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    February 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    09.02.20
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    536 KB

    World economy in the grip of the virus

    While at the beginning of the year there was still a clear upswing scenario for the global economy, the outbreak of the corona virus in China has changed the situation significantly. The drastic measures taken by the Chinese government for the Hubei region show the danger to the global economy if the outbreak cannot be limited re-gionally. So far, however, the effects on the economy have been relatively limited from the point of view of the investors surveyed by sentix, even if they are significant for China. The strength of the USA is helping the global economy.

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    January 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    05.01.20
    File Size:
    611 KB

    The next surprise at the start of the year

    The riots surrounding the conflict between the US and Iran, which dominated the news at the end of the week, were either ignored by investors or are not considered to be crucial for the economy. This is the result of the sentix economic survey, which brought a further improvement in the economic assessment of the global econo-my at the beginning of the year. This is the third surprise in a row for the "first mover"! The data for all regions of the world are improving, especially in Asia ex Japan.

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    December 2019 results

    Uploaded:
    08.12.19
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    388 KB

    Second exclamation mark of the "first mover”

    Many economic observers have come to terms with an economic downturn. But the "first mover" is sending an exclamation mark for the second month in a row with its dynamic turn: The sentix overall index for Euroland rises again, the expected values even reach the highest level since March 2018! Many things are going better than expected, the prospects are brightening across the globe. The Asia ex Japan region is developing into a special source of hope - especially for the German economy.

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    November 2019 results

    Uploaded:
    03.11.19
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    668 KB

    An exclamation mark of the "first mover”

    The global economy could go through an important low just these days. This is indicated by the latest data from the sentix economic indices. The overall index for Euroland rises by 12.3 points to -4.5, the expected values even jump by 14.5 points to their highest level since May 2019. Can the recession thus be averted? At any rate, hopes are pinned on new signs of recovery from China and the resilience of the US economy.

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    October 2019 results

    Uploaded:
    06.10.19
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    385 KB

    Central bank impulses fizzle out

    There is no positive reaction to the central banks' aid measures, and economic assessments are broadly negative in October. At -16.8 points, the sentix overall economic index for the Euro area marks the lowest level since April 2013. The recovery of expectations from the previous month has thus completely evaporated. In addition, the assessment of the current situation gives cause for concern. For the eurozone, this falls by 6 points to a 5-year low, and for Germany the value drops for the fifth time in a row at a rapid pace. Fears of recession are immanent. The other regions of the world are also descending.

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    September 2019 results

    Uploaded:
    08.09.19
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    682 KB

    Stagnation is not yet progress

    The economic situation in Euroland remains tense. The sentix economic indices improved slightly in September to minus 11.1 points. However, a look at the situation values, which have slipped even deeper into the red, shows that the Euro zone is not far from a recession. In Germany, on the other hand, it must now be assumed that the economy will no longer grow. The expected values, which can recover more clearly, do give us some hope. But as long as these bear a negative sign, a trend reversal is not yet in sight.

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    August 2019 results

    Uploaded:
    04.08.19
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    457 KB

    Downturn gains speed

    The sentix economic index for Euroland drops by a whopping 7.9 points to -13.7 points. This is the lowest level since October 2014. The measures announced by the central banks have not caused economic expectations to turn around. On the contrary, the current situation and expectations are literally tearing down, and the pace of deterioration is on the increase. In Germany, the overall index is even falling to its lowest level since October 2009. A recession in Germany is inevitable. The other regions of the world are also struggling with large discounts. Even for the USA, where the situation remains stable, expectations are falling dramatically. Trump has once again poured oil into the fire with its new China tariffs.

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    July 2019 results

    Uploaded:
    07.07.19
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    354 KB

    No relaxation - Trump has overdrawn

    • The sentix economic index for Euroland falls to its lowest level since November 2014. Despite the supposed calm on the stock markets and the resumption of customs talks between the USA and China, the current situation and expectations are falling.
    • In Germany, the overall index even fell to its lowest level since November 2009. A recession in Germany seems inevitable.
    • Investors are thus not following the positive signals of the stock market, and there is no belief in a quick settlement in the trade dispute. Twitter reports alone will no longer lure investors around the world out of their reserves.

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    June 2019 results

    Uploaded:
    09.06.19
    File Size:
    524 KB

    A punch below the belt

    As soon as the hopeful data of the sentix economic index had been published in May, the US president made a mistake in investors' calculations. At the latest since the US government prohibited US companies from doing business with the Chinese telecom supplier Huawei, it has become clear that a "cold" trade war is threatening to become a "hot" one. This development has pulled investors out of their upswing hopes and led to considerable setbacks in the sentix economic indices in all regions of the world. For the Euro zone, the overall index drops from 5.3 to -3.3 points.

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    May 2019 results

    Uploaded:
    05.05.19
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    574 KB

    It gets better!

    In May, the economic situation continued to improve globally, but also in Europe. Fears of a recession are thus receding into the background, which is reflected in the improved situation values in all the regions considered. We can also report further stabilisation for the euro zone. The overall index rises to 5.3 points (from -0.3). The as-sessment of the situation rises from 3.8 to 11.0 points.

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