sentix Survey Essentials (English)

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    sentix Survey results (14-2024)

    Uploaded:
    07.04.24
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    950 KB

    Bull bump

    The geopolitical uncertainties and reduced prospects of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve have caused unrest on the stock markets and a slump in sentiment. However, the sentiment data points more towards consolidation and less towards the risk of a general trend reversal. Commodities in particular have benefited in the current environment. We are seeing bullish sentiment for gold and crude oil and thus a deterioration in the risk situation.

    Further results

    • EUR-USD: Bias continues to fall
    • Commodities: Short-term overshoots
    • sentix Economic Index: Monday, 08.04.2024, 10.30 am CEST

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (13-2024)

    Uploaded:
    31.03.24
    File Size:
    885 KB

    No cheers despite all-time highs

    We wish all sentix participants a happy Easter. Today you will receive the Easter edition of the sentix commentary.

    Further results

    • EUR-USD: Bias continues to fall
    • Commodities: Gold and oil still have potential
    • Easter Edition

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    sentix Survey results (12-2024)

    Uploaded:
    24.03.24
    File Size:
    888 KB

    Party with the handbrake on

    The stock markets remain in a bull trend for the time being. Nevertheless, the mood for dividend stocks is only cautiously positive. At the same time, the risk situation already indicated a month ago has intensified, particularly for Europe's stock markets. A correction is long overdue, especially as the investment behavior of private investors appears increasingly risky. The risks on the bond market are significantly lower. Precious metals are now also showing increased risks.

    Further results

    • EUR-CHF: Massive mood impulse
    • Crude oil: Confidence continues to rise
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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    sentix Survey results (11-2024)

    Uploaded:
    17.03.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Negative sentiment divergence

    Imagine it is a bull market and investors are not infected by it. That is exactly the case. Prices are not sparking jubilation among investors. On the contrary. With the constant new highs, strategic scepticism is growing. But the proportion of bears is also growing in the short term. A clear negative divergence has emerged in sentiment, reminiscent of the end of 2021. Bull markets are not only ended by euphoria, but sometimes also by a rational rejection.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Sharp drop in sentiment
    • Crude oil: Basic confidence continues to rise
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (10-2024)

    Uploaded:
    10.03.24
    File Size:
    1 MB

    Bullish sentiment in the precious metals sector

    The consolidation signals for the equity market remain intact. Both the weak underlying confidence and the high values in the TD Index signal more risk than opportunity. Defensive asset classes, on the other hand, are much more appealing from an investor's point of view. Basic confidence in the bond market, for example, is rising steadily. The same applies to precious metals. However, a short-term overheating of sentiment is indicated here.

    Further results

    • Equities: The risks remain
    • Bonds: Basic confidence rises significantly
    • sentix sector sentiment

     

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (09-2024)

    Uploaded:
    03.03.24
    File Size:
    885 KB

    Buying Instis without a real conviction

    Now the Japanese stock market has also been hit: since this weekend, the Nikkei has also been affected by overconfidence risk (analogous to the USA and the Euro zone). This is causing increasing risk signals in sentix Risk Radar. Investors also regard the high prices in the indices as expensive and no longer see any potential for most stock markets in the medium term. It is therefore all the more astonishing that institutional investors are increasing their position risk without any real conviction. The situation looks better for bonds and gold.

    Further results

    • Equities: Now Japan too
    • Gold: Attacking all-time highs
    • sentix economic index: Monday, 04th March 2024 at 10:30 CET

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    sentix Survey results (08-2024)

    Uploaded:
    25.02.24
    File Size:
    985 KB

    Rational in an irrational market?

    The stock markets continue to surprise with rising prices. The risk situation already indicated a month ago has at best slowed down the price upswing but has not yet led to a correction. As a result, the risk situation for equities has not eased, but rather increased across the board. There is increasing irritation at the strategic level. The picture is clearer for investors in precious metals.

    Further results

    • Bonds: Attractiveness declines
    • Silver: Basic confidence continues to rise
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

  • pdf.png

    sentix Survey results (07-2024)

    Uploaded:
    18.02.24
    File Size:
    986 KB

    Taking part is everything

    Sentiment neutral, neutrality near record highs, neutral in the portfolios. This is the result of an investment behavior that basically illustrates the perplexity, but also underlines the desire to participate in the development of the stock markets. There is a sense of unease (falling bias), but no desire to miss out (neutral positioning). If there is also a reward mechanism for taking risks through rising prices, the danger of overconfidence increases. The picture appears much more favorable for silver.

    Further results

    • Equities: You feel uneasy, but don't want to miss anything
    • Silver: Something's up!
    • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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    sentix Survey results (06-2024)

    Uploaded:
    11.02.24
    File Size:
    939 KB

    The year of the dragon has begun

    The Chinese celebrate their New Year and welcome the "Year of the Dragon". In the last few trading days, shares there have performed a "reversal". This was very noticeable in the mid-caps (CSI 1000), following a broad-based sell-off in January 2024. Investors have recognized for some time that the price decline there represents an investment opportunity: The bias is emancipating itself and paints a completely different picture than for the other equity markets. On the sector side, the usual picture is emerging: investors are in love with pharmaceuticals and technology stocks.

    Further results

    • Equities: Overconfidence is also on the rise in the eurozone
    • Bonds: Improved starting position
    • sentix sector sentiment

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    sentix Survey results (04-2024)

    Uploaded:
    04.02.24
    File Size:
    967 KB

    All-time high in US equity overconfidence

    The technical condition of the stock markets is extremely robust. Nevertheless, the risks are increasing from the sentix analysis perspective. This applies above all to the US equity markets, where the overconfidence index has reached very high levels. Such a value indicates that the price development was so one-sided that investors are beginning to extrapolate trends. There are also interesting data changes to report for bonds and crude oil.

    Further results

    • Equities: Stall in the bias
    • Crude oil: Further rise in underlying confidence
    • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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