sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 42-2021

    Uploaded:
    17.10.21
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    Sentiment impulse

    The number of bulls for US equities, as measured by sentix sentiment, has jumped in the last two weeks. This is likely to dampen the price outlook in the short term. However, a trend reversal is not on the agenda, as this increase is part of a bullish sentiment impulse that suggests further price gains on an 8-10 week horizon.

    Further results:

    • Gold mines: Better times ahead
    • Precious metals: Strategic bias continues to rise
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 41-2021

    Uploaded:
    10.10.21
    File Size:
    956 KB

    Crude oil with high risk

    The greatest risks are currently indicated by the price of crude oil. Sentiment is now euphoric, basic confidence in black gold is beginning to decline. The mix of both results (TD-Index) in an unfavourable starting position for the lubricant of the global economy. Conversely, this should mean a counter-cyclical support signal for bonds, as rising energy prices are fuelling inflation fears.

    Further results:

    • Equities: US equities constructive
    • Equities: No damage in confidence in Japan
    • sentix Sector Sentiment

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 40-2021

    Uploaded:
    03.10.21
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    Sentiment slump

    As expected, the post-election week after the Bundestag elections in Germany presented itself from a weaker, hectic side. The unrest stemmed less from politics and more from the turbulence on the energy markets. This led to striking sentiment signals in a number of markets.

    Further results:

    • FX: Sentiment in slump in EUR-USD
    • Crude oil: Euphoria indicated
    • sentix Economic index: Monday, 4th October 2021 on 10:30h CEST

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 39-2021

    Uploaded:
    26.09.21
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    Hectic post-election week likely

    While last week the focus was on China and the bankruptcy of the real estate company Evergrande, the discussion of the Bundestag election results is likely to move people's minds in the coming week. Traditionally, the post-election week is rather negative. Uncertainties about future politics are not bullish for the DAX, but nevertheless did not usually prevent a positive performance in Q4.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Institutionals are bearish
    • Crude oil: Unseasonably rising underlying confidence
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 38-2021

    Uploaded:
    19.09.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Price opportunities indicated

    The sentiment values on the stock markets remain depressed. The AAII barometer also shows a clear decline in sentiment, confirming the sentix indication. What is special about the last few months is the change in sentiment since March, when we were able to measure optimism, to the current scepticism, but without a corresponding price development. This underlines the enormous overhang of liquidity, which nips correction approaches in the bud.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Basic confidence further improved
    • Precious metals: Disappointment leads to a dip in sentiment
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 37-2021

    Uploaded:
    12.09.21
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    DAX in focus twice

    The strategic bias of Chinese equities as well as for Japanese equities is picking up! Institutional investors in particular recognise a special opportunity in this region. Confidence is also spreading for European equities. Germany is doubly in focus. For bonds, the contrarian environment is still too vague. Things look better for bitcoins and precious metals. But the latter must now deliver!

    Further results:

    • Equities: Bias all-time high for Swiss equities
    • Precious metals: Obligation to deliver
    • sentix Sector Sentiment

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 36-2021

    Uploaded:
    05.09.21
    File Size:
    1020 KB

    Basic confidence improves

    While it is still unclear whether the typical summer weakness in equities will make itself felt in the short term, the outlook for Q4 continues to improve. Investors' underlying confidence in equities is rising. This is particularly exciting in the US for small cap stocks, where investors are comparatively defensively positioned.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Basic confidence continues to plummet
    • EUR-USD: Basic confidence turns around
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 06th September 21, 10:30h CEST

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 35-2021

    Uploaded:
    30.08.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    More opportunities than risks

    We continue to measure an unusual sentiment picture on the stock markets. The sentiment corresponds to that of a market after a correction; instead, US equities, for example, are trading at an all-time high. With a simultaneous moderate increase in fundamental confidence, we believe the opportunities outweigh the risks.

    Further results:

    • FX: EUR-USD should stabilise
    • Precious metals: Gold and gold miners must now deliver
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 34-2021

    Uploaded:
    23.08.21
    File Size:
    870 KB

    High pessimism is not always a given

    In the past week, sentiment for US equities has plummeted significantly: The sentiment barometer reacted very violently and lost 38 (!) percentage points within a week. We are recording a new 52-week low. From a contrarian analytical point of view, it is worth buying. However, such a strong sentiment break carries a second message: another price strain is indicated for the next 2-3 stock market weeks. Only then can we be happy again.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Not a good constellation
    • Precious metals: Gold remains supported, HUI wobbles
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 33-2021

    Uploaded:
    15.08.21
    File Size:
    919 KB

    Summer lethargy on the stock market continues

    The summer lethargy on the stock market gives reason to wonder: Investors are hardly developing any emotions. If at all, only private investors are showing occasional happiness. Institutional investors are chronically more hesitant. The positioning behaviour of the two investor groups has also been along these lines for months. Normally, such a high difference in sentiment occurs only briefly and usually correlates with upper market turning points.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Bias and prices go their separate ways
    • Precious metals: Considerable investor reaction
    • sentix Sector Sentiment

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