Euro-zone expectations drop despite Draghi

For the euro zone the sentix Economic Index (composite index) drops markedly in June. This is its second decrease in a row. Investors judge the current situation much worse than in the previous month, and their 6-monthexpectations also decline. The clear setback of the euro-zone index surprises as, in June, investors assess the economic conditions for the remaining world regions as better than before. It is mainly the emerging markets for which their sentiment brightens. The euro-zone indicators' decrease all the more comes as a surprise as the European Central Bank has just announced a whole package of new measures to push economic growth and inflation. But investors so far do not see this aspect of the ECB's policy while they do expect strong effects on the bond market, as complementary sentix data show. 

Full report June 2014

Headlines of the month

  • The composite index for the euro zone drops markedly in June from 12.8 to now 8.5 points. This setback is mainly driven by a falling assessment of the current situation. But 6-month-expectations also decrease.
  • In contrast, the German composite index recovers slightly. It increases by 0.7 to now 28.8 points, a level quite similar to the one reached in April.
  • The composite index for the global aggregate increases markedly despite the weak outcome for the euro zone. In June, investors' sentiment goes up strongly for the emerging-markets regions, but also the index for Japan increases for the first time since January. 

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