sentix Survey results (48-2019)

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The sentiment is dampening the bull market

The sentiment on the US stock market is boiling over. What the sentix sentiment clearly points out is not so visible in the AAII Bull Bear Index so far. We would like to emphasize again our leading characteristic and the quality of the data series!

Further topics:

  • Equities: UK Bias with all-time high
  • Equities: Nasdaq produziert Overconfidence
  • Gold: Buy signal in Time Differential Index

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

A warm welcome for Madame Lagarde

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Even before the new President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde, will chair her first Council meeting and explain the de-cisions taken at a press conference, investors will form first narratives. One such narrative is that Madame Lagarde seeks to stand shoulder to shoulder with politics. This strengthens the cohesion of the Eurozone from the investors' point of view.

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sentix Survey results (47-2019)

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Consolidation not yet complete

Price dynamics and the mood on the stock market are closely related. Markets consolidate when sentiment is bullish and stocks are overbought. Currently, US equities show that the share of overbought stocks has already fallen from over 20% to 8%. By contrast, sentiment values are still relatively high. Only when both indicators have fallen close to the zero line is the path to the upside generally clear again.

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On the tracks of special vintages

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The stock year 2019 is a special one. With a current plus of 26.6%, it is one of the thirteen best years in the S&P 500 since 1920! What can we expect for the rest of the year?

Read the research here

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sentix Survey results (46-2019)

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Bias tight upward

The high optimism for US equities last week fell by 10 percentage points, but still remains euphoric at +22. The AAII Bull Bear Index has not yet fully replicated the sentix target. Is therefore imminent danger? A high sentiment either stands at the beginning of a strong trend impulse or at the end of an upward movement. The Strategic Bias helps with the assessment.

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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