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    Janaury 2021 results

    Uploaded:
    10.01.21
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    594 KB

    Expectations overshoot

    The sentix economic expectations for Euroland continue to develop very positively. Although large parts of Europe are suffering from a lockdown and the Corona pandemic seems to be flaring up again in other parts of the world, such as Japan, economic expectations continue to rise. In Euroland, they reach 33.5 points, the highest level since records began in 2003. This very positive assessment of expectations is likely to be very much in line with the prospects of a successful vaccination campaign. For in contrast, the situation is moving along very slowly, and in Asia we are even measuring a decline!

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    December 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    07.12.20
    File Size:
    554 KB

    sentix Economic Index: Vaccine releases boom-like growth forces

    The Corona crisis year 2020 will end with a bang, which will set several exclamation marks for the global economy. In our December results, we have a series of all-time highs (!) in the expectation components of various world economic regions. Hopes for an early use of vaccines are fuelling the fantasy that the economy in 2021 will recover more clearly than previously expected from the consensus.

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    November 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    08.11.20
    File Size:
    544 KB

    Asia makes it better!

    The rising number of positive PCR test results is causing politicians to fear an uncontrolled spread of the corona virus. Although the serious consequences of a lockdown on economic development were experienced in March, most governments in Europe are going down the path of renewed contact restrictions. Although these do not have the same negative effect as in March, they do dampen the economic recovery process. Surprisingly, however, the effect on the sentix business cycle index is surprisingly limited at -1.7 points on an overall index of -10 points. The reason for this "mild lockdown" is probably the positive dynamics in Asia and the USA.

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    October 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    04.10.20
    File Size:
    344 KB

    Asia continues to pick up, Euroland stagnating

    The economic recovery in Euroland takes a breather in October. After five successive improvements, the sentix overall economic index for the euro zone fell marginally by -0.3 points to -8.3 points. However, the current situation continues to improve, reaching its highest level since March 2020. The data does not reveal any significant risk element in the short term, as the expectations index remains at a higher level despite a decline of 2 points. The outlook for Germany looks somewhat better than for the euro area as a whole. There are positive developments to report, especially from Asia ex Japan and the US.

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    September 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    06.09.20
    File Size:
    398 KB

    Fifth consecutive increase

    The economic recovery, which has been observable globally since May 2020, continues in September. In Euro-land, but also in many other regions, we are measuring the fifth consecutive rise in the overall indices. A positive aspect is that the expectation values remain stable, i.e. the improvement is largely driven by the current situa-tion. However, these values are still largely in negative territory, meaning that the recessionary tendencies have not yet been fully overcome. In an international comparison, Switzerland and Asia ex Japan stand out.

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    August 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    09.08.20
    File Size:
    389 KB

    The current situation is moving along

    In August, the sentix overall index for the eurozone economy climbed by +4.8 to -13.4 points for the fourth time in a row. The current situation values increased by 8.2 points, but are still in recession at -41.3 points. At +19.3 points, expectations remain stably positive, meaning that the economic recovery should continue. We also measure the fourth consecutive improvement for Germany. The current situation values increased by 10 points month-on-month and now stand at -30.8 points. Internationally, the Asian region is leading the improvement: The overall index for Asia ex-Japan is even above zero. The recovery in the USA and Latin America remains disappointing.

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    July 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    05.07.20
    File Size:
    530 KB

    Third consecutive increase

    The sentix economic indices for the euro zone and many other regions improved in July for the third time in a row. The Euroland overall index rose by 6.6 points to -18.2 points. The biggest leap forward was made by the values for Switzerland. Here the overall index rises from -14.4 points to -1.6 points! Nevertheless, too much optimism seems out of place. On the one hand, expectations are falling slightly in almost all regions. On the other hand, investors continue to assume that the economic slump caused by the Corona crisis will not be offset within a year!

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    June 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    07.06.20
    File Size:
    417 KB

    Upswing - but where to?

    The signs are pointing to a global economic upturn. This is not too difficult after such a serious standstill of the real economy as we experienced in April. This is why the sentix economic indices also show a mixed picture. On the positive side, expectations are rising sharply. The economy is waking up from its deep sleep. But the road to normality is long. The situation values are still deep red and thus continue to indicate a recessionary environ-ment. The question now is how strong and how far the global economy can recover. We will shed light on this in the following analysis.

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    May 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    03.05.20
    File Size:
    546 KB

    Hard hit, soft recovery

    The Corona crisis has sent the world economy into recession and is presenting the global economy with unprecedented challenges. The global situation continues to fall at the beginning of May, marking new all-time lows in many regions of the world. The Global Aggregate Index is also at an all-time low of -60.5 points. Nevertheless, there are glimmers of hope. Expectations may improve across the board. In some regions, they are even positive again, giving rise to hopes that a stabilization phase will begin. Compared to the hard impact of the situation, the upswing is proceeding rather gently. Austria deserves special attention.

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    April 2020 results

    Uploaded:
    05.04.20
    File Size:
    437 KB

    The corona virus is holding the world economy in a stranglehold. Never before has the assessment of the current situation collapsed so sharply in all regions of the world within one month. In Euroland, the overall index is falling to an all-time low. The USA is now also in a full downward spiral. The region Asia ex Japan (China) sends the only glimmer of hope: economic expectations there at least signal no deterioration. A quick V-recovery of the economy is not to be expected.

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