sentix ASR Essentials 46-2017


High neutrality points to pick-up in Gold volatility

The latest sentix survey underlines the continued interplay between sentiment on emerging equity markets and commodities. Investors’ less positive opinion on the outlook for emerging equity markets chimes with their a modestly less upbeat view on commodities as an asset class. This can be seen at a market level, with optimism on Crude oil receding from elevated levels as November’s OPEC meeting draws closer. Modest optimism is also a feature on Gold, though this is set against historically high levels of investor ‘neutrality’ on its near-term outlook as future near $1300. It also suggests increased potential for a pick-up in Gold volatility from reasonably low levels (based on CBOE Gold Volatility Index). See Charts 2-4, p2.

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