sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results (24-2024)

    Uploaded:
    16.06.24
    File Size:
    900 KB

    Fear of elections in France

    Sentiment fell significantly last week, particularly on the European stock markets. This is less the case for US equities. There, medium-term confidence in equities continues to rise. The political barometer shows that this is a Central European phenomenon. The strategic bias for French government bonds has reacted significantly. Precious metals, on the other hand, are stable and Bitcoin is also sending out an exclamation mark.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Reaction to the spreads
    • FX: Single currency under pressure
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (23-2024)

    Uploaded:
    09.06.24
    File Size:
    935 KB

    Crude oil: Positive indication in the TD Index

    We are measuring an improvement in sentiment and basic strategic confidence in equities. The latter is unusual against the backdrop of seasonality. Bonds, on the other hand, are not gaining in strategic bias. The data on crude oil is promising.

    Further results

    • Equities: Further improvement in sentiment
    • Bonds: No improvement in basic confidence
    • sentix economic indices: Monday, 10.06.24, 10.30 CEST

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    sentix Survey results (22-2024)

    Uploaded:
    02.06.24
    File Size:
    907 KB

    First positive sentiment signals

    Sentiment towards equities continues to cool. At the same time, we are measuring an increase in medium-term basic confidence. This is an unusual change in the data both in terms of seasonal timing and against the background of price trends. Statistically, this points to rising share prices. We are also seeing a noteworthy signal in the Japanese yen.

    Further results

    • Gold: Hardly any room for new buying
    • FX: Investors fear renewed selling in USD-JPY

     

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    sentix Survey results (21-2024)

    Uploaded:
    26.05.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Investors not concerned about weak market breadth

    Market breadth, measured by the proportion of shares in an index above the 50- or 250-day average, is eroding in the US equity market in a remarkable way. Surprisingly, however, this is not yet causing investors any strategic concern. As sentiment values are slightly negative at the same time, the bulls could make another attempt to attack. Things could also get exciting for oil. At the very least, the high neutrality indicates increasing volatility.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Short maturities favoured
    • Gold: Further profit-taking to be expected
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (20-2024)

    Uploaded:
    19.05.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Slight colling of sentiment

    Despite the gains in share prices, there is no euphoria in sentiment. On the contrary. Sentiment is cooling. The still positive seasonal window could therefore be used by equities for further price gains. There is an interesting signal for EUR-USD. Basic strategic confidence is rising significantly. The euro should continue to benefit from this.

    Further results

    • EUR-USD: Significant rise in bias
    • Oil: TD Index on typical path
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (19-2024)

    Uploaded:
    12.05.24
    File Size:
    1016 KB

    Leap of joy with bias decline for Instis

    The bull market on the stock market triggers a veritable leap of joy. Sentiment towards equities is rising significantly worldwide. The bias development is remarkable: private investors continue to rise, while professionals react completely differently. Their bias is falling drastically. As a result, they are increasingly thinking about taking profits. A spread comparison shows: If the professionals show this behavior, an upper turning point or an interim consolidation is likely.

    Further results

    • Commodities: Precious metals and crude oil promising
    • FX: USD/JPY remains depressed
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (18-2024)

    Uploaded:
    05.05.24
    File Size:
    771 KB

    China equities continue to score

    One of our recommendations from the 2024 annual outlook is scoring points with more and more investors: at +31 percentage points, the strategic bias for the CSI 300 has reached its highest level since April 2021. Fortunately, at +14 percentage points, sentiment does not indicate that the market is overheating. The other equity markets are also gaining further confidence among investors. While the bias is increasing in many equity markets, it is crumbling in bonds. The consolidation in precious metals and bitcoins is also constructive.

    Further results

    • Equities: Bias continues upward, sentiment supports
    • Silver: Silver lining on the horizon
    • sentix Economic Index: Monday, 06.05.2024, 10.30 am CEST

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    sentix Survey results (17-2024)

    Uploaded:
    28.04.24
    File Size:
    997 KB

    Sentiment still positive

    Following the buy signals from sentiment and the TD Index in the previous week, the stock markets recovered over the course of the week. This has improved sentiment, but there is further potential for price gains. It is also worth noting the improvement in basic strategic confidence, especially among professional market participants. In the bond sector, long-term bonds are coming under increasing pressure, with investors increasingly favouring short maturities.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Long-dated bonds unattractive
    • Gold: Surprisingly constructive sentiment
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (16-2024)

    Uploaded:
    21.04.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Sentiment deteriorate, willingness to buy increases

    The mood on the stock markets continues to deteriorate. The Middle East conflict and the weakness of technology stocks are having an impact. Sentiment on many stock markets has now reached contrary levels. At the same time, medium-term confidence is increasing. Overall, the general conditions for the equity market are improving. By contrast, things are not looking so good for bonds. The question therefore arises as to whether rising yields could potentially slow down a strong recovery in equities.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Unfavourable development
    • Gold: The signs are pointing to consolidation
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (15-2024)

    Uploaded:
    14.04.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Too little fear for a rapid end to consolidation

    Sentiment on the stock market continues to plummet. We are measuring the lowest sentiment value for many indices since January 5, 2024, reflecting fears of an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. However, it still seems too early to sound out a contrarian buy point from a sentiment analysis perspective. The existing fears are there, but compared to historical market turning points, they have not yet reached the quality that would suggest an anti-cyclical entry. The AAII Bull-Bear Index, for example, is still relatively high and therefore has a lot of "reaction space" to offer.

    Further results

    • Precious metals: First of all at the top
    • FX: Interest rate differentials and bias pro US dollar
    • sentix sector sentiment

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