sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Emerging markets on a downward trend

In the last two months, investors have hoped that the economic downturn will be short-lived. This hope was largely lost at the beginning of September. From the perspective of the more than 1,000 investors surveyed by sentix, the economic sky darkens significantly, especially for the emerging markets. And this also has an impact on the developed markets.

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Concerns about trade disputes diminish

The summer heat in Europe is also causing economic temperatures to rise again. The overall Euro zone index rose by 2.6 points to 14.7 points in August. A complete all-clear cannot yet be given, because with negative expectations, the economy is still in a cooling off phase. But investors seem to see the dangers of an escalation in the trade dispute initiated by US President Trump much less acute.

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Asia is also getting into the negative suction

The economic situation continued to be depressed in July. Economic expectations in the euro zone have indeed recovered by around 3 points. However, this is probably only a countermove to the strong discount of June. Other regions continue to show signs of weakening. Expectations for Germany and Japan are falling for the sixth time in a row. And also the Asian region ex Japan, hitherto the bearer of hope, has to cope with a slump in expectations.

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Is Italy tipping over the euro economy?

Now they are here, the American punitive tariffs. So far, this has done less harm than one might think to global economic expectations. It appears that investors still hope that the world's trade dispute with the US will not get out of control. Investors, on the other hand, are far less lenient with developments within the euro zone. The new government in Rome is very sceptical. This is so strong that economic expectations in the euro zone are downright tilting.

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Uncertainties over world trade

Are they coming or not, the U.S. punitive tariffs? The decision has not yet been made and it is therefore not surprising that the sentix economic indices hardly changed in May. Nevertheless, the sentix economic index for the euro zone fell slightly for the fourth month in succession to 19.2 points. This trend also determines the global picture. We are only measuring slight improvements for the USA and Asia ex Japan. Investors are obviously hoping for a positive outcome to the bilateral trade talks between the two nations.

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