sentix Survey results (38-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 24 September 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Costant fear attacks

The price weakness of the past week leads to a renewed fear attack among investors. This is a typical weakness after the September futures decline. The number of bulls has shrunk significantly. Since fundamental confidence has held up so far, the renewed fear creates more opportunities than risks. There are rare sentix indicator signals in US bonds and in USD-JPY.

Further results

• Bonds: Rare OCI signal in US bonds
• FX: Rare TD signal in USD-JPY
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (37-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 17 September 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

How much is the seasonal headwind disturbing?

Sentiment toward equities is improving. But this does not lead to a clear increase in the number of bulls. Rather, the share of neutral investors is rising in the short term, indicating irritation. Indeed, much of the optimism rests on hopes for a typically good fourth quarter. But this is often preceded by a weak second half of September. The data also show that investors are increasingly enthusiastic about growth stocks and IPOs.

Further resuls

• Bonds: Bias continues to improve steadily
• Precious metals: Bias suggests further buying
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (36-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 10 September 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bias and economy go their separate ways

Sentiment on the stock market has dipped again. But short-term concerns are not preventing investors from upgrading their medium-term outlook. The stock markets in Japan and the USA are particularly popular with professionals. In parallel, confidence in crude oil is also rising. This benefits the sector, whose sentiment is now the most bullish of all 19 STOXX 600 sectors.

Further results

• Equities: Japan in the fast lane
• Crude oil: It looks like oil prices will continue to rise
• sentix sector sentiment

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How much is missing before the crisis?

Written by Manfred Hübner | 04 September 2023
Posted in sentix Economic News

The signs for the global economy sent out by the "first mover" among the economic indicators - the sentix economic index - point to a further downturn and a strengthening of the economic downturn forces. The situation in Germany remains particularly precarious. Here we are measuring the weakest situation values since July 2020, when the economy was slowed by the first Corona lockdown. Germany is also weighing heavily on the economy in the euro zone as a whole. The recession is progressing. But even for the USA, which has so far held up well and defied the restrictive FED policy, the economic data are falling markedly. The tipping point of a global recession is less distant than one might think.

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Data revision notification SNTL

Written by Manfred Hübner | 25 August 2023
Posted in Database news

Dear data client, due to a bug, a data point in the SNTL data sets for May 2010 was missing. We have reconstructed the data and added the missing data point to the data series.

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