sentix ASR Essentials 29-2014

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 10 August 2014
Posted in sentix Weekly

Equity uncertainty yet to dampen Emerging Market optimism

The latest sentix survey throws up a couple of notable features. Firstly, there remains an apparent lack of conviction on the medium-term outlook for European bonds, despite high-optimism on the near-term outlook, as bund yields hit historic lows (see page 4). Secondly, there are signs that investors' optimism on the medium-term outlook for equities may be weakening, with survey readings for the EuroSTOXX having fallen back after several weeks of relative resilience (Chart 6, page 3). In comparison, sentiment towards the Emerging Markets has remained relatively upbeat (Charts 2 and 3, page 2). As yet, equity uncertainty has failed to materially curb investors' optimism on medium-term outlook for EMs.

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sentix ASR Essentials 28-2014

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 03 August 2014
Posted in sentix Weekly

Sentiment staccato

The sentix Global Investor Survey has created a real sentiment-staccato in the data for this week. The western stock markets have produced a line of negative sentiment extremes. Surprisingly, the medium term confidence isn´t affected by growing fears. A more drastic sentiment picture is measured in EUR/USD: Such a one-sided data constellation hasn´t been observed in the complete sentix history.

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sentix ASR Essentials 27-2014

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 27 July 2014
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bullish signals from China

sentix data for stocks remain robust. The bullish indication for Chinese equities even offers new opportunities for rising prices. For bonds the picture looks different. The readiness to take profits is high and so is the overconfidence index. On FX markets the focus is back on USD-JPY. Here, the Strategic Bias is the supportive pillar.

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sentix ASR Essentials 26-2014

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 20 July 2014
Posted in sentix Weekly

Geopolitics of no interests to investors

Stock markets are still not impressed by the diverse old and new stress factors. A moderately bearish sentiment and a positive and stable strategic bias reflect investors who have sorrows in the short-term but are convinced about the stock performance in the medium-term. As far as bonds are concerned high spirits dominate the markets while the extraordinary constellation for EUR-USD prevails.

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sentix ASR Essentials 25-2014

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 13 July 2014
Posted in sentix Weekly

Commodities optimism on the up

The sentix survey indicates that investor sentiment towards Commodities continues to improve. At an asset class level, sentiment readings are steadily pulling away from their 2014 lows (see Chart 3, page 2). At a market level, the latest survey revealed sharp improvement in short and medium-term sentiment readings for Gold (Chart 2). This improved tone of sentiment towards Commodities is consistent with the more optimistic views on the outlook for Emerging Markets that have emerged in recent months, though in the near-term survey participants have become a little less upbeat on the medium-term prospects for the Chinese market (Chart 4).

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