sentix ASR Essentials 29-2017

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Near-term Euro optimism hits high-end of range

Last week’s ECB meeting has provided a further fillip to an already rising tide of optimism on the Euro versus the dollar. In the near-term, EUR/USD sentiment readings have reached the high end of their range of the past seven years, albiet optimism did reach even higher levels in 2010-11. Nevertheless, such elevated optimism suggests increased potential for near-term sentiment setbacks. However, near-term uncertainties aside, the latest sentix survey also revealed that survey participants’ strategic bias is also becoming ever-more positive. It appears that investors don’t view the currency as overvalued, and see further upside for EUR/USD in the medium-term. See Charts 2-4, p2.

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