sentix Euro Break-up Index News

On this page we provide information about the latest development of the sentix Euro break-up Index. This indicator shows over time, how likely individual and institutional investors rate the probabilty of a breakup of the euro area (leaving at least one country) within 12 months time. Also it reflects which countries are particularly affected.

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Europe remains calm

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Investors' worries about a collapse of the euro zone will be reduced again in April. The sentix EBI Index again reached an all-time low of 6.3 points. Although the political situation in Italy remains unclear and the economic mo-mentum in Europe has recently dampened, this has no effect on the assessment of the stability of the euro zone.

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No fears about Italy, concerns remain

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The possible formation of a government in Rome between the two anti-European protest parties does not lead to new fears flaring up in the Euro Break-up Index for Italy and a new Euro crisis being indicated. Rather, the subindex for Italy is stable at 4.7 percentage points. The overall index for the euro zone also rose by only 0.9 percentage points after its all-time low of the previous month.

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No fear of the Italian election

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The forthcoming parliamentary elections in Italy do not cause any discomfort among investors. At least investors do not see this as a threat to the stability of the euro zone. The sentix Euro Break-up Index falls again to an all-time low of only 6.6%! This represents a clear contrast to Renzi's December 2016 referendum vote, when investors were clearly shaking. But with the stable economy in the eurozone, however, stability has also returned to the euro question. But is the election event also becoming a non-event at the markets?

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Headline Index at all-time low!

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At the beginning of 2018, the euro zone is still in robust shape. As in the past few months, only a few investors are expecting major unrest in the euro zone. In January 2018, the overall index even fell to a historic low of 6.9%! If you want to look out for possible problem areas, the focus will naturally be on Italy. The forthcoming parliamentary elec-tions are a source of uncertainty. The Italian sub-index is rising against the general trend.

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Catalonia election without influence

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The euro-zone ends 2017 in a stable state. Although the regional elections in Catalonia did not bring about any change in the status quo of Catalonia's autonomy issue, investors see no reason to draw negative conclusions for the euro zone. The sentix Euro Break-up Index rose only marginally from 7.91% to 8.35%. The sub-index for Spain rose from 0.63% to 1.24%. That's not a critical level yet.

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