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In this folder you find our latest press releases and "indicator in focus" studies. If you have questions regarding sentix or our research please contact us per mail at info@sentix.de or use the contact form.

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    Indicator in focus: Opportunities arise in times of trouble

    Uploaded:
    11.07.16
    Modified:
    11.07.16
    File Size:
    179 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Opportunities arise in times of trouble

    The European banking crisis worsens in the wake of the Brexit referendum. The sentix Sector Sentiment marks a new all-time-low. However, investors’ impression has reached such an extreme negative value that it could represent a contrarian buy opportunity.

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    Special report on Brexit – an analysis in three acts

    Uploaded:
    27.06.16
    Modified:
    28.06.16
    File Size:
    748 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Brexit – An analysis in three acts

    • Act 1 (prelude): investors have long neglected the potential perils of a Brexit. As a logical consequence, fear mounted in the run-up to the referendum. The assassination of the British politician Joe Cox, however, ignited peoples status quo bias again. Until election eve, investors remained in denial. Therefore, the market was completely unprepared.
    • Act 2 (Brexit): the victory of the leave campaign caused investors to enter the behavioural stage of recognition abruptly. Over the next days, sentiment and uniform behavioural pattern dominate markets. Although, these behavioural traits will not leave a lasting impact.
    • Act 3 (outlook): while irrational exuberances should fade away over the coming days/weeks, the outcome of the Brexit referendum reveals structural interruptions for global markets. Such interruptions often built the basis for new, lasting market trends. It just depends on differentiation, in our opinion, the euro, US equities and German Bunds are to watch.

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    Euro Break-up Index: The Brexit becomes a Euro stress test

    Uploaded:
    27.06.16
    Modified:
    27.06.16
    File Size:
    254 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    The Brexit becomes a Euro stress test

    The unexpected vote of UK citizens wanting to leave the European Union, is also likely to hard shake the foundation of the euro again. Almost a third of investors responding in the sentix survey hold it again possible that the euro zone could break up within twelve months. In addition, new exit candidates appear on the horizon.

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    Indicator in focus: Fear feels different

    Uploaded:
    13.06.16
    Modified:
    20.06.16
    File Size:
    202 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Fear feels different

    “Brexit” polls heavily influence investors’ opinion on European equities. The latest surge in popularity of the “leave” camp accompanied by falling stock prices dampens the mood. Market participants should brace for further falling stock prices as the referendum approaches. Investors’ sentiment has yet to reach negative extreme value.

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    Indicator in focus: The calm before the trend

    Uploaded:
    20.06.16
    Modified:
    20.06.16
    File Size:
    180 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    The calm before the trend

    Investors’ uncertainty about the Chinese equity market rises to the highest level since November 2015. The sentix time series reveals that comparable neutrality levels are usually a leading indicator for new market trends.

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    Indicator in focus: Buy in May and stay?!

    Uploaded:
    24.05.16
    Modified:
    31.05.16
    File Size:
    218 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Buy in May and stay?!

    The latest sentix Global Investor Survey reveals an exceptionally positive signal for the German equity market. The prospects for a new bull market are increasing as especially the medium-term market expectation of institutional investors is on the rise.

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    Indicator in focus: Investors insure against insurance stocks

    Uploaded:
    24.05.16
    Modified:
    31.05.16
    File Size:
    176 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Investors insure against insurance stocks

    Negative stock price developments of European insurance companies cause frustration among the investment community. The sentix Sector Sentiment for European insurance stocks falls to a 12-month low in May. A potential buy opportunity could emerge.

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    Euro Break-up Index: Investors underestimate the “Brexit” risk

    Uploaded:
    31.05.16
    Modified:
    31.05.16
    File Size:
    332 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Investors underestimate the “Brexit” risk

    The sentix Euro Breakup Index (EBI) for may reflects improvements within the euro zone. Based on declining stress levels in the euro-periphery investors perceive the odds continue to shift in favour for the cohesion of the single currency area. However, a potential “Brexit” would cause significant turmoil.

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    indicator in focus: Loss aversion vs. persuasion

    Uploaded:
    03.05.16
    Modified:
    03.05.16
    File Size:
    217 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Loss aversion vs. persuasion

    The reaction of investors to an absence of further quantitative easing by the Japanese central bank has been significant. The latest sentix Sentiment for the USD/JPY exchange rate drops by 31 percentage points. Albeit investors’ confidence in the USD remains stable. A promising setup for a rising USD/JPY exchange rate over the medium term.

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    Euro Break-up Index: Investors view a “Brexit” as a growing concern for the EU

    Uploaded:
    26.04.16
    Modified:
    26.04.16
    File Size:
    144 KB
    Version:
    1.0

    Investors view a “Brexit” as a growing concern for the EU

    The sentix Euro Breakup Index (EBI) remains unchanged at 16.7% in April. The force behind the persistent break-up risks remains unfavourable news from the Aegean. Though, investors shift their attention to the European Union level amid an intensifying “Brexit” debate. As investors only see a moderate probability for a “Brexit”, however, the associated risks could threaten the stability of the EU.

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