sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 21-2020

    Uploaded:
    24.05.20
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    1 MB

    All-time high for Bitcoins

    The corona crisis is really throwing the economy and our society into turmoil. An age of "disruption" seems to have arrived. Obviously, investors also expect major changes in our monetary system. On the one hand, gold benefits from this, as a traditional "safe haven" in currency crises. What is new is that digital currencies are also coming into focus. The basic strategic confidence for Bitcoins is rising to an all-time high!

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    sentix Survey results 20-2020

    Uploaded:
    17.05.20
    File Size:
    970 KB

    Surprisingly bad sentiment

    In the course of the week, the correction in equities has created an interesting constellation of sentiment. The sentiment values are tilting downwards again, the bias is holding its ground. In this issue we look at what this means. Equally interesting is the development of the strategic bias in EUR-USD. This is likely to put pressure on the positioning of investors who are currently positioned per euro in the long term. New lows in EUR-USD are therefore more likely.

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    sentix Survey results 19-2020

    Uploaded:
    10.05.20
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    996 KB

    Depression causes paralysis

    The sentix risk radar, which systematically evaluates various risk sub-components in investor and price behaviour, still indicates opportunities in shares and crude oil. Although the tailwind from sentiment and positioning has softened somewhat (at the market low in mid-March 2020 the Z-score was +2!) Nevertheless, it is clear where the markets are drawing the strength for the price increase from. The "wall of worry" is big.

     

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    sentix Survey results 18-2020

    Uploaded:
    03.05.20
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    824 KB

    Chronic pessimism

    Since mid-February, fear has been in investors' limbs. Since then, sentiment has been in the deep red range. The danger is increasing from week to week that a brief fear reflex will turn into a chronic strain, which will have a massive impact on basic confidence and cause lasting damage to investments, consumption and the spending climate. The drop in the strategic equity bias is a serious indication of this.

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    sentix Survey results 17-2020

    Uploaded:
    26.04.20
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    956 KB

    Further erosion of the strategic bias in equities

    Investor confidence continues to erode, and this week the bias for Euro area stocks has reached a new all-time low! This shows that time is currently working against the stock markets. The restrictive measures to contain the Corona crisis are increasingly viewed critically. Only the bad mood and the defensive positioning are still preventing a further price slump. But for how much longer?

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    sentix Survey results 16-2020

    Uploaded:
    19.04.20
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    1 MB

    Confidence is withdrawn from the stock markets

    Investors remain defensive for the time being with equities. The institutional investors in particular have recently been stepping on the brakes. The risk level indicator explains the positioning behaviour. This restraint is now generating performance pressure as prices rise and, in conjunction with sentiment, is supporting the current rally of hope. If investors buy now, this would mean a "buy without conviction". One thing is certain: the bias continues to erode.

    Further topics:

    • Equities: Sentiment remains short-term support
    • Goldmines: Renaissance of basic confidence
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results 15-2020

    Uploaded:
    12.04.20
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    1 MB

    Easter edition

    We wish all sentix friends and their families Happy Easter! Stay healthy and confident!

    On behalf of the entire sentix team

    Manfred Hübner and Patrick Hussy

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    sentix Survey results 14-2020

    Uploaded:
    05.04.20
    File Size:
    871 KB

    Better on two feet

    The situation on the international financial markets remains bleak. The news about the corona virus is dominating the day's events, and the economic lockdown is leading to great uncertainty. But on the financial markets it is not (only) the present that counts, but what comes into focus next. On the one hand, there is the very expansive fiscal policy (bond market strained). On the other hand there is the hope for an end to the lockdown!

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    sentix Survey results 13-2020

    Uploaded:
    29.03.20
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    969 KB

    Professionals are on the brakes

    The main finding from investor behavior this week is that the strategic bias is eroding for many equity markets. This is particularly striking for US equities. Only the China bias is resisting this gravity. A historical comparison shows that these different developments have occurred again and again, and even out of time. This will also be the case in the Corona crisis. In the end, China is not an island either.

    Further topics:
    • Equities: Is China an island?
    • Oil: The new perception of value is confirmed
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results 12-2020

    Uploaded:
    22.03.20
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Waiting for the "rally of hope"

    The mood for stocks remains depressed. In view of past experience, a technical countermovement is more than overdue. Now that the maturity of futures is also behind us, it would now be time for such a recovery. But what is normal in these times? In any case, the robust strategic bias of investors is beginning to crumble. Investors are realising that the hope of a quick return to normality was probably deceptive.

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