First mover with first indication after the start of the Iran war

The sentix economic index provides an initial assessment of economic development following the outbreak of the Iran war. After three consecutive improvements, the overall index for the eurozone fell by 7.3 points to -3.1, calling the recent upturn into question. Germany is also affected: the sentix economic index fell by 5.2 points to -12.1, signalling a renewed downturn after the recent glimmer of hope. Global sentiment is also deteriorating. All regions of the world are experiencing pressure on their assessment of the current situation and their expecta-tions. The sentix Global Aggregate loses 5.5 points to +9.7, while global expectations reach their lowest level since September 2025 at 7.2 points.

Full report March 2026

Headlines of the month

  • The sentix economic index provides the first indication of the economic situation following the outbreak of the Iran war. After the third consecutive improvement, the overall index for the eurozone slumped by 7.3 points to -3.1 points. This casts considerable doubt on the recent upturn in the EU.
  • The German economy is also taking a hit: the sentix economic aggregate index fell by 5.2 points to -12.1 points.
  • Globally, too, the outlook is bleak. All regions of the world are feeling the strain, both in terms of their assessment of the current situation and, even more so, in terms of their economic outlook. This applies to established economic regions as well as to the recently emerging regions of the emerging markets. The sentix Global Aggregate fell by 5.5 points to +9.7 points. At 7.2 points, global expectations have reached their lowest level since September 2025.

sentix Eco Report Euro area

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 sentix economic indices March 2026 infographic

 

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