sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 28-2019

    Uploaded:
    14.07.19
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    1 MB

    GBP in focus

    The United Kingdom is still struggling to find the right course on the Brexit issue. The answer will come from a new prime minister. The fact that economic data in the UK have developed comparatively positively has remained largely unnoticed in recent weeks. The country has so far coped surprisingly well with the Brexit uncertainty. Now there are signs of a rethink among investors. The British pound could benefit from this!

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    sentix Survey results 27-2019

    Uploaded:
    07.07.19
    File Size:
    779 KB

    Bond overconfidence risk on the rise, focus on Italy

    The focus is on Italian bonds. Sentiment is positive for the first time since recording began. The all-time high makes you prick up your ears! At the same time, medium-term confidence is clearly eroding (bias -8 percentage points, not shown), so the overall vote is negative: The balance of both indicators, which is reflected in the time difference index, reaches a 26-week high of +28 points. BTP have to release hot air and are forced into consolidation.

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    sentix Survey results 26-2019

    Uploaded:
    30.06.19
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    1009 KB

    Gold positioning now relatively bullish

    In recent weeks, investor interest in gold has increased significantly. The rise in prices reflects the purchases of investors, who have finally followed their positive basic convictions of recent weeks. In the short term, this exhausts the price potential. The strategic bias remains strong, but the portfolios are now invested in favour of gold. An interim consolidation, triggered by profit-taking, could then prepare a positive continuation of the trend.

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    sentix Survey results 25-2019

    Uploaded:
    23.06.19
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Bullish US equity sentiment

    With the achievement of new all-time highs in the S&P 500 Index, the mood has also changed fundamentally. Whereas at the beginning of June we were still able to measure high pessimism and diagnose a buying opportunity, sentiment is now as high as it was in September 2018, for example. sentix sentiment signals are to be captured much more clearly than, for example, a mood derived from the put call ratio. We will show below how we assess US equities.

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    sentix Survey results 24-2019

    Uploaded:
    16.06.19
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    1 MB

    Bella Italia? Not for bonds.

    The discussion about Italy's debt sustainability and the possible introduction of mini bots have led to a new all-time low in the strategic bias on Italian bonds. A new negative record has also been set relative to German bonds. Will this provide new food for the euro crisis? Already in 2017, a negative relative development in bias was a harbinger of a price weakness of BTPs in the summer.

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    sentix Survey results 23-2019

    Uploaded:
    09.06.19
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    811 KB

    The treasure in Silver Lake

    At +58 percentage points, we measure an all-time high in the strategic bias for silver. Even more impressive is the rate of change compared with the previous week, which, at +25 percentage points, eclipses all historical benchmarks. This enormous power signals willingness to buy and is likely to have a significant impact on investment behaviour (see CoT Report) in the coming weeks. A build-up of significant long quotas is to be expected.

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    sentix Survey results 22-2019

    Uploaded:
    02.06.19
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    790 KB

    Angst

    The already bad sentiment for US equities last week has increased again by 8 points within a week. We measure a bear surplus of -34 percentage points. We thus attest to fear among investors and are heading for an anti-cyclical buying opportunity in the S&P 500. Stock prices should rise after another week at the latest.

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    sentix Survey results 21-2019

    Uploaded:
    26.05.19
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    934 KB

    Highest degree of underinvestment in 2019

    Sentiment for US equities is tense. The number of bulls is falling to a level that has recently marked lower turning points. The comparison of AAII and sentix shows that both data sources send the same message. The S&P 500 could therefore reach a market low in the short term.

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    sentix Survey results 20-2019

    Uploaded:
    19.05.19
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    932 KB

    Equity consolidation not yet complete

    The drop in sentiment among equities in the previous week favoured the countermove over the course of the week. Now we are already measuring a relatively strong improvement in sentiment. This indicates that the ongoing consolidation has not yet been completed. In addition, however, we welcome the indications from the strategic bias, which we will discuss in detail in the analysis. An unusual mood development takes place with crypto currencies.

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    sentix Survey results 19-2019

    Uploaded:
    12.05.19
    File Size:
    766 KB

    Significant deterioration in sentiment

    Sentiment for equities collapsed significantly in the past week. We are measuring a series of sentiment values below -22 percentage points. The discount for Chinese equities is particularly strong. In the last 3 weeks we have lost 50 percent to bulls there. Conversely, bonds are benefiting from the emerging fears about equities, with sentiment rising more strongly into the plus zone. Sentiment for gold is jumping even higher.

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