Dark memories of 2007

At the end of 2018, the sentix economic indices awaken gloomy memories of the pre-crisis year 2007. The overall economic index for the euro zone falls for the fourth time in a row to -0.3, the lowest value since December 2014. Both the situation and expectations collapse. Looking at the international environment, there is practically no glimmer of hope, as even the hitherto strong US stocks are falling significantly. Now the (monetary) policy is called for!

Full report December 2018 report November 2018

Headlines of the month

  • In December, the sentix overall index for the economy in Euroland falls for the 4th time in a row to -0.3!
  • Situation values and expectations are falling equally, even in individual countries such as Germany. The dynamics of the downturn are similar to those of the pre-crisis year 2007. Expectations, as weak as in August 2012, challenge the (monetary) policy.
  • There are no rays of hope to be reported internationally. In all regions, including the USA, which is accustomed to success, the situation values and expectations collapsed. A further interest rate hike by the Fed or an intensification of the US-China trade dispute seems to be the last thing the global economy needs at the moment.

Euro area Jun 19 Jul 19 Aug 19 Sep 19 Oct 19 Nov 19
Overall Index -3.3 -5.8 -13.7 -11.1 -16.8 -4.5


More sentix Economic indices

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