sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 03-2020

    Uploaded:
    19.01.20
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    Consolidation ante portas

    In the previous week we emphasized the increased risks in the US equity market. In the course of the week this did not change. The overbought situation has now reached almost 30% of all shares in the S&P 500. This is a historically high level and was only outbid at the beginning of 2018. By contrast, the mood has cooled down. Is this positive and is there a negative sentiment divergence? This is what we are investigating in this sentix sentiment analysis.

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    sentix Survey results 02-2020

    Uploaded:
    13.01.20
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Risk-signals for US equities

    The stock markets, especially in the USA, have made a good start to the new year. Even geopolitical irritations were unable to unsettle investors significantly. But now there are increasing signs of consolidation. The sentix risk radar is at -1.4 points, one of the most negative values since 2001, reflecting sentiment, technical analysis and positioning. The second half of January is also often a time for consolidation due to seasonal factors.

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    sentix Survey results 01-2020

    Uploaded:
    05.01.20
    File Size:
    808 KB

    Overconfidence in series

    At the end of the year, almost everything has now taken a knock, which is an anti-cyclical reminder to be cautious with equities. In addition to the high values in the sentix Sentiment for US equities, the AAII bull bear index has also reached an extreme value. In addition, we measured high long ratios among both private and institutional investors at the end of December. Risk is also indicated by the high overconfidence. The start of the year should be bumpy.

    Further topics:

    • Equities: Italy's stock market creates perspectiv
    • Crude oil: Sentiment runs hot
    • sentix Economic indices: Monday, 06.01.2020, 10.30 AM

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    sentix Survey results 52-2019

    Uploaded:
    29.12.19
    File Size:
    890 KB

    Year-end edition: US equity bias closes at annual high

    Institutional investors are significantly overinvested in equities at the end of the year. We measure a 2-year high in investment behaviour. This is atypical, because normally the professionals move to their benchmark at the end of the year and enter the new year neutrally. The market's vulnerability at the start of the year is therefore high.

    Further topics:

    • Bonds: Bias closes at annual low
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results 51-2019

    Uploaded:
    22.12.19
    File Size:
    774 KB

    We wish you a relaxing Christmas and all the best for the coming year. At the same time we would like to thank you for participating in the surveys in 2019.

    Christmas Edition: New dynamics in precious metals

    Gold remains a favourite. The bias climbs to 49 percentage points, sentiment has also risen, but remains significantly lower from its level. Overall, a solid foundation for gold bulls.

    Further topics:

    • Equities: Bias remains solid
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results 50-2019

    Uploaded:
    15.12.19
    File Size:
    974 KB

    Euphoria as a buzz kill

    Investors are hot for a year-end rally, but the bull market in Europe is stagnating again and again - despite signs of easing from the economy, the US customs dispute with China and the clear election outcome in the UK. The reason for this is the high sentiment, which has allowed little room for rising prices for weeks. A very high sentiment can also be measured for German equities. The bear camp is eroding and now stands at 24 percent. Unfortunately, the resulting headwind for German / European equities remains.

    Further topics:

    • Equities: Swiss equity market in vogue

    • Equities: UK election makes investors cheer

    • sentix Sector Sentiment

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    sentix Survey results 49-2019

    Uploaded:
    08.12.19
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Waiting for the christmas rally

    The mood for equities remains extremely good. Investors are fully committed to the seasonal pattern, which is expected to produce price gains in the last 10-12 trading days. In view of the stable basic confidence, measured in the strategic bias, this can go well. But the better the last days of the old year will go, the sooner equities will have to pay tribute to investor optimism early in the new year.

    Further topics:

    • Bonds: Basic trust is waning
    • FX: USD bias tips over

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    sentix Survey results 48-2019

    Uploaded:
    01.12.19
    File Size:
    839 KB

    The sentiment is dampening the bull market

    The sentiment on the US stock market is boiling over. What the sentix sentiment clearly points out is not so visible in the AAII Bull Bear Index so far. We would like to emphasize again our leading characteristic and the quality of the data series!

    Further topics:

    • Equities: UK Bias with all-time high
    • Equities: Nasdaq produziert Overconfidence
    • Gold: Buy signal in Time Differential Index

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    sentix Survey results 47-2019

    Uploaded:
    24.11.19
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Consolidation not yet complete

    Price dynamics and the mood on the stock market are closely related. Markets consolidate when sentiment is bullish and stocks are overbought. Currently, US equities show that the share of overbought stocks has already fallen from over 20% to 8%. By contrast, sentiment values are still relatively high. Only when both indicators have fallen close to the zero line is the path to the upside generally clear again.

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    sentix Survey results 46-2019

    Uploaded:
    17.11.19
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Bias tight upward

    The high optimism for US equities last week fell by 10 percentage points, but still remains euphoric at +22. The AAII Bull Bear Index has not yet fully replicated the sentix target. Is therefore imminent danger? A high sentiment either stands at the beginning of a strong trend impulse or at the end of an upward movement. The Strategic Bias helps with the assessment.

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