sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Signals of weakness in the US

The Euroland economy continues to be in good shape. The sentix economic index for the Euro area rises to 27.4 points, the highest since July 2007. These assessments are increasingly supported by the current situation assessment, which reached the highest level since January 2008, with 34.5 points. It is even better in Germany. Here, the current situation judgment reaches 61.3 points the fifth largest ever measured value. Quite different is the situation in the US, where investors are increasingly looking at the economic outlook. US economic expectations are falling again.

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The situation in Euroland continues to grow

The Euro area is making further economic progress. The assessment of the economic situation by professional and private investors questioned by sentix is exceptionally good. Prior to the important presidential elections in France, the Euroland economy's current situation index has risen to its highest level since January 2008. Expectations are also rising slightly. The Eurozone thus stands out positively from other global regions.

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The economy keeps buzzing

The sentix headline index for the Eurozone economy increases 3.3 points in March – the highest index level in 10 years. Investors rate the current situation exceptionally favourable. The current situation index rises 3.3 points to the highest level since March 2011. Investors’ economic expectations are on the rise for all major world regions. Therefore, last month’s drop is just a temporary correction. We believe that there is no imminent threat to economic prosperity. Besides the positive development of advanced economies, economic momentum remains strong for the emerging markets. Even Latin America manages to gain momentum.

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Current situation in the Eurozone improves

The sentix headline index for the Eurozone experiences a slight setback in February (-0.8 points MoM). In contrast, the current situation value increases 4 points and has reached the highest value since May 2011. Investors’ expectations retreat for all world regions as the first acts of the new US President causes caution among the investment community. Nevertheless, investors positively review the current situation of the US economy. The current situation value for the US remains fairly stable at 45 points. In comparison to other world regions, expectations for the US economy fall the most in February (-8.7 points MoM). The bullying US-President is a serious threat.

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More upside potential ahead!

The sentix economic indices surprise in January: All indices turn positive and imply more growth potential ahead. Especially the Eurozone and Eastern Europe benefit at the beginning of 2017. The headline index for the Eurozone increases by 8.2 points and reaches the highest value since August 2015. Economic expectations and current situation values improve dynamically. At the same time, we expect more economic upside potential for Eastern Europe and Austria due to its strong ties with the east of Europe. The US economy can maintain its strong growth momentum in January. The headline index marks the second all-time high in a row. Therefore, the Global Aggregate Index jumps to a 9-year high. Therefore, we expect more economic upside potential for 2017.

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