sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Spring recovery not yet in sight

Even in February, the bad news for the economy in Euroland is not abating. The sentix economic index drops to only +3.1 points for the sixth time in a row. This is the lowest level since November 2014! The sentix indices are performing similarly to the recent ifo index: with slightly improved expectations, the situation values continue to collapse. Things are looking a little better internationally. The overall indices may improve slightly here. But this is not enough to proclaim a turnaround.

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Weak start to the new year

From an economic point of view, the new year begins just as the old one ended: the worries on the forehead of investors about the overall economic situation did not diminish at the beginning of January 2019. For the im-portant economic regions of the world, the sentix economic indices show another slight setback. In Euroland, the overall index fell from -0.3 to -1.5 points, the fifth consecutive decline. The expectations for the US economy are changing particularly strongly: here the US administration is increasingly blocking itself.

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Dark memories of 2007

At the end of 2018, the sentix economic indices awaken gloomy memories of the pre-crisis year 2007. The overall economic index for the euro zone falls for the fourth time in a row to -0.3, the lowest value since December 2014. Both the situation and expectations collapse. Looking at the international environment, there is practically no glimmer of hope, as even the hitherto strong US stocks are falling significantly. Now the (monetary) policy is called for!

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Momentum continues to crumble

In November, economic momentum in the global economy continues to weaken. With the exception of Latin America, we are measuring a weakening of situation assessments for all regions of the world. At the same time, most of the expectation values remain negative. In the euro area, the overall index fell from 11.4 to 8.8 points. The situation remains clearly positive at 29.3, but the slowdown continues. There are many reasons for this.

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Is the US economy overheating?

The economic development in the individual regions of the world continues to be uneven. Overall, however, the current assessments of the approximately 1,000 investors surveyed by sentix remain relatively relaxed. This is due not insignificantly to the very good assessment of the US economy, where we are once again measuring an all-time high in the current situation index. This is increasingly causing inflation fears among investors, which in turn should prompt the central banks to continue their restrictive monetary policy. This also seems to be one of the reasons why the majority of expectation indices remain slightly negative.

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