sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results 08-2021

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    21.02.21
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    The next tactical buy signal

    Very quickly, worries on the stock market arise again. This is astonishing, since the relatively calm price development in the stock indices does not actually provide any reason for fears. In the medium-term bias, these worries are not visible; calmness and persistence stand out there. Even the emerging interest rate fears cannot shake investors' fundamental conviction in equities. Consequently, the next tactical buy signal is in place.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Low bias vola
    • Bonds: Interest rate fears are present
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results 07-2021

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    14.02.21
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    Fixed income on the shooting list

    While there is little movement in investor behavior on the equity side, investors are increasingly flying the flag on the bond side. Beneficiaries are the precious metals, first and foremost silver, where the bias again strives upward. With gold, however, the neutrality rises massively, which can be interpreted as a harbinger of a new trend impulse. The overconfidence quickly for the Asian stock markets, as well as for crude oil upwards.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Sentiment calming
    • Equities: Overconfidence for Asian equity markets and crude oil
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results 06-2021

    Uploaded:
    07.02.21
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    835 KB

    Further consolidation likely

    The more favourable conditions announced by the Time Differential Index for the course of the week have been reflected in stronger than expected price gains. The result is a strong increase in bullish market participants. This also makes it likely that the second part of our previous week's statement could become reality, namely another correction trend of around 2 weeks.

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    sentix Survey results 05-2021

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    31.01.21
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    Negative sentiment in the short-term

    The correction tendencies of the past week have left clear traces in investor sentiment. The sentix sentiment is clearly becoming more pessimistic. This opens up the chance of a rebound in the coming week. However, an end to the correction trend is statistically only to be expected in 2-3 weeks.

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    sentix Survey results 04-2021

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    24.01.21
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    880 KB

    Mixed picture with significant risks

    Risks on the financial markets are gradually increasing: The high level of overconfidence for the Nikkei is striking. In addition, the stock markets in Switzerland and Austria are also causing an "alpenglow". All-time highs are also measurable in the sentiment for emerging markets equities as well as in the style index for small caps. Investors are taking an offensive stance in their portfolios and see hard times ahead for bonds.

    Further results:

    • Equities: Alpenglow
    • Bonds: Bias continues to erode
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 03-2021

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    17.01.21
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    Correction likely

    The tendency to sell, which intensified in the course of the week, has led to a clear slump in sentiment. This is particularly pronounced among the professionals. We do not see this as a contrarian indication but rather as a negative sentiment impulse that could initiate a wave of correction. Private investors are still relatively relaxed and portfolios are still moderately overinvested. The second half of January is thus likely to be rather negative for equities.

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    sentix Survey results 02-2021

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    10.01.21
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    Sentiment high, bias weaker

    Sentiment for U.S. equities is high, the put call ratio low. Much points to a high-risk situation in investor behavior. This includes a strategic bias that continues to erode - especially in the institutional camp.

    From a sentiment analysis perspective, the Bitcoin market currently deserves special attention, as it is taking on parabolic traits and sending several warning signals at the same time. The bias is buckling away.

    Further results:

    • FX: EUR/USD with sentiment divergence
    • Bitcoins: Basic confidence collapses significantly
    • sentix economic index: Monday 11. January 2021 on 10:30 CET

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results 01-2021

    Uploaded:
    03.01.21
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    1 MB

    New year edition

    On behalf of the entire sentix team, we wish you all the best for the new year and hope you have entered it well and healthy. Rarely has a new year been so eagerly awaited. The expectations that it will be better than 2020 are high. But in stock market terms, 2020 was unexpectedly positive and 2021 is likely to be difficult to top.

    Good luck on the stock markets in the new year

    Manfred Hübner and Patrick Hussy

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