sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Central bank impulses fizzle out

There is no positive reaction to the central banks' aid measures, and economic assessments are broadly negative in October. At -16.8 points, the sentix overall economic index for the Euro area marks the lowest level since April 2013. The recovery of expectations from the previous month has thus completely evaporated. In addition, the assessment of the current situation gives cause for concern. For the eurozone, this falls by 6 points to a 5-year low, and for Germany the value drops for the fifth time in a row at a rapid pace. Fears of recession are immanent. The other regions of the world are also descending.

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Stagnation is not yet progress

The economic situation in Euroland remains tense. The sentix economic indices improved slightly in September to minus 11.1 points. However, a look at the situation values, which have slipped even deeper into the red, shows that the Euro zone is not far from a recession. In Germany, on the other hand, it must now be assumed that the economy will no longer grow. The expected values, which can recover more clearly, do give us some hope. But as long as these bear a negative sign, a trend reversal is not yet in sight.

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Downturn gains speed

The pressure on the economic front is increasing noticeably. The current assessment and expectations are falling to their knees, and 6-month expectations for the Euro area are falling by 7 points to -20 points. This is the lowest value since August 2012!

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No relaxation - Trump has overdrawn

After the supposed de-escalation signals between the USA and China at the G20 summit in Japan, there was great hope that the downward trend in the economy could be stopped. This makes the vote of investors in response to this news all the more impressive. Despite the easing in the equity market, investors are no longer being lured out of the reserve and are once again lowering their thumbs for economic development. The longer no solution to the customs dispute is found, the more economic confidence suffers. For Germany, the overall index is even falling to a 10-year low.

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A punch below the belt

As soon as the hopeful data of the sentix economic index had been published in May, the US president made a mistake in investors' calculations. At the latest since the US government prohibited US companies from doing business with the Chinese telecom supplier Huawei, it has become clear that a "cold" trade war is threatening to become a "hot" one. This development has pulled investors out of their upswing hopes and led to considerable setbacks in the sentix economic indices in all regions of the world. For the Euro zone, the overall index drops from 5.3 to -3.3 points.

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