Loss of momentum continues

The momentum of the economic recovery in the Eurozone continues to slow down. At 16.9 points, the overall index is falling for the third time in a row. Expectations are dropping for the fifth time in a row to only 8 points. For Germany we get the first feedback after the Bundestag elections: The current assessment also slips by 5 points, while the expectations component is able to counter the global loss of momentum and even rises by 2.7 points. Overall, the signs for the global economy continue to point to a "mid-cycle slowdown". The slowdown in growth in the middle of the cycle is making headway in the major economic regions - first and foremost in the USA. The Asia ex Japan region also remains affected.

Full report October 2021

Headlines of the month

  • Economic indicators for the Eurozone continue to lose momentum in October. At 16.9 points, the overall index falls for the third time in a row. Expectations drop for the fifth time in a row to only 8 points.
  • For Germany, we get the first feedback after the Bundestag elections: The current assessment also slips by 5 points, while the expectations component is bucking the global loss of momentum and even manages to increase by 2.7 points.
  • The signs for the global economy continue to point to "mid-cycle slowdown". The slowdown in growth in the middle of the cycle is progressing in the major economic regions - first and foremost in the USA. The Asia ex Japan region also continues to breathe a sigh of relief, where current and expected values are falling synchronously.

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