sentix ASR Essentials 50-2016


Dollar optimism hasn’t curbed commodity sentiment

The sentix survey suggests that several sentiment strands remain in place as markets head towards the festive break. Optimism on equities is high, but less stretched than it was a week ago. At the same time, investors remain highly positive on the outlook for commodities as grouping, albeit it appears that Gold has lost its medium-term lustre for survey participants. Such optimism on commodities has opened up a notable gap between investors’ views on commodities and emerging market equities. It has also occurred despite increasing optimism on the US dollar, with pessimism on EUR/USD still running at historically extended levels. Interestingly, dollar optimism has not curbed investors’ positive opinion on the outlook for commodities (see Charts 2-4, p2).

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