. With the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, the high level of pessimism was discharged into sharply falling share prices.
Further results
- Bonds: Low neutrality
- USD/JPY: Opportunities for the yen indicated
- sentix economic index: Monday 09th May 2022 at 10:30 CEST
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sentix Survey results (17-2022)
- Uploaded:
- 01.05.22
- File Size:
- 1014 KB
Bearish sentiment, weak underlying confidence
The stock markets remain under pressure. This leads to a slump in sentiment. In addition to the sentix index, the AAII index is also as low as it was last in 2005. Contrary opportunities arise from such a bearish sentiment situation. However, the market lacks value perception. The basic strategic conviction is missing. In the special analysis we highlighted the Ukraine conflict. For investors, a recession in 2022 is almost certain.
Further results
- Bonds: Bias continues to rise
- EUR-USD: Postive signals from TD-Index
- sentix special survey on Ukraine crisis
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sentix Survey results (16-2022)
- Uploaded:
- 24.04.22
- File Size:
- 926 KB
Tough vote from the pros
Investors are passing harsh judgment on equities. The withdrawal of confidence is particularly severe in the run-up to the presidential run-off election in France: the strategic bias for French equities is eroding at a record pace. The U.S. technology stock market is also suffering in investor favor, with medium-term confidence sinking to its lowest level since April 2005! The top formation of the Nasdaq was indicated early by the bias.
Further results
- Bonds: Rising value perception
- USD/JPY: Contrarians signals pile up
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (15-2022)
- Uploaded:
- 17.04.22
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Basic confidence in equities remains week
We wish all sentix survey participants a happy and blessed Easter. This week there is therefore a slightly shortened holiday edition.
Further results
- Bonds: Positive signals
- Gold: Basic confidence rises
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
