sentix Survey results (29-2024)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 21 July 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Negative sentiment impulse

Sentiment indices on the equity side are plummeting worldwide. Fear is spreading and contrarian investors are pricking up their ears. Is it time for bargain hunters again? The answer is: No! The sentix data set fulfils the criteria for a negative sentiment impulse, which entails a general change in investor behaviour. This means that the current low in sentiment is not comparable with that of mid-April 2024 and should therefore be considered differently in terms of its impact.

Further results

• Bonds: Confidence as high
• Yen: Adjustment reaction started
• sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (28-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 14 July 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Risks continiue to increase

Although share prices in the USA are at all-time highs and even the long-neglected small caps showed signs of life over the course of the week, sentix data reveals a problematic development. Fundamental strategic confidence has collapsed significantly. At the typical seasonal point in the year, investors are evidently getting cold feet.

Further results

• Bonds: Positive signals
• Commodities: Precious metals and oil remain supported
• sentix sector sentiment

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Bitter setback

Written by Patrick Hussy | 07 July 2024
Posted in sentix Economic News

The recent recovery of the European economy has come to an abrupt end. After eight consecutive improvements, the sentix economic index for the eurozone fell by a whopping 7.6 points in July. Expectations slumped by 8.5 points to 1.5 points. The moderate economic momentum in Germany is also faltering again. The positive mood due to the European Football Championship 2024 is not spilling over into the economy. The already gloomy assessment of the situation deteriorated to -32.3 points, while expectations fell to -4.8 points below the April value. The French elections are contributing to the growing concern, as is the increasing slowdown in the US economy. The overall index for the US fell for the third time in a row to its lowest value since January 2024. Expectations are now also negative there at -2.5 points.

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sentix Survey results (27-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 07 July 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

US equity market risks on the rise

The US equity markets continue to move from high to high. This is having a clear impact on stock market sentiment. In conjunction with the overbought market situation, the sentix risk radar is signalling a noticeable increase in risks. Seasonally, we are approaching the usually more volatile summer period. It seems that investors need to prepare for an end to the one-way stock market.

Further results

• Equity volatility: The summer weeks bring movement
• FX: Movement in the sentix indices
• sentix economic indices: Monday, 08.07.24, 10.30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (26-2024)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 30 June 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Highest value in US bias since October 2021

Investors are ending the past week with confidence in equities. US equities in particular, but also eurozone equities, are viewed more favourably in the medium term. Sentiment, on the other hand, is largely neutral. It is clear that the upcoming elections have so far caused investors little concern. The currency track paints a different picture. For China's stock market, the question marks are increasing, while precious metals are providing a solid setup.

Further results

• USD/JPY: Renewed overconfidence signal
• Gold mining stocks: Solid setup
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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