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April 2018 results
- Uploaded:
- 08.04.18
- File Size:
- 367 KB
sentix Economic index: Sink flight
All regions of the world are on an economic downturn in April. Despite the still good assessment of the situation, there is no doubt that the global economy is cooling off.
Expectations for the Euro area are negative again for the first time since July 2016. The downward dynamic for Germany is even more pronounced.
The euphoria for the US economy is also fading noticeably. Expectations drop to a value of -7 percentage points. Trump's statements and measures on punitive tariffs raise serious concerns. The component for Expectations of the sentix Global Aggregate falls to its lowest value since February 2016. -
March 2018 results
- Uploaded:
- 04.03.18
- File Size:
- 369 KB
Turnaround?!
U. S. President Donald Trump's comments that he wants to impose fines on certain products did not only alarm the EU Commission. Investors surveyed by sentix also react clearly. Economic expectations for all regions of the world are declining significantly. Expectations in the eurozone are losing more than 11 points. In Germany, which is already experiencing a weakening of the economy, we are even recording a negative expectation for the first time since February 2016. However, the expectation value for the USA is also falling by more than 10 points. A wake-up call for the US president to reconsider the matter of protectionism.
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February 2018 results
- Uploaded:
- 04.02.18
- File Size:
- 375 KB
Vote of no confidence against the GroKo
In February, economic momentum in the euro zone is weakening somewhat. The total index drops by one point to 31.9 points. While the situation may continue to improve, expectations have fallen to their lowest level since February 2017. Germany plays a major role in this process. The GroKo negotiations are not well received by investors. Expectations drop by more than 6 points! In the rest of the world, however, investors surveyed by sentix believe that the economic situation remains robust.
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January 2018 results
- Uploaded:
- 07.01.18
- File Size:
- 420 KB
Danger of overheating
In January 2018, there was no sign of a loss of momentum in the sentix economic indices, which we were able to detect in the beginning of December. On the contrary: all regions of the world show a stable, positive and mod-erately improved economic picture. The US economic expectations, which are stimulated by the tax reform, have improved particularly significantly. In the eurozone, too, progress is continuing. And even latecomers such as Eastern Europe and Latin America continue to improve. The upswing is thus broad and synchronous. The likeli-hood of overheating is increasing.
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December 2017 results
- Uploaded:
- 03.12.17
- File Size:
- 350 KB
Excellent situation, expectations diminish
The sentix Economy Index for the Eurozone concludes its series of rising highs and returns 2.9 points in December. Expectations are responsible for this, with a more pronounced drop of 6.0 points. The assessment of the situation, on the other hand, can even increase slightly (+0.7 points). The values for Germany are also falling. The overall index dropped by 3.3 points to 39.1 points. Economic expectations have fallen by 5.3 points. There is also a calming effect on the global economy. Falling expectations dominate, with the emerging markets losing the least in relative terms. The autumn revival seems to be coming to an end.
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November 2017 results
- Uploaded:
- 05.11.17
- File Size:
- 352 KB
Boom, boom, boom
At the beginning of November 2017, the European and global economies are in exceptionally strong shape. The sentix economic index for Euroland rises again to 34 points, the highest since July 2007! Both situation and expec-tations contribute to this positive development. Things are even better in Germany, where we can report all-time highs. However, the upturn is not just focused on Europe. All world regions considered by sentix show fur-ther improvements. The global economy is booming. This should make the question of overheating symptoms more acute.
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October 2017 results
- Uploaded:
- 08.10.17
- File Size:
- 376 KB
Successful test after the Bundestag elections
The economic momentum continues. The overall index for Euroland improves by 1.5 points and reaches a new 10-year high with 29.7 points. Current situation and expectations are improving to a similar extent. The first economic test after the Bundestag elections can be considered successful. The time series for German economy of the "first movers among the leading indicators" are clearly climbing and are promising an unbroken upturn - even under a changed government. The global economic engine continues to gain strength. For the US investors are shaking their intermittent worries and the region of Asia is also creating strong economic optimism. The sentix Global Aggregate also rises to a 10-year high.
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September 2017 results
- Uploaded:
- 03.09.17
- File Size:
- 352 KB
The breadth of the upturn is right
The sentix economic indices for Euroland also signal a stable constitution in September. The overall index rises slightly to 28.2 points. The situation index and expectations show little change in the previous month. Last month, the German and US data were disappointing. There are moderate counter-movements in both regions this month. All other world regions remain on a growth path. In Japan the situation is strikingly upward and reaches the highest value since summer 2007.
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August 2017 results
- Uploaded:
- 06.08.17
- File Size:
- 404 KB
The economy is going through the zenith
The sentix economic indices are regarded as the "first mover" of the economic early indicators. These indexes have often been the first to show the turning points of economic dynamics. Therefore, the current values of the August survey among more than 1,000 investors make you listen. Around the world, expectations are dropping, led by the US with the fifth consecutive decline! Trump works, but other than desired by him. The German model boy also loses a lot of speed. The scandal surrounding the car industry has the potential to become an economic mood killer.
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July 2017 results
- Uploaded:
- 09.07.17
- File Size:
- 397 KB
It will not get any better?
The sentix economic indices show different trends for the different countries and regions. While Euroland and Eastern Europe stand out due to their better situation indices, the US is still characterized by a slowdown. Overall, it is striking that the economic expectations have weakened slightly. The economic momentum may thus be a top line. Better, as it indicates the very good situation index values, it will probably not be for the time being.
