sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Folder: sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Files:
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sentix Survey results (37-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 17.09.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
How much is the seasonal headwind disturbing?
Sentiment toward equities is improving. But this does not lead to a clear increase in the number of bulls. Rather, the share of neutral investors is rising in the short term, indicating irritation. Indeed, much of the optimism rests on hopes for a typically good fourth quarter. But this is often preceded by a weak second half of September. The data also show that investors are increasingly enthusiastic about growth stocks and IPOs.
Further resuls
- Bonds: Bias continues to improve steadily
- Precious metals: Bias suggests further buying
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (36-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 10.09.23
- File Size:
- 740 KB
Bias and economy go their separate ways
Sentiment on the stock market has dipped again. But short-term concerns are not preventing investors from upgrading their medium-term outlook. The stock markets in Japan and the USA are particularly popular with professionals. In parallel, confidence in crude oil is also rising. This benefits the sector, whose sentiment is now the most bullish of all 19 STOXX 600 sectors.
Further results
- Equities: Japan in the fast lane
- Crude oil: It looks like oil prices will continue to rise
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (35-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 03.09.23
- File Size:
- 858 KB
Central bank policy loses its fright
Investors assume that the central banks will gradually take their foot off the brake. The main reason is the weak economy. This is making investors more bullish about equities in the medium term. In the short term, the fear factor is still in play - albeit now in a reduced form. Bond investors should also benefit from a less restrictive interest rate policy. Therefore, the bias development as well as the contrary overconfidence signals should be taken seriously.
Further results
- Equities: Fear in reduced form
- Bonds: UK bias soaring - overconfidence in US bonds
- sentix economic index: Monday, 04th Sept. 2023 at 10:30 CEST
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sentix Survey results (34-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 27.08.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Negative sentiment supports
Sentiment for equities remains poor. Even though sentiment has improved somewhat, short-term skepticism dominates. This is particularly pronounced for China equities. This gives rise to short-term opportunities for a recovery. Bonds are suffering from the high attractiveness of short maturities. Memories of 2006-2008 are awakening. In gold and EUR-USD, there are interesting divergences between strategic bias and investor behavior.
Further results
- Bonds: Short maturities are irresistible
- Gold: Positioning helps
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (33-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 20.08.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
In the middle of the process, not at the end
Sentiment for equities is plummeting dramatically. The sentiment level brings back memories of September 2022. The sentiment signal at that time marked the beginning of a major upward movement. Is the current situation comparable and is there a similarly resilient sentiment buy signal today? It is worth paying attention to similarities and differences. A worrying development is emerging for the Chinese stock market.
Further results
- Equities: No reassessment
- Equities: Problematic situation in China
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (32-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 13.08.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
EUR/USD: High neutrality pairs with further warning signals
Investors are slowly taking heart in equities and are looking positively into the fourth quarter. The bias for U.S. equities, but also for Japanese dividend stocks, is clearly upward. At the same time, short-term concerns persist. Overall, irritation remains at a high level, which could bring high volatility to the equity markets in the short term.
High neutrality is also a theme in currencies and bitcoin. Super neutrality is reaching extreme levels.Further results
- Equities: Bias increases, focus turns to the fourth quarter
- Bonds: High Overconfidence of Fixed Income Bears in the U.S.
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (31-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 06.08.23
- File Size:
- 968 KB
Fat slump in sentiment
The surprisingly marked correction in equities has led to a significant deterioration in sentiment. The bulls are pulling back sharply. This opens up a short-term contrarian potential. However, not only because of the typical August seasonality, this is likely to unfold fully only with an investment period of more than 2-3 weeks. Usually, this kind of sentiment slump is followed by a second "leg" after a short-lived recovery bounce.
Further results
- Equities: Basic strategic confidence rises by majority
- USD-JPY: Central bank turns investor bias around
- sentix economic index: Monday, 07. August 2023 at 10:30 CEST
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sentix Survey results (30-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 30.07.23
- File Size:
- 976 KB
Signal of new beginnings in China, lethargy in Europe
The stock market in China is doing something remarkable. The investment professionals in particular are sending a strong signal of departure. Crude oil is also slowly developing momentum: the bias has increased by 12 percentage points in the last 6 weeks. Statistically, this means tailwinds for black gold, especially since the positioning of market participants is still lagging behind. Will this lead to new inflationary pressures? Bond investors are looking to the future with promise. Record bias leads to record long positioning.
Further results
- Bonds: Record bias leads to record long positioning
- Crude oil: new boost
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (29-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 23.07.23
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Strong interest in bonds - bias reaches all-time high!
The underlying interest in bonds remains strong. For the U.S. in particular, the bias is developing diametrically to the positioning pattern. In terms of investor behavior, there are therefore clear opportunities. Basic strategic confidence is also rising in gold and bitcoins. This conviction is lacking in equities. Rather, the pessimistic sentiment from 2 weeks ago is still having an effect, the short squeeze that was unleashed is still in full swing. A vola signal is pending at the end.
Further results
- Equities: Short squeeze still running
- Gold: Solid bias development
- sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (28-2023)
- Uploaded:
- 16.07.23
- File Size:
- 994 KB
Short-covering underway
After the sentiment signal of the previous week, the price upswing in equities has put the bears under pressure and already forced large parts of them to give up. A good part of the performance potential has been worked off, but not all of it. There are new, interesting signals to report for silver and crude oil.
Further results
- Bonds: Continued high underlying confidence
- Crude oil: Bias upswing
- sentix sector sentiment
