sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results (12-2022)

    Uploaded:
    27.03.22
    File Size:
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    Weak bias is a problem

    The strategic bias for equities in the eurozone has fallen to its lowest level since July 2020, with investors interpreting the price recovery in the indices as an opportunity to reduce their positions. As pessimism in sentiment has given way at the same time, price risks are emerging on the stock market. The situation is reversed on the U.S. bond market, where countercyclical buy signals are increasingly appearing. Crude oil prices could fall and thus provide relief for inflation fears.

    Further results

    • US-Bonds: Buying opportunity displayed
    • Commodities: Crude oil ticked off
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (11-2022)

    Uploaded:
    20.03.22
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Investor irritation increases

    Early start or false start? That is the question currently being asked of Euroland equities, because the strength of stocks before the March futures expiry on Friday is unusual. Usually, stocks rise after the expiry into the "strong" April month. It is unlikely to be that easy in 2022. For just as unusual as the seasonal pattern is the sentix data situation at present. The signs point to continued unrest.

    Further results

    • FX: Euro recovery likely to be weak
    • Precious metals: Consolidation continues
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (10-2022)

    Uploaded:
    13.03.22
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Sentiment still supports

    After the very negative sentiment extreme on the stock market, prices were able to recover somewhat. Sentiment remains depressed, but this creates opportunities in line with a contrarian sentiment strategy. However, the weak development in the strategic bias weighs on the picture. Meanwhile, greater risks are also indicated for gold bulls. Here, too, there is an unfavourable development in fundamental confidence.

    Further results

    • FX: Euro opportunities grow
    • Gold: Risks for the gold bulls
    • sentix Sector Sentiment: Ukraine crises with major impact

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    sentix Survey results 09-2022

    Uploaded:
    06.03.22
    File Size:
    890 KB

    Investors in panic mode

    The past week saw a significant rise in investor fears of a widening of the Ukraine conflict and major economic dislocations. We measure a multitude of all-time highs or lows in our data! At the same time, investors have also reduced their portfolio risks. Professionals are similarly cautiously positioned as they were at the time of the Corona Crash in March 2020. Will we see a similar recovery process?

    Further results

    • Crude oil: Euphoria
    • Gold: Sentiment as last seen in 2011
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 07th March 2022 at 10:30 CET

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    sentix Survey results 08-2022

    Uploaded:
    27.02.22
    File Size:
    856 KB

    Signs of life

    The equity bias (here USA) sends a sign of life once again for a long time, while equity sentiment remains downbeat. At the depressed price levels, more investors are now declaring their willingness to buy stocks. The investment degrees of the institutional ones prove: The now strong underinvestment opens up clear potential for a price recovery. U.S. bonds are also showing a similar sign of life, with their bias rising significantly.

    Further results

    • Equities: Signs of life
    • US-Bonds: Signs of life
    • Commodities: TD-Extreme on the top
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 07-2022

    Uploaded:
    20.02.22
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Sentiment buy signals

    Sentiment on equities has deteriorated significantly over the week. For US equities, the number of bullish investors fell to the lowest level since 2017. This creates opportunities for contrarian investors, as statistically the S&P 500 rose significantly in around 75% of cases in subsequent weeks.

    Further results

    • Gold: High sentiment weighs
    • Crude oil: Strategic confidence continues to decline
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 06-2022

    Uploaded:
    13.02.22
    File Size:
    889 KB

    Fear of war and medium-term concerns

    Fears of war arise! Investors are increasingly worried and also look negatively into the medium-term future: The bias for the U.S. equity market falls below the zero line even among institutional investors. The last time this situation occurred was in the midst of the Corona Crash in 2020. Energy prices in particular could be affected by an outbreak of war in Ukraine. One thing is certain: High risks for the oil price are already indicated!

    Further results

    • Bonds: Bonds might turn
    • Commodities: Oil price already facing high risks
    • sentix Sector Sentiment: All-time high in bank sentiment

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    sentix Survey results 05-2022

    Uploaded:
    06.02.22
    File Size:
    960 KB

    Stronger Contrarian Signals for Bonds

    Investors in the U.S. equity market remain fearful, volatility structurally high. Does this mean it's time to get in? Medium-term underlying confidence is weak, even reaching new 52-week lows. So far, hardly any bargain hunters are willing to go on a buying spree at this level. The rise in interest rates is weighing too heavily on the mind. However, we are measuring increased contrarian signals in bonds in particular. The EUR/USD bias is also on the move.

    Further results

    • Equities: Bias continues to weaken
    • FX: Rethinking process has begun
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 07th February 2022 at 10:30 CET

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    sentix Survey results 04-2022

    Uploaded:
    30.01.22
    File Size:
    923 KB

    Underlying confidence continues to weigh on equities

    Sentiment in equities recovered over the course of the week. We still measure a certain scepticism, which has a stabilising effect in the short term. But the basic strategic confidence remains weak. Equities are not yet back in stable waters. On the other hand, we hear a clear sentiment signal for crude oil and the EUR-USD.

    Further results

    • Crude oil: Sell signals in sentiment
    • EUR-USD: Much euro pessimism
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 03-2022

    Uploaded:
    23.01.22
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Prepare, but don't buy yet!

    The put-call ratio in the U.S. jumps up, sentiment tilts down. Normally, such contrary signals are a buy indication. But the strategic dimension weighs on the market, as do style preferences, which are unfavorable. The S&P should target the chart support at 4,300 points and then start a countermovement. However, whether this attempt is sustainable?

    Further results

    • Bonds: Things are moving before the FED meeting
    • Gold: Constructive
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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