sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

An exclamation mark of the first mover

The global economy could go through an important low just these days. This is indicated by the latest data from the sentix economic indices. The overall index for Euroland rises by 12.3 points to -4.5, the expected values even jump by 14.5 points to their highest level since May 2019. Can the recession thus be averted? At any rate, hopes are pinned on new signs of recovery from China and the resilience of the US economy.

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Central bank impulses fizzle out

There is no positive reaction to the central banks' aid measures, and economic assessments are broadly negative in October. At -16.8 points, the sentix overall economic index for the Euro area marks the lowest level since April 2013. The recovery of expectations from the previous month has thus completely evaporated. In addition, the assessment of the current situation gives cause for concern. For the eurozone, this falls by 6 points to a 5-year low, and for Germany the value drops for the fifth time in a row at a rapid pace. Fears of recession are immanent. The other regions of the world are also descending.

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Stagnation is not yet progress

The economic situation in Euroland remains tense. The sentix economic indices improved slightly in September to minus 11.1 points. However, a look at the situation values, which have slipped even deeper into the red, shows that the Euro zone is not far from a recession. In Germany, on the other hand, it must now be assumed that the economy will no longer grow. The expected values, which can recover more clearly, do give us some hope. But as long as these bear a negative sign, a trend reversal is not yet in sight.

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Downturn gains speed

The pressure on the economic front is increasing noticeably. The current assessment and expectations are falling to their knees, and 6-month expectations for the Euro area are falling by 7 points to -20 points. This is the lowest value since August 2012!

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No relaxation - Trump has overdrawn

After the supposed de-escalation signals between the USA and China at the G20 summit in Japan, there was great hope that the downward trend in the economy could be stopped. This makes the vote of investors in response to this news all the more impressive. Despite the easing in the equity market, investors are no longer being lured out of the reserve and are once again lowering their thumbs for economic development. The longer no solution to the customs dispute is found, the more economic confidence suffers. For Germany, the overall index is even falling to a 10-year low.

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