sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results (39-2022)

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    02.10.22
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    All-time low in the Super Neutrality Index

    One all-time extreme is currently following the next: After the record low in stock sentiment the previous week, the Super Neutrality Index for German (and European) stocks is now marking an all-time low. Never before in sentix history have there been fewer neutrals than today. Extreme values in this indicator have signal character: "almost every" investor now has an opinion. A low in the Neutrality Index indicates a massive trend exhaustion.

    Further results

    • Equities: Chances increase - no zero-one decision
    • China: High Overconfidence in CSI 300
    • Gold: Bias versus positioning

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    sentix Survey results (38-2022)

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    25.09.22
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    Equities at the crossroads

    In the course of the week, the high level of fear turned into a touch of panic. At times, share prices fell significantly. Sentiment remains very weak. The market has now reached an interesting crossroads: do we continue to follow the 2008 path, which so far has also coincided relatively well with 2001? Or is the market changing lanes and following the 2001 path? The difference between 2001 and 2008 could hardly be greater as of now.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Normalisation in strategic bias
    • FX: Euro sentiment collapses
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (37-2022)

    Uploaded:
    18.09.22
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    Equity sentiment at another all-time low

    September lives up to its reputation. Even weak equity sentiment does not save them from price weakness. In fact, this is rather untypical in the USA at this time of the year. It is the three weeks after the futures decline that are well remembered by the bears there.

    Further results

    • Bonds: TD Index at lowest level since 2010
    • Gold: Strategic bulls give up
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (36-2022)

    Uploaded:
    11.09.22
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    Basic confidence in equities remains the core problem

    The very high level of fear that we measured on equities in the previous week gave way somewhat in the course of the week. Nevertheless, equities should still benefit somewhat from the poor sentiment. However, we continue to doubt that we are at a classic contrarian buying point. Fundamental confidence simply remains too weak. Moreover, in our view, the action patterns do not reflect the seriousness of the situation. The parallels to 2001 and 2008 still exist.

    Further results

    • Crude oil: Risks increase
    • Silver: OCI and bias with positive signals
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (35-2022)

    Uploaded:
    04.09.22
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    ANGST

    This is what ANGST looks like! The mood at the stock markets reaches in rows new historical extreme values! Fear shoots the investors in the limbs, it could go with the energy supply violently something wrong. At the same time, the price of crude oil is wobbling and fears of recession are becoming real. If things turn out as they did in the crisis years of 2008 and 2001, the fall will bring a sharp drop in crude oil prices. This would then give the central banks arguments and room for maneuver.

    Further results

    • Crude oil: Price collapse as in 2001/2008?
    • FX: High overconfidence among US dollar bulls
    • sentix economic index: 05th September 2022 at 10:30 CEST

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    sentix Survey results (34-2022)

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    28.08.22
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    Private investors react hesitantly

    There is no end to the bad news. Sentiment collapses, investors smooth out their positions. The professionals have already prepared for a stronger setback. Private investors are reacting hesitantly. But how should positioning behavior be assessed? A comparison with 2008 shows that there is still enough room for maneuver on the downside.

    Fruther results

    • FX: Bias in the Swiss Franc reaches record level
    • Precious metals: Constructive
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (33-2022)

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    21.08.22
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    2008 as a template

    One of the weakest developments in the sentix data set is the bias for Chinese equities. This falls significantly compared to the rest of the equity markets and has given up 22 percentage points in the last four weeks alone. This indicates an increasing willingness to sell. Investors are also sensing trouble with Bitcoins. All in all, many things follow a certain pattern, especially if you compare today with 2008.

    Fruther results

    • Bitcoins: Risk off mode
    • Volatility: Calm before the storm
    • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (32-2022)

    Uploaded:
    14.08.22
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    1021 KB

    Weather forecast announces hot autumn

    Investor behavior remains tense, and the ratio of medium-term confidence to short-term sentiment is extremely unfavorable. This is reflected in the time differential index for the Euro Stoxx 50 (chart), which is at a high level with a balance of +12 percentage points. Consequently, there is a risk that a hot fall on the stock markets will seamlessly follow the climatically hot summer.

    Fruther results

    • EUR/USD: Development against the Euro
    • Silver: Still too high overconfidence of the bears
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (31-2022)

    Uploaded:
    07.08.22
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    910 KB

    Enough neutrals for the next pulse

    The summer rally has led to an increasing number of investors "fleeing" into the neutral camp. As a result, the group of investors who will reorient themselves to one of the directional camps in the event of a new news situation has grown again. An essential basic condition for a new trend impulse has thus been met. Bonds are showing a tear in the bias. The starting position for precious metals, on the other hand, continues to improve.

    Fruther results

    • Bonds: Punch in the pit of the stomach
    • Gold & Silver: Improved again
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 08th August 2022 at 10:30 AM CET

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    sentix Survey results (30-2022)

    Uploaded:
    31.07.22
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    930 KB

    Sentiment at annual high, TD level slowly disturbing

    The starting position for precious metals continues to improve. The bias is increasing, and investor positioning has been reduced as much as last in 2019, which gives hope for further price gains.
    For equities, the situation is developing unfavorably. A yearly high in sentiment is not underpinned by rising underlying confidence. Rather, professionals are signaling that they want to use the price recovery to reduce positions.

    Fruther results

    • USD/JPY: Risk now becomes striking
    • Gold & Silver: Starting position further improved
    • Bonds: Institutional bias turns

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