sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Folder: sentix Survey Essentials (English)
Files:
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sentix Survey results (37-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 15.09.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Buzllish sentiment reflex in equities
Confidence is increasingly spreading on the stock market. After the fear reflex of the previous week, share sentiment is jumping upwards just as reflexively. And basic confidence is also on the march. Is this the best of all worlds or a dangerous displacement mode? We see parallels in the sentiment picture from a year ago. Back then, investors were confident and a good fourth quarter followed. Is history repeating itself?
Further results
- Equities: Basic strategic confidence surprisingly strong
- Gold: The air is getting thinner
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (36-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 08.09.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Fast fear reflex, slow portfolio adjustment
The fear reflex comes back very quickly: share sentiment rushes back into the pessimism zone from its recent neutral levels. This is where we were 5 weeks ago. As there is no doubt in the investor bias that the stock markets will continue to rise in the medium term, the TD Index also reacts significantly. Such low values have their own significance, especially as portfolio trading shows only moderate pressure to adjust. Things could therefore get rough again over the next three weeks.
Further results
- Equities: Average profile shows short term ‘rough path’
- Bonds: Bund future bias shows first flaw
- sentix Economic Index: Monday, 09th Sept. 2024 at 10:30 AM CET
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sentix Survey results (35-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 01.09.24
- File Size:
- 963 KB
Overconfidence with the DAX
Sentiment on the stock market is neutral, basic confidence is stable. There are special signals in terms of overconfidence: this is high for the DAX and diametrically low for the CSI 300. There are more striking changes in the bond bias and in precious metals: The signs of tiredness in the bias of gold and silver should be taken seriously, as long positioning continues to grow. In the case of US bonds, on the other hand, the rise in institutional bias is convincing.
Further results
- Equities: China with anti-cyclical buy signals
- Bonds: Convincing institutional judgement
- Precious metals: signs of fatigue are progressing
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sentix Survey results (34-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 25.08.24
- File Size:
- 991 KB
Continued divergence of sentiment
The atypical price behaviour for this time of year continued last week. Prices continued to recover, giving the DAX an unusual series of upswings. On the US stock market, the S&P 500 is only just below its high for the year. However, investors' sentiment is not being sparked. On the one hand, this is leading to low values in the TD Index, which is positive. On the other hand, there is a negative divergence in sentiment.
Further results
- Bonds: Attractiveness of the long end increases
- Gold and oil: Strategic confidence weakens
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (33-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 18.08.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
The fear has vanished
The fear of an equity crash has evaporated. The vehemence of the price rise in many stock indices has made a strong impression on investors (and on us). In this country, fear - as measured by sentix sentiment - was considerably high. The US data from the AAII, on the other hand, only fell to a neutral level. Have Americans simply remained cool or is there still an episode to come? In any case, the extreme dissonance between macro developments (sentix economic indices) and confidence on the stock market (bias) is still there.
Further results
- Bonds: Strong bias for Bund & UK Gilts
- EUR/JPY: Exchange rate burden ahead
- sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (32-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 12.08.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Sentiment recovers only slightly
This week, due to technical problems on our server, we have created a chart show via the Bloomberg system. You will receive some updates in a somewhat different format. On the US bond market in particular, there is a diametrical development between positioning behaviour and investor bias. However, major changes in positioning can also be observed on the currency market.
Further results
- Bonds: Diametric paths of bias & positioning in US-TY
- USD/JPY: Significant position adjustments
- sentix sector sentiment
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sentix Survey results (31-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 04.08.24
- File Size:
- 810 KB
Impressive data
The stock markets are now starting to slide: However, the impulse that has begun does not yet appear to be complete, despite very bearish sentiment. This is supported by the Super Neutrality Index, which has only reduced half of the high investor neutrality. The equity market therefore still has some room to react. The sentix economic index (Monday, August data) also deserves special attention: overall, there is impressive data that does not immediately call for action.
Further results
- Bonds: Cry of jubilation
- EUR/USD: First directional signal
- sentix economic index: Monday, 05th Aug. 2023 at 10:30 AM CEST
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sentix Survey results (30-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 28.07.24
- File Size:
- 908 KB
Selectivity increases
Investors are ending the past week with an ambivalent picture. Fear of equities is very high in the short term, while medium-term confidence is becoming even more selective. US techs and Asian equities in particular are showing considerable investor concerns about the bias trend. The issue of "negative sentiment momentum" is not off the table. Irritation is rising to an all-time high in EUR/USD.
Further results
- EUR/USD: All-time high in neutrality
- Gold & silver: an important ally
- sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds
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sentix Survey results (29-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 21.07.24
- File Size:
- 978 KB
Negative sentiment impulse
Sentiment indices on the equity side are plummeting worldwide. Fear is spreading and contrarian investors are pricking up their ears. Is it time for bargain hunters again? The answer is: No! The sentix data set fulfils the criteria for a negative sentiment impulse, which entails a general change in investor behaviour. This means that the current low in sentiment is not comparable with that of mid-April 2024 and should therefore be considered differently in terms of its impact.
Further results
- Bonds: Confidence as high
- Yen: Adjustment reaction started
- sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior
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sentix Survey results (28-2024)
- Uploaded:
- 14.07.24
- File Size:
- 1 MB
Risks continiue to increase
Although share prices in the USA are at all-time highs and even the long-neglected small caps showed signs of life over the course of the week, sentix data reveals a problematic development. Fundamental strategic confidence has collapsed significantly. At the typical seasonal point in the year, investors are evidently getting cold feet.
Further results
- Bonds: Positive signals
- Commodities: Precious metals and oil remain supported
- sentix sector sentiment
