sentix Euro Break-up Index News

On this page we provide information about the latest development of the sentix Euro break-up Index. This indicator shows over time, how likely individual and institutional investors rate the probabilty of a breakup of the euro area (leaving at least one country) within 12 months time. Also it reflects which countries are particularly affected.

Access to all charts for regsitered sentix voters

Relaxed mood test before the European elections

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In the penultimate sentiment test before the European elections, the investors surveyed by sentix show that they are still relatively relaxed with regard to the stability of the Eurozone. The Euro break-up index for the euro area fell by slightly more than 1% to 8.98%. The sub-index for Italy also declined slightly.

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Despite Brexit uncertainty little movement

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Despite the turbulence surrounding the further development of Brexit and the continuing concerns about the state of the Euro zone economy, investors remain relatively relaxed with regard to euro cohesion. The Euro Break-up Index rose only marginally from 9.8 to 10.1 points.

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Uncertainty over Italy remains

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On the face of it, investors' concerns about the Euro-Zone's continued existence remain stable. The sentix Euro Break-up Index rose from 8.8% to 9.8%. But from the perspective of the investors surveyed by sentix, the probability of a break-up of the Euro zone is only at the average level of the last 18 months. In detail, the focus remains on Italy.

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Quiet start to the year

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The euro zone is experiencing a quiet start to the new year. Although investors are worried about the global and Eu-ro-Zone economic outlook, this is not having a negative impact on their perception of Euro-Zone stability. The Euro Break-up Index fell slightly from 9.9 to 8.8 points. Perhaps this is also due to the relative calm on the Italian govern-ment debt front, where the sub-index for Italy is also falling.

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The shock eases

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Although the new Italian government is refusing to revise its draft budget and thus risk a further escalation with the EU Commission, investors are more relaxed about Italy's exit risk from the euro. Obviously, investors are counting on Italy ultimately to be disciplined by the capital markets in good time.

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