sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

A punch below the belt

As soon as the hopeful data of the sentix economic index had been published in May, the US president made a mistake in investors' calculations. At the latest since the US government prohibited US companies from doing business with the Chinese telecom supplier Huawei, it has become clear that a "cold" trade war is threatening to become a "hot" one. This development has pulled investors out of their upswing hopes and led to considerable setbacks in the sentix economic indices in all regions of the world. For the Euro zone, the overall index drops from 5.3 to -3.3 points.

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It gets better!

In May, the economic situation continued to improve globally, but also in Europe. Fears of a recession are thus receding into the background, which is reflected in the improved situation values in all the regions considered. We can also report further stabilisation for the euro zone. The overall index rises to 5.3 points (from -0.3). The as-sessment of the situation rises from 3.8 to 11.0 points.

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Asian upswing signals

Economic observers are currently focusing their attention strongly on China. The signs in China are increasingly pointing to an upswing. Should there be an additional settlement in the trade dispute with the USA, the second economically robust region of the world economy, the European economy could also see a turnaround. To date, only further stabilization can be reported. The sentix economic index for the Euro zone rose slightly to -0.3 points, after -2.2 points in the previous month.

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The sun rises in Asia

In March, the sentix economic indices are sending signs of stabilisation in the eurozone economy. While the assessment of the situation has fallen to 6.3 points for the seventh time in a row, economic expectations have im-proved for the second time. This is fueling hopes that there will be no recession. The results for the German economy are similar. In the search for the starting point of a new upswing, the region Asia ex Japan moves into focus. The situation and expectations are improving here.

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Spring recovery not yet in sight

Even in February, the bad news for the economy in Euroland is not abating. The sentix economic index drops to only +3.1 points for the sixth time in a row. This is the lowest level since November 2014! The sentix indices are performing similarly to the recent ifo index: with slightly improved expectations, the situation values continue to collapse. Things are looking a little better internationally. The overall indices may improve slightly here. But this is not enough to proclaim a turnaround.

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