sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 18-2021

    Uploaded:
    02.05.21
    File Size:
    985 KB

    No supportive market low reached yet

    Sentiment in equities has deteriorated over the course of the week. The chart of the week shows the link between sentiment and the volatility structure in equities. This might give the impression that sentiment could already be negative enough for equities to rise. But this is not the case, in our opinion. Rather, there is still a lack of a sufficiently large number of bears for a supporting market low.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Basic confidence turns down again
    • Commodities: Positive focus continues

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 17-2021

    Uploaded:
    25.04.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    New 26-week lows in the bias

    The high long positioning in the euro/US dollar is still weighing on the exchange rate despite the reduction. The recent recovery of the European currency has not led to a lasting change in the bias. A strengthening of the US dollar should be the logical consequence. In addition, investors' basic strategic conviction about equities has also deteriorated further. The willingness to take profits is clearly increasing.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Price weakness indicated for BTPs
    • Gold: It looks quite good
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results 16-2021

    Uploaded:
    18.04.21
    File Size:
    1016 KB

    Basic confidence in equities continues to fall

    The fundamental situation based on sentiment analysis has not changed. In equities, we observe a further reduction in basic strategic confidence. The price level reached is increasingly perceived as expensive. In view of the fact that the portfolios are still offensively oriented, however, this will foreseeably become a burden. With bonds, but even more so with precious metals, alternative markets are available for shareholders willing to sell.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Propensity to buy back
    • Gold: Precious metals score again
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 15-2021

    Uploaded:
    11.04.21
    File Size:
    982 KB

    Sentiment cooling & new cycle low in bias

    Equity sentiment has cooled considerably within a week. However, the further decline in the strategic bias is problematic. Particularly in the Chinese equity markets, there is no inclination to buy back. Stronger sentiment adjustments are also occurring on the sector side. The trend in precious metals is positive, as the bias continues to rise. This is in line with adjusted positioning. Rising gold prices should be possible.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Still overconfidence in the eurozone
    • Gold: Precious metals score
    • sentix Sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results 14-2021

    Uploaded:
    04.04.21
    File Size:
    931 KB

    Best equity sentiment since the end of 2019

    There are increasing signs that the current equity rally will soon come to an end. This is clear from several indicators. Sentiment has risen to its most optimistic level since the end of 2019, while basic strategic confidence is crumbling. At the same time, portfolios are offensively oriented. And last but not least, we measure a falling share of stocks that are yet to reach new 52-week highs. Such a divergence should also be classified as a critical harbinger.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Stabilization phase underway
    • Gold: Basic strategic confidence returns
    • sentix Economic Index: Tuesday, 06.04.2021 at 10:30h CEST

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 13-2021

    Uploaded:
    28.03.21
    File Size:
    817 KB

    Unusual unexcitedness

    An unusual "lack of excitement" can be observed on the stock markets. Even a potential supply shortage caused by the accident of a container ship in the Suez Canal seems to have little effect on the stock markets. Investors reflect via the crude oil bias that they do not assume a serious supply shortage in the economy. Plenty of emotionality can be measured on the currency side, however. The US dollar is strongly en vogue.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Stabilization phase underway
    • FX: Sentiment extremes in the US dollar
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results 12-2021

    Uploaded:
    21.03.21
    File Size:
    990 KB

    The previous stock market stars lose their appeal

    Most recently, we measured the highest sentiment values for equities in over a year. In addition, an increasing willingness to take profits can be seen, which is weighing on the previous stars of the stock market in particular. The weakening fundamental conviction can also be observed in a bias erosion in crude oil. As a rule, positioning follows the bias with a certain time lag. This could provide relief for the extremely present inflation concerns and also for bond prices.

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Obviousness
    • FX: The dollar bulls continue to dance
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 11-2021

    Uploaded:
    14.03.21
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Bullish sentiment urges caution

    A successful stock market week lies behind us. The DAX and the Euro STOXX in particular were able to report significant price jumps. Investors have noticeably increased their portfolio risks, as our data show. This has clearly improved sentiment. This gives rise to risks. The same applies to the US equity markets. In the smaller stocks, we measure a share of almost 25% of stocks that are now technically overbought. This is also a sign that the air is now getting thinner.

    Further results:

    • Silver: Basic strategic confidence rises again
    • FX: US dollar still in demand
    • sentix Sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results 10-2021

    Uploaded:
    07.03.21
    File Size:
    732 KB

    US Bonds with Countercyclical Buy Signal

    Recently, rising yields have put US technology stocks in particular under pressure. Due to the high weight in the main indices, this also had consequences for the broad market. All the more remarkable is the recent turn in the strategic bias for U.S. Treasuries. This has risen by more than 11 percentage points in the last three weeks. Such a rate of change promises purely statistical recovery potential for U.S. bonds. The equity markets should benefit from this.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Stable underlying confidence, sentiment supports
    • FX: US dollar still in demand
    • sentix economic index: Monday 08th March 2021 at 10:30 CET

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    sentix Survey results 09-2021

    Uploaded:
    28.02.21
    File Size:
    1007 KB

    Renewed TD signals

    The market environment for equities is not good at the moment. A look at the proportion of shares above the 50-day line, for example, shows a divergence for the S&P 500 Index. Such a divergence has been a harbinger of corrections in the past. It is therefore surprising that the sentix sentiment indicators show price opportunities. After all, the sentiment values are already clearly gloomy. What will prevail?

    Further results:

    • Bonds: Positioning becomes support
    • Gold: The worst seems to be over
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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