sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 31-2020

    Uploaded:
    02.08.20
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    Lousy mood

    The series of unusual sentimental developments since the outbreak of the corona crisis continues. The publication of data on GDP growth in Q2, both in the US and in Europe, has once again demonstrated to investors the extent of the crisis. The answer is a very negative sentiment. But at the strategic level, the GDP data have a very different effect. As a result, the sentiment data are surprisingly positive!

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    sentix Survey results 30-2020

    Uploaded:
    26.07.20
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    Typical seasonal pattern or nevertheless 2009?

    Over the past 3 months, a chronic pessimism has developed in equities - despite a rapid stock market recovery. And on the weekend, too, the old fears flare up, especially as the seasonal pattern begins to turn negative! The question is: Can the markets even fall sustainably with such pessimism? The market must decide soon: Do we rely on the typical seasonal timetable or rather on a trend similar to 2009 ("wall of worry").

    Further topics:

    • Equities: The next row of the "wall of worry" is built
    • FX: Nine-year high in EUR/USD sentiment
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results 29-2020

    Uploaded:
    19.07.20
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    Neutral mood

    The behaviour of speculative small investors is currently the subject of much debate. This can be seen in the very low values in the US equity put/call ratio. However, in our opinion this indicator is not representative of the actual sentiment. According to our sentiment, a certain skepticism continues to dominate overall. However, individual sub-segments, especially in the technology sector, are rightly subject to criticism, as a glance at our strategic bias in the analysis reveals.

    Further topics:

    • FX: Buy and sell indications
    • Silver: High overconfidence
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results 28-2020

    Uploaded:
    12.07.20
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    Nasdaq records without euphoria

    It remains astonishing how strongly sentiment and the put-call ratio diverge. The chronically negative sentiment is supporting the S&P500, while small investors in particular on platforms such as "Robin-Hood" are stirring up the options markets. All-time highs on the Nasdaq do not create a jubilant mood! Only when pessimism falls should the market have reached its top. In addition, a seasonally strong equity window will open again in the short term.

    Further topics:

    • Equities: Seasonal positive impulse meets pessimism
    • FX: Unloved US dollar
    • sentix Sector sentiment

     

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    sentix Survey results 27-2020

    Uploaded:
    05.07.20
    File Size:
    737 KB

    Unfavourable development

    "Moods up, bias down." This reaction in investor behaviour is basically an unfavourable development for equities. Nevertheless, the stock market could once again venture a (short-term) upward attack. This is because seasonality has opened another positive window of opportunity. This week, the stock markets in China and the gold and silver mine complex are conspicuous. In addition, there is a rare constellation in Bitcoins.

    Further topics:

    • Equities: China's stock market surprises investors
    • Bitcoins: Crypto market faces major movement
    • sentix economic indices: Monday 06th July 2020 at 10:30 A.M.

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    sentix Survey results 26-2020

    Uploaded:
    28.06.20
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    1 MB

    Irritation increases

    Despite the considerable irritation and distortions caused by the corona crisis, the stock markets are largely developing in line with their typical seasonal profiles. This is particularly true of the DAX index. If this were to continue, a positive trend would have to develop over the course of the week, which could last until around July 20. In this issue, we examine whether the conditions for this are also present in terms of sentiment.

    Further topics:

    • FX: USD continues to fall from grace
    • Commodities: All-time high in the silver sentiment
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results 25-2020

    Uploaded:
    21.06.20
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    901 KB

    More risk, more fun?

    The anniversary survey has some exciting results: Investors continue to enjoy precious metals and the bearish mood of the previous week is also easing for equities. What remains in the medium term, however, is a certain lack of prospects. Nevertheless, investors are increasing their risk in many sub-segments (see Styles), although the seasonally positive window for equities will close in 5 weeks at the latest.

    Further topics:

    • Equities: The fears give way
    • Precious metals: Silver still favoured
    • sentix Styles – Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results 24-2020

    Uploaded:
    14.06.20
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Mood slump

    In the course of the week, the stock markets surprised us with sharp declines. On the part of our data, the weak basic confidence in particular spoke in favour of a certain caution. A clearer signal was provided by US option data. The put-call ratio was at very low levels and clearly showed speculative exaggeration. Adjustments are now being made to both indices. What does the slump in sentix sentiment indices mean?

    Further topics:

    • FX: Euro basic confidence continues to rise
    • Precious metals: Still sought after by investors
    • sentix Sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results 23-2020

    Uploaded:
    07.06.20
    File Size:
    855 KB

    No cheers for economic stimulus, ECB and price jumps

    For almost two years now, there has been a marked discrepancy in EUR/USD between private and institutional investors: Since then, the professionals have been much more positive about the Euro in the medium term. Thus, even at the current edge, they are showing greater basic confidence in EUR/USD, while private investors are only slowly venturing out of cover. The currency trend is having a positive effect on European stocks. But surprisingly, the stock market sentiment remains in the basement.

    Further topics:

    • Equities: Investors lower their thumbs for the medium term
    • FX: The euro on the upswing of institutional investors
    • sentix economic index, Monday 08th June 2020 on 10:30 AM CET

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    sentix Survey results 22-2020

    Uploaded:
    31.05.20
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Lack of confidence

    Sentiment for US equities has further neutralized and now marks the highest level since mid-February 2020 (market high in the S&P 500). One of the minimum conditions for an end to the recovery movement has thus been met. Although the slight underinvestment in the market still provides support, the lack of medium-term confidence for equities is increasingly becoming a burden.

    Further topics:

    • Equities: China is not a paragon
    • Crude Oil: Instis plan to turn off the oil cock again
    • Precious metals: Gold good, silver better

     

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