sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

The current situation is moving along

In August, the sentix overall index for the eurozone economy climbed by +4.8 to -13.4 points for the fourth time in a row. The current situation values increased by 8.2 points, but are still in recession at -41.3 points. At +19.3 points, expectations remain stably positive, meaning that the economic recovery should continue. We also measure the fourth consecutive improvement for Germany. The current situation values increased by 10 points month-on-month and now stand at -30.8 points. Internationally, the Asian region is leading the improvement: The overall index for Asia ex-Japan is even above zero. The recovery in the USA and Latin America remains disappointing.

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Third consecutive increase

The sentix economic indices for the euro zone and many other regions improved in July for the third time in a row. The Euroland overall index rose by 6.6 points to -18.2 points. The biggest leap forward was made by the values for Switzerland. Here the overall index rises from -14.4 points to -1.6 points! Nevertheless, too much optimism seems out of place. On the one hand, expectations are falling slightly in almost all regions. On the other hand, investors continue to assume that the economic slump caused by the Corona crisis will not be offset within a year!

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Upswing - but where to?

The signs are pointing to a global economic upturn. This is not too difficult after such a serious standstill of the real economy as we experienced in April. This is why the sentix economic indices also show a mixed picture. On the positive side, expectations are rising sharply. The economy is waking up from its deep sleep. But the road to normality is long. The situation values are still deep red and thus continue to indicate a recessionary environ-ment. The question now is how strong and how far the global economy can recover. We will shed light on this in the following analysis.

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Hard hit, soft recovery

The Corona crisis has sent the world economy into recession and is presenting the global economy with unprece-dented challenges. The global situation continues to fall at the beginning of May, marking new all-time lows in many regions of the world. The Global Aggregate Index is also at an all-time low of -60.5 points. Nevertheless, there are glimmers of hope. Expectations may improve across the board. In some regions, they are even positive again, giving rise to hopes that a stabilization phase will begin. Compared to the hard impact of the situation, the upswing is proceeding rather gently. Austria deserves special attention.

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Recession shock is deep

The corona virus is holding the world economy in a stranglehold. Never before has the assessment of the current situation collapsed so sharply in all regions of the world within one month. In Euroland, the overall index is falling to an all-time low. The USA is now also in a full downward spiral. The region Asia ex Japan (China) sends the only glimmer of hope: economic expectations there at least signal no deterioration. A quick V-recovery of the economy is not to be expected.

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