Market psychology

Market psychology

The power of emotions

The power of emotions affect prices and trends in the markets.

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Euro Break-up Risk Index

Euro Break-up Risk Index

Break the Euro?

What's the risk that the Euro breaks? Which country is the most exposed? Whats the routes of infection?

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sentix Community

sentix Community

Join us at the number 1!

Machen Sie mit bei der Nummer 1 und verbessern Sie Ihre Anlageergebnisse!

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First mover advantage

First mover advantage

Better informed and faster.

Know what more than 3,000 investors expecting worldwide - almost in real time.

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Sentiment research

Sentiment research

Professionally and accurately!

Weekly analysis of current market sentiment in German and English - for active participants free of charge!

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Broad spectrum

Broad spectrum

Indicators on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities

Sentiment on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities - from institutional and private investors!

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sentix ASR Essentials 44-2014

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Due to travelling we cannot provide an English report this week. Please excuse the inconvenience. If you want to check the latest highlights, the German report might give you an impression about where to look.

Click here for the analysis in German (sentix registration required)

Energy shares sentiment at a low

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Facing a weak performance, investors lose hope for European energy shares in November: sentix Sector Sentiment for the industry's stocks – polled via the latest sentix Global Investor Survey – drops sharply and now stands close to an all-time low. But this does not automatically mean that the downtrend in the sector's share prices is stopped by now.

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sentix ASR Essentials 43-2014

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Cyclicals sentiment upswing

The latest sentix survey suggests that investors’ views on sectors have begun to shift in the past month. On one hand, survey respondents have become less cautious on the six month outlook for Cyclical sectors such as Industrial Goods & Services, Autos and Chemicals. Sentiment towards Basic Resources has also modestly improved, in contrast to Energy, where pessimism still dominates. On the other hand, they have become less optimistic on the prospects for Telecoms and Healthcare versus the market (see Charts 2 to 4, page 2). Deep pessimism on Cyclical sectors versus Defensives may be beginning to ease.

Click here for the full report

Expectations downtrend stopped

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Since August there was a strong downtrend of the economic expectations for all of the important economies. This trend is stopped now. The latest announcements by the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank (ECB) let investors' 6-month-expectations rise again visibly. This is rather remarkable as it recently looked as if the ECB would have lost its power to turn economic expectations round. But also for the US – where the central bank is on a different path – the composite index improves significantly. All in all, fears of a free fall of the world econ-omy are banned for the moment. Nevertheless, it remains unclear if the current month's rise in economic expectations is just a one-off or a more important turn to the positive. The sentix data justify cautious optimism, but not more than that.

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sentix ASR Essentials 42-2014

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A less bond-bullish view of macro themes

The latest sentix survey indicates that investors remain optimistic on the mediumterm, more strategic outlook for eurozone bonds, albeit readings are down on their early-October highs. In the near-term, however, sentiment is more neutral, while the survey also reveals a high degree of 'neutrality' on the near-term outlook. Such uncertainty is consistent with investors' views on the macro backdrop, with investment themes such as inflation and economics being seen as having become a little less bond-bullish on a six month view (see Chart 3, page 2). The tide of medium-term optimism on bonds is still rising. However, beneath the sentiment surface, it is also apparent that a degree of uncertainty on the near-term has emerged.

Click here for the full report

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