Reports
Folder: Reports (English)
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September 2019 results
- Uploaded:
- 08.09.19
- File Size:
- 682 KB
Stagnation is not yet progress
The economic situation in Euroland remains tense. The sentix economic indices improved slightly in September to minus 11.1 points. However, a look at the situation values, which have slipped even deeper into the red, shows that the Euro zone is not far from a recession. In Germany, on the other hand, it must now be assumed that the economy will no longer grow. The expected values, which can recover more clearly, do give us some hope. But as long as these bear a negative sign, a trend reversal is not yet in sight.
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August 2019 results
- Uploaded:
- 04.08.19
- File Size:
- 457 KB
Downturn gains speed
The sentix economic index for Euroland drops by a whopping 7.9 points to -13.7 points. This is the lowest level since October 2014. The measures announced by the central banks have not caused economic expectations to turn around. On the contrary, the current situation and expectations are literally tearing down, and the pace of deterioration is on the increase. In Germany, the overall index is even falling to its lowest level since October 2009. A recession in Germany is inevitable. The other regions of the world are also struggling with large discounts. Even for the USA, where the situation remains stable, expectations are falling dramatically. Trump has once again poured oil into the fire with its new China tariffs.
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July 2019 results
- Uploaded:
- 07.07.19
- File Size:
- 354 KB
No relaxation - Trump has overdrawn
- The sentix economic index for Euroland falls to its lowest level since November 2014. Despite the supposed calm on the stock markets and the resumption of customs talks between the USA and China, the current situation and expectations are falling.
- In Germany, the overall index even fell to its lowest level since November 2009. A recession in Germany seems inevitable.
- Investors are thus not following the positive signals of the stock market, and there is no belief in a quick settlement in the trade dispute. Twitter reports alone will no longer lure investors around the world out of their reserves.
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June 2019 results
- Uploaded:
- 09.06.19
- File Size:
- 524 KB
A punch below the belt
As soon as the hopeful data of the sentix economic index had been published in May, the US president made a mistake in investors' calculations. At the latest since the US government prohibited US companies from doing business with the Chinese telecom supplier Huawei, it has become clear that a "cold" trade war is threatening to become a "hot" one. This development has pulled investors out of their upswing hopes and led to considerable setbacks in the sentix economic indices in all regions of the world. For the Euro zone, the overall index drops from 5.3 to -3.3 points.
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May 2019 results
- Uploaded:
- 05.05.19
- File Size:
- 574 KB
It gets better!
In May, the economic situation continued to improve globally, but also in Europe. Fears of a recession are thus receding into the background, which is reflected in the improved situation values in all the regions considered. We can also report further stabilisation for the euro zone. The overall index rises to 5.3 points (from -0.3). The as-sessment of the situation rises from 3.8 to 11.0 points.
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April 2019 results
- Uploaded:
- 07.04.19
- File Size:
- 451 KB
Asian upswing signals
Economic observers are currently focusing their attention strongly on China. The signs in China are increasingly pointing to an upswing. Should there be an additional settlement in the trade dispute with the USA, the second economically robust region of the world economy, the European economy could also see a turnaround. To date, only further stabilization can be reported. The sentix economic index for the Euro zone rose slightly to -0.3 points, after -2.2 points in the previous month.
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March 2019 results
- Uploaded:
- 03.03.19
- File Size:
- 488 KB
The sun rises in Asia
In March, the sentix economic indices are sending signs of stabilisation in the eurozone economy. While the assessment of the situation has fallen to 6.3 points for the seventh time in a row, economic expectations have im-proved for the second time. This is fueling hopes that there will be no recession. The results for the German economy are similar. In the search for the starting point of a new upswing, the region Asia ex Japan moves into focus. The situation and expectations are improving here.
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February 2019 results
- Uploaded:
- 03.02.19
- File Size:
- 489 KB
Spring recovery not yet in sight
Even in February, the bad news for the economy in Euroland is not abating. The sentix economic index drops to only +3.1 points for the sixth time in a row. This is the lowest level since November 2014! The sentix indices are performing similarly to the recent ifo index: with slightly improved expectations, the situation values continue to collapse. Things are looking a little better internationally. The overall indices may improve slightly here. But this is not enough to proclaim a turnaround.
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January 2019 results
- Uploaded:
- 06.01.19
- File Size:
- 452 KB
Weak start to the new year
From an economic point of view, the new year begins just as the old one ended: the worries on the forehead of investors about the overall economic situation did not diminish at the beginning of January 2019. For the im-portant economic regions of the world, the sentix economic indices show another slight setback. In Euroland, the overall index fell from -0.3 to -1.5 points, the fifth consecutive decline. The expectations for the US economy are changing particularly strongly: here the US administration is increasingly blocking itself.
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December 2018 results
- Uploaded:
- 09.12.18
- File Size:
- 445 KB
Dark memories of 2007
At the end of 2018, the sentix economic indices awaken gloomy memories of the pre-crisis year 2007. The overall economic index for the euro zone falls for the fourth time in a row to -0.4, the lowest value since December 2014. Both the situation and expectations collapse. Looking at the international environment, there is practically no glimmer of hope, as even the hitherto strong US stocks are falling significantly. Now the (monetary) policy is called for!
