sentix Survey results (47-2022)

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Change of preference in 2023?

In 2022, a major rethink took place in the investor camp. The significant rise in interest rates over the course of the year has contributed significantly to this. Bonds are now considered much more attractive than equities at the strategic level. So far, however, this is only moderately reflected in the relative performance of equities to bonds. For 2023, however, this change in preference could still have an effect.

Further results

  • Equities: High TD values slow down
  • Bonds: Basic confidence remains intact
  • FX: Yen bias buckles again
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (46-2022)

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Letting off steam after the sentiment pulse

After the annual high in sentiment for U.S. stocks to the previous week there is now "letting off steam". The data had already signaled that a consolidation is likely. Now the focus is on whether a continuation of momentum can succeed. So far, the sentiment data are developing in an exemplary manner, but the bias is losing momentum again. Internationally, there are major differences. The whole thing is still on shaky ground. The situation on the bond market is different.

Further results

  • Equities: China increasingly convincing
  • Bonds: Long investment horizon, positive bias
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (45-2022)

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Mood impulses across the board

The past week brought a number of sentiment boosts, including for equities: Sentiment improves impulsively, marking new highs for the year. At the same time, medium-term confidence improves. The movement suggests that this sentiment impulse is tantamount to a kind of liberation blow, which holds out the prospect of further price gains in the coming weeks. However, one should not expect too much in the short term. The high TD index limits the movement in the next 2 weeks.

Further results

  • Equities: Historically strong bias increase for China equities
  • Bonds: US bonds pick up
  • sentix sector sentiment

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Mild temperatures give hope

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At the beginning of November, the sentix economic indices in Euroland surprise on the positive side. The overall index rises by 7.4 points to -30.9, which is still not a trend reversal signal. But the rise in situation and expectation values shows how sensitively investors react in their economic expectations to signals from the energy market. For this is the cause of the hopeful changes. October showed higher temperatures than usual and this means that gas storage facilities in Germany, for example, are full to the brim, more than expected for November. Spot mar-ket gas prices collapsed in response. Concerns about a catastrophic gas shortage are fading.

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sentix Survey results (44-2022)

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Mixed picture - especially internationally

Europe's stock markets have recently been able to make up ground, while the U.S. stock markets look battered. In both cases, lethargy remains a conspicuous element in the equity bias. Currency developments are likely to be to blame for the difference in market reaction. The U.S. dollar is losing favor with investors, especially against the Japanese yen. For the first time since Jan 2021, the bias has fallen below the zero line. There is movement at the currency level.

Further results

  • Bonds: All-time low in overconfidence
  • FX: Movement comes in
  • sentix economix index: Monday, 07th Nov. 2022 at 10:30h CET

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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