sentix Economic News

Read the latest information and indications about the "first mover" among the economic indicators!

Background information on the sentix economic indicators

Downturn gains speed

The pressure on the economic front is increasing noticeably. The current assessment and expectations are falling to their knees, and 6-month expectations for the Euro area are falling by 7 points to -20 points. This is the lowest value since August 2012!

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No relaxation - Trump has overdrawn

After the supposed de-escalation signals between the USA and China at the G20 summit in Japan, there was great hope that the downward trend in the economy could be stopped. This makes the vote of investors in response to this news all the more impressive. Despite the easing in the equity market, investors are no longer being lured out of the reserve and are once again lowering their thumbs for economic development. The longer no solution to the customs dispute is found, the more economic confidence suffers. For Germany, the overall index is even falling to a 10-year low.

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A punch below the belt

As soon as the hopeful data of the sentix economic index had been published in May, the US president made a mistake in investors' calculations. At the latest since the US government prohibited US companies from doing business with the Chinese telecom supplier Huawei, it has become clear that a "cold" trade war is threatening to become a "hot" one. This development has pulled investors out of their upswing hopes and led to considerable setbacks in the sentix economic indices in all regions of the world. For the Euro zone, the overall index drops from 5.3 to -3.3 points.

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It gets better!

In May, the economic situation continued to improve globally, but also in Europe. Fears of a recession are thus receding into the background, which is reflected in the improved situation values in all the regions considered. We can also report further stabilisation for the euro zone. The overall index rises to 5.3 points (from -0.3). The as-sessment of the situation rises from 3.8 to 11.0 points.

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Asian upswing signals

Economic observers are currently focusing their attention strongly on China. The signs in China are increasingly pointing to an upswing. Should there be an additional settlement in the trade dispute with the USA, the second economically robust region of the world economy, the European economy could also see a turnaround. To date, only further stabilization can be reported. The sentix economic index for the Euro zone rose slightly to -0.3 points, after -2.2 points in the previous month.

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