sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

The global trend points upwards

Economic expectations for the eurozone continue to improve. The September data of the “first mover” for the euro zone reveals that both the current situation (+4.5) as well as expectations (+6.75) have slightly improved. Consequently, the overall index rises from 4.4 points to 5.6 points. The catch-up process of the emerging market economies overcompensates the heterogeneous developments of the industrialised world regions. Therefore, the global trend points upwards.

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Chinese glimmers of hope

Economic expectations are no longer negatively affected by the Brexit fallout. The sentix Economic Index improves moderately to +4.2 points. Positive growth impulses of the Chinese economy are accountable for the latest upswing, however. The European economy merely contributes to the confidence built up. The index for Asia ex. Japan jumps from +8.2 to +14.1 points. The latest round of yuan depreciation against the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen seems to act as a stimulant.

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The Brexit dampens economic expectations

The sentix economic survey is the first indicator of its kind to provide an indication whether UK’s decision to leave the EU affects the economy of other world regions. Thereby, it turns out that the spring recovery of the sentix economic expectations for the Eurozone has abruptly halted. The British voters’ verdict to depart the Eu-ropean Union should be a decisive reason for that. Besides Switzerland, the Eurozone is the biggest loser of the Brexit decision. 

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Eurozone aggregate climbs to new high

June’s economic expectation figures end a sluggish spring quarter. The Eurozone aggregate rises by +3.7 points to the highest value since last December. Besides, investors’ expectations over the next six-month soar by +5.5 points to +10 points. The June readings further demonstrate that other world regions can gain along with the development in central Europe. Investors are especially delighted by the progress of the US economy. The overall index climbs +6.2 points. On the US economy’s coat-tails is the economy of Asia which signals signs of improvement in comparison the previous quarter. Accordingly, the sentix global aggregate index strengthens by +4.1 points and marks the highest reading since last December.

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Japan and the US contra the emerging markets

Economic expectations for the Eurozone remain resilient as investors perception about the future development of Japan continues to deteriorate. Moreover, in May investors get wary about the situation of the US economy. Emerging markets proceed their recovery. The headline index for the Eurozone marginally raises by +0.5 points to +6.2 points. Overall investors draw a rather non-dynamic picture about the economic condition of the Eurozone as expectations remain unchanged and the perception of the current situation with a change of +1 point displays weak momentum.

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