sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 43-2020

    Uploaded:
    25.10.20
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    The Corona-Regret Aversion

    The number of new corona infections is increasing worldwide, the US presidential election is approaching. Does this increase the price risks from the perspective of Behavioral Finance analysis? The risk radar indicates moderate opportunities. By comparison, at the end of August we had a much higher risk setup. In addition, the stock bias signals growing confidence, and there is still a need for action in the portfolios, especially among institutional investors (see positioning data on p.5).

    Further results:

    • Equities: Price risk? Not really!
    • Gold: Still constructive
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 42-2020

    Uploaded:
    18.10.20
    File Size:
    1006 KB

    Collapse in sentiment

    The importance of investors’ basic trust measured by the strategic bias at sentix, for the development of the share price can be seen from the positioning behaviour of investors in US technology shares. The bias increase has been reflected in a clear reversal in the COT data over the last two weeks. Does this mean that the recovery is already over? The sharp drop in sentiment last week and stable fundamental confidence argue against it.

    Further results:

    • FX: Euro consolidation not completed
    • Gold: High basic confidence
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 41-2020

    Uploaded:
    11.10.20
    File Size:
    954 KB

    Equities: Best mood since mid February 2020

    The "wall of fear" is slowly breaking down. We are measuring the highest sentiment among equities since the beginning of the Corona crisis in mid-February. sentix leads the movement with its indicators as a "first mover". Many a sentiment index will have to follow this in the next few days and weeks. One example is the AAII in the US, whose bear quota is still high. On the positive side, the fact remains that the stock bias is going through the roof in many countries.

    Further results:

    • China equities: Bias goes through the roof
    • Bonds: US bonds increasingly on the sidelines
    • sentix sector sentiment

     

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    sentix Survey results 40-2020

    Uploaded:
    04.10.20
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    815 KB

    Chinese Equities: Corona crisis like wiped away Equities

    For the autumn, the stock market is becoming increasingly willing to buy. US stocks and especially China stocks are on the wish list. Conversely, investors are turning away from fixed-income securities. This trend does not apply to all safe-haven investments: gold continues to spread its attraction for investors. The expected portfolio adjustment for gold is progressing and favors a sustained upward path.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Continued strong TD signals
    • Precious metals: Gold continues to excite
    • sentix economic index: New data on 05th Oct. 2020 / 10:30 CEST

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 39-2020

    Uploaded:
    27.09.20
    File Size:
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    Sentiment with contrary signals

    We are repeating our chart from the previous week, as the constellation depicted there, negative Nasdaq positioning and further increasing basic confidence, has strengthened once again. Tech shares were already able to buck the general trend in the past week. The sentix data constellation indicates that this should continue to be the case in the coming weeks.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Professionals gain basic strategic confidence
    • Precious metals: Silver with all-time low in TD-Index
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 38-2020

    Uploaded:
    20.09.20
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Nasdaq signals

    The basic strategic confidence of investors, especially in US and Chinese stocks, is rising again this week. Rising basic confidence indicates a growing willingness to buy on the part of investors and is usually somewhat ahead of their positioning behavior. In this context, the divergence between the strategic bias for US technology stocks and positioning behavior is particularly interesting. Is this a buying opportunity?

    Further results:

    • Equities: Basic confidence in China on the rise
    • FX: Comeback of USD-JPY?
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 37-2020

    Uploaded:
    13.09.20
    File Size:
    1 MB

    TD-indices with positive signals

    The number of bullish market participants remains at an unusually low level. At no point during the rally that began in March, which generated price increases of more than 60%, did the number of bulls approach 40% or even 50%. That is unusual. The wall of worry visible in it remains a supporting moment. In addition, there is now a clear movement in basic strategic confidence!

    Further results:

    • Bonds: The bias falls again
    • FX and Gold: Bias and positioning under the magnifying glass
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results 36-2020

    Uploaded:
    06.09.20
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    723 KB

    Positive for the autumn

    Last week we recommended that from now on you should not drive without an airbag (portfolio insurance)! The week just started showed a volatility surge, both in equities and in other asset classes. There were increased indications of an offensive positioning behavior as well as high overconfidence. Investors are now showing a remarkable reaction!

    Further results:

    • FX: Readiness to sell continues to increase for EUR-USD
    • Goldmines equities: Basic confidence rises to 52-week high
    • sentix economic index: Monday 07th September 2020 at 10:30 CET

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 35-2020

    Uploaded:
    30.08.20
    File Size:
    808 KB

    The position risk is increasing significantly

    So far, the "wall of worry" has given wings to the stock market. But now, at the end of August, investor behavior is changing, with stock sentiment (at least for US stocks) becoming slightly positive for the first time since the beginning of the corona crisis. In addition, investment behavior indicates a significant increase in risk. One thing is certain: From now on the really risky part of the stock market development begins!

    Further results:

    • FX: EUR-USD weighs on the willingness to take profits
    • Gold: Back in Bull Mode
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 34-2020

    Uploaded:
    23.08.20
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Basic confidence continues to rise

    The stock markets are in the middle of the seasonally difficult summer period, which runs from the beginning of August to mid/end of September. This period of uncertainty is reflected in the sentiment data, which continue to show a fair amount of scepticism among investors. The discussions about a second lockdown, e.g. in Germany, which would undoubtedly cause great economic damage, are an additional burden. But scepticism is an important support for the markets.

    Further results:

    • FX: Profit taking in EUR-USD
    • Bonds: The headwind is increasing
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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