Reaction to the Dutch election

Written by Manfred Hübner | 26 November 2023
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The Netherlands has voted and given the euro sceptics a bit of a wake-up call. The Euro Break-up Index, which we rarely comment on at present as the situation in the eurozone is relatively stable, shows a relatively unusual swing in the sub-index for the Netherlands. This is certainly not high enough to act as a harbinger of crisis. But that could possibly change in the 2024 election year. We'll stay on the ball.

sentix Survey results (47-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 26 November 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Sentiment remains favourable

The mood on the stock markets remains positive. Investors are completely under the spell of positive seasonality, which usually promises a favourable end to the year. Accordingly, portfolios are now also more offensively orientated. But investors are also clearly continuing to favour a bullish trend in bonds.

Further results

• Bonds: Investors are highly invested
• FX: Euro bias improves
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (46-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 19 November 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bears in short supply

The share price gains have had a significant impact on investor sentiment. Bears in particular have become scarce in the short term. We are measuring the lowest level in the sub-index for US equities since the end of 2019. At the same time, we are hearing a decline in basic strategic confidence in equities. In turn, investors' investment horizon for bonds is lengthening again.

Further results

• Bonds: Investment horizon is lengthening
• Gold: Stable basic confidence
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (45-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 12 November 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Equity bias weakens - especially among institutional investors

The slide in the price of crude oil has completely dampened the optimism that still existed in recent weeks. The price movement in the black gold price is also fueling hope for the inflation outlook, which in turn is also reflected in the strategic bias for bonds. Conversely, it is the equity outlook that is now losing ground. The US presidential cycle warns of a weak second half of November.

Further results

• Bonds: Buying intentions continue to rise
• Bitcoins: No profit-taking indicated
• sentix sector sentiment

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Small ray of hope, but no all-clear

Written by Patrick Hussy | 06 November 2023
Posted in sentix Economic News

The November data provides some hope: the economic index for the eurozone rises by 3.4 points to -18.6 points. Economic expectations in particular are surprising with an increase of 6.8 points. A similar trend can be seen for Germany. While the current assessment remains in recessionary territory, expectations are recovering even more dynamically. There are also small rays of hope in the international data. Economic expectations are rising almost everywhere, with the situation figures in the USA even showing an exclamation mark. Despite these glimmers of hope, the issue of stagnation is not yet off the table.

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