Confidence in the euro rises

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Confidence in the euro rises strongly. This is shown by the increase in the sentix Strategic Bias for the EUR-USD currency pair, one outstanding result of the latest sentix Global Investor Survey. The index reaches its highest reading since November 2013. At the same time, more and more investors (now 39%) expect Greece to leave the euro. The consequent attitude of the European partners towards the new Greek government has thus served as a support for the common currency.

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Ergebnisse des sentix Global Investor Survey (KW 08-2015)

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Die Stimmung an Europas Börsen bleibt gut, kühlt sich aber im Vergleich zur Vorwoche leicht ab. Es verwundert, wie robust sich die Börsen präsentieren, obwohl die Grexit-Wahrscheinlichkeit deutlich angestiegen ist. Es dürften die mittelfristigen Perspektiven sein, welche die Anleger bei Laune halten: Der Strategische Bias bleibt hoch, wobei insbesondere die japanische Börse und die US-Technologiewerte deutlicher in der Anlegergunst zulegen können.

Lesen Sie hier die Ergebniskommentierung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

 

Besser ein Ende mit Schrecken als Schrecken ohne Ende

Griechenlands Schuldenproblem beschäftigt die Politik, die Medien und die Anleger mehr denn je. Unsere wöchentliche Sonderbefragung zur Grexit-Wahrscheinlichkeit stieg zum Wochenschluss von 32% auf 39%. Erstaunlich ist hierbei die Gelassenheit der Aktienmärkte. Der Strategische Bias bleibt hoch, Ängste lassen sich über das Sentiment keine messen. Es stellt sich die Frage, ob die Anleger „sehenden Auges“ in ihr „Verderben“ laufen.

Klicken Sie hier für die Investmentmeinung

Automobile stocks in the fast lane

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sentix Sector Sentiment for European automobile stocks rises strongly in February and reaches an all-time high. For no other sector investors are equally bullish at the current juncture. As perspectives brighten against the backdrop of a number of positive chart signals we rate the strong development in sentiment as a kick-start signal rather than a contrarian indication.

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sentix ASR Essentials 07-2015

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Poles apart on Autos and Energy

The latest sentix survey underlines that investors’ views on sectors have continued to become less defensive. On one hand, monthly survey readings on Healthcare, Food & Beverage and Utilities have further declined in the past month. On the other, survey participants have become less cautious on the six month outlook for cyclical sectors such as Industrial Goods & Services, Chemicals and Autos. Indeed, in the case of Autos, survey readings have returned to historic highs (see Chart 2, page 2). At the same time, pessimism on Energy versus the market has become a little less extreme in the past month, though survey respondents have also become less positive on Crude Oil from a medium-term strategic perspective (Charts 3-4). Pessimism on resource plays has lessened in the past couple of months, though readings remain poles apart on the likes of Energy versus Autos.

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sentix-Analyse Februar 2015 im DAF

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sentix-Analyse im Deutschen AnlegerfernsehenGestern war sentix-Geschäftsführer Manfred Hübner zu Gast im Deutschen Anlegerfernsehen. Im Gespräch mit Viola Grebe erläuterte er u.a. die neuesten Ergebnisse des sentix Konjunkturindex und die aktuelle Stimmungslage.

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