Danger of overheating

In January 2018, there was no sign of a loss of momentum in the sentix economic indices, which we were able to detect in the beginning of December. On the contrary: all regions of the world show a stable, positive and moderately improved economic picture. The US economic expectations, which are stimulated by the tax reform, have improved particularly significantly. In the eurozone, too, progress is continuing. And even latecomers such as Eastern Europe and Latin America continue to improve. The upswing is thus broad and synchronous. The likelihood of overheating is increasing.

Full report January 2018

Headlines of the month

  • At the beginning of 2018, the economy in the eurozone remains in excellent shape. The overall index rose slight-ly to 32.9 points and continues to signal a boom.
  • It is astonishing that both the situation and expectations improve slightly. Momentum remains positive. This also applies to Germany, where the situation values are again at an all-time high.
  • There are no signs of weakness in the rest of the world. Particularly noteworthy is the USA, where investors are noticeably raising expectations. But latecomers such as Eastern Europe and Latin America can also improve con-siderably. The upswing is strong and increasingly synchronized.

Euro area Apr 22 May 22 Jun 22 Jul 22 Aug 22 Sep 22
Overall Index -18.0 -22.6 -15.8 -26.4 -25.2 -31.8

More sentix Economic indices

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