More relaxation

The latest sentix economic data improve again and surprisingly significantly. Investors are spreading hope that thanks to mild winter weather, sufficient gas in storage and a possible peak in inflation data, the economic down-turn has also passed its zenith. Internationally, there are also more moderate tones from the US Federal Reserve, which is holding out the prospect of "only" 50 basis points of interest rate increases in December. And in China, the protests finally seem to point to an end to the restrictive Corona measures. So will the recession end before it has really begun?

Full report December 2022

Headlines of the month

  • At the beginning of December, sentix economic data surprised again. The overall index rises to -21 points, the highest level since June 2022. Investors hope for an economic turnaround.
  • The data situation also improves in Germany. Situation and expectations scores rise. At -22.3 points, economic expectations reach their highest level since March 2022!
  • Internationally, the picture is the same. In China, where the mass protests are now contributing to a rethink of the restrictive "no covid" strategy, we measure the third consecutive increase in the sentix economic index. A strong improvement can also be reported for the USA. Here, the overall index is even close to the zero line again. So the signs point to an end of the recessionary phase. And yet this phase had not yet really begun.

sentix Eco Report Euro area

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